Country Profile - Kenya      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for Kenya
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kenya -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 55.66
     2030: 65.28
     2060: 95.56
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 2.072
     2030: 1.910
     2060: 0.801
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 27.00
     2030: 24.13
     2060: 14.12
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 4.816
     2030: 4.550
     2060: 6.110
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 27.51
     2030: 20.64
     2060: 5.098
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 69.30
     2030: 72.13
     2060: 79.10
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 67.00
     2030: 69.65
     2060: 76.13
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 71.59
     2030: 74.62
     2060: 82.08
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 3.275
     2030: 2.825
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 2.632
     2030: 2.037
     2060: 0.430
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 7.086
     2030: 7.604
     2060: 6.689
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 21.31
     2030: 21.68
     2060: 19.76
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 32.88
     2030: 41.27
     2060: 65.65
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 1.470
     2030: 2.322
     2060: 10.16
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 16.26
     2030: 21.89
     2060: 50.52
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.444
     2030: 0.440
     2060: 0.410
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 48.81
     2030: 48.81
     2060: 48.81

Health Forecast for Kenya -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 1.910
     2030: 2.392
     2060: 5.613
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 13.74
     2030: 14.09
     2060: 16.68
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 9.894
     2030: 7.877
     2060: 3.421
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 9.056
     2030: 6.131
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 19.06
     2030: 13.32
     2060: 3.603

Education Forecast for Kenya -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 102.3
     2030: 103.1
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 81.36
     2030: 87.03
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 94.65
     2030: 97.90
     2060: 99.81
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 54.47
     2030: 58.42
     2060: 80.49
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 12.88
     2030: 16.70
     2060: 37.89
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 6.551
     2030: 7.544
     2060: 9.850
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 85.44
     2030: 89.69
     2060: 99.04

Social/Human Forecast for Kenya
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 11.93
     2030: 8.738
     2060: 0.469
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 21.04
     2030: 17.40
     2060: 1.791
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.724
     2030: 0.766
     2060: 0.896
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 15.55
     2030: 12.46
     2060: 4.645
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,226
     2030: 2,371
     2060: 2,940
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.159
     2030: -0.178
     2060: -0.232
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.411
     2030: -0.345
     2060: -0.064

Economy Forecast for Kenya
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 179.4
     2030: 262.7
     2060: 1,133
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 71.79
     2030: 114.6
     2060: 787.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 3.224
     2030: 4.025
     2060: 11.86
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.396
     2030: 0.392
     2060: 0.380
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 38.68
     2030: 39.28
     2060: 16.47
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 10.66
     2030: 12.30
     2060: 28.68

Energy Forecast for Kenya
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Kenya
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.003
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.028

International Politics Forecast for Kenya
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.119
     2030: 0.121
     2060: 0.212

Domestic Government Forecast for Kenya
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 8.356
     2030: 8.935
     2060: 10.78
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 19.17
     2030: 19.30
     2060: 18.63
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 2.296
     2030: 2.504
     2060: 3.865
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 2.254
     2030: 2.414
     2060: 3.126
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.101
     2030: 7.236
     2060: 7.831