Country Profile - Kenya      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for Kenya
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kenya -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 56.28
     2030: 69.68
     2060: 105.0
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 2.603
     2030: 2.131
     2060: 0.830
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 29.99
     2030: 25.59
     2060: 14.49
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 5.024
     2030: 4.664
     2060: 6.118
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 29.54
     2030: 22.94
     2060: 7.691
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 69.17
     2030: 72.05
     2060: 78.38
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 66.73
     2030: 69.45
     2060: 75.35
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 71.59
     2030: 74.66
     2060: 81.43
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 3.663
     2030: 3.100
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 2.716
     2030: 2.046
     2060: 0.432
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 7.841
     2030: 8.622
     2060: 7.477
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 21.72
     2030: 24.37
     2060: 22.58
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 33.04
     2030: 42.77
     2060: 71.80
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 1.520
     2030: 2.535
     2060: 10.60
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 15.74
     2030: 22.24
     2060: 53.60
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.438
     2030: 0.435
     2060: 0.409
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 49.59
     2030: 49.94
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Kenya -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 2.139
     2030: 2.516
     2060: 5.097
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 13.75
     2030: 14.10
     2060: 16.07
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 9.789
     2030: 8.102
     2060: 3.748
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 9.170
     2030: 6.549
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 19.28
     2030: 14.88
     2060: 4.683

Education Forecast for Kenya -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 103.0
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.7
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 82.60
     2030: 85.82
     2060: 99.93
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 92.88
     2030: 95.13
     2060: 99.83
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 53.27
     2030: 56.81
     2060: 75.32
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 11.44
     2030: 15.54
     2060: 32.56
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 6.870
     2030: 7.884
     2060: 9.804
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 86.14
     2030: 90.67
     2060: 99.60

Social/Human Forecast for Kenya
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 16.78
     2030: 16.89
     2060: 2.011
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 18.43
     2030: 18.81
     2060: 2.489
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.722
     2030: 0.763
     2060: 0.880
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 15.46
     2030: 12.52
     2060: 5.017
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,263
     2030: 2,376
     2060: 2,861
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.177
     2030: -0.214
     2060: -0.313
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.442
     2030: -0.394
     2060: -0.177

Economy Forecast for Kenya
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 170.3
     2030: 252.0
     2060: 960.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 68.02
     2030: 106.5
     2060: 603.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 3.026
     2030: 3.616
     2060: 9.146
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.411
     2030: 0.398
     2060: 0.385
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 38.63
     2030: 39.50
     2060: 16.83
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 11.40
     2030: 12.25
     2060: 24.29

Energy Forecast for Kenya
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Kenya
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.017

International Politics Forecast for Kenya
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.249
     2030: 0.286
     2060: 0.464

Domestic Government Forecast for Kenya
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 8.402
     2030: 8.974
     2060: 10.53
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 19.20
     2030: 19.24
     2060: 18.47
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.290
     2030: 2.500
     2060: 3.546
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.267
     2030: 2.397
     2060: 2.996
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.116
     2030: 7.236
     2060: 7.747