Country Profile - Kyrgyz Republic      IFs Version 7.58
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Kyrgyz Republic
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 6.588
     2030: 7.383
     2060: 9.424
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 1.474
     2030: 1.057
     2060: 0.369
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 23.94
     2030: 20.05
     2060: 14.37
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 6.111
     2030: 6.669
     2060: 8.648
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 18.29
     2030: 16.85
     2060: 12.52
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 71.69
     2030: 72.54
     2060: 75.70
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 67.81
     2030: 68.49
     2060: 71.21
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 75.51
     2030: 76.54
     2060: 80.13
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 3.121
     2030: 2.889
     2060: 2.010
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.159
     2030: 0.229
     2060: 0.401
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.796
     2030: 0.729
     2060: 0.687
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 2.202
     2030: 2.265
     2060: 2.164
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 4.044
     2030: 4.563
     2060: 6.031
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.342
     2030: 0.555
     2060: 1.229
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 2.449
     2030: 2.954
     2060: 4.769
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.429
     2030: 0.425
     2060: 0.415
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 42.66
     2030: 44.59
     2060: 48.05

Health Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 14.74
     2030: 15.31
     2060: 16.97
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 26.95
     2030: 27.14
     2060: 27.91
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 2.577
     2030: 2.393
     2060: 2.255
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.228
     2030: 0.287
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 5.886
     2030: 5.460
     2060: 4.201

Education Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 99.85
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 91.91
     2030: 95.06
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 97.71
     2030: 96.28
     2060: 98.97
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 84.24
     2030: 84.17
     2060: 90.99
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 45.03
     2030: 43.24
     2060: 49.01
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 11.14
     2030: 11.00
     2060: 10.81
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 99.96
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.414
     2030: 0.494
     2060: 0.129
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.488
     2030: 0.577
     2060: 0.155
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.787
     2030: 0.798
     2060: 0.839
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 4.269
     2030: 3.111
     2060: 2.280
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,821
     2030: 2,871
     2060: 3,005
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.134
     2030: -0.153
     2060: -0.303
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.398
     2030: -0.429
     2060: -0.688

Economy Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 21.53
     2030: 27.05
     2060: 53.00
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 8.492
     2030: 10.84
     2060: 25.18
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 3.268
     2030: 3.663
     2060: 5.624
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.328
     2030: 0.340
     2060: 0.370
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 46.42
     2030: 45.75
     2060: 45.71
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 30.65
     2030: 31.49
     2060: 38.39

Energy Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.032
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.037

Domestic Government Forecast for Kyrgyz Republic
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 5.973
     2030: 5.889
     2060: 6.010
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 17.89
     2030: 17.98
     2060: 18.39
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.083
     2030: 2.518
     2060: 3.273
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 1.635
     2030: 1.764
     2060: 1.986
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.659
     2030: 6.811
     2060: 6.772