Country Profile - Jamaica      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for Jamaica
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Jamaica -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 2.954
     2030: 2.980
     2060: 2.674
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.181
     2030: -0.071
     2060: -0.770
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 15.54
     2030: 13.33
     2060: 10.45
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 7.313
     2030: 8.223
     2060: 12.66
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 11.76
     2030: 8.952
     2060: 4.012
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 75.57
     2030: 76.56
     2060: 79.65
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 73.51
     2030: 74.27
     2060: 77.12
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 77.62
     2030: 78.84
     2060: 82.20
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.962
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 1.219
     2030: 1.144
     2060: 0.511
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.236
     2030: 0.204
     2060: 0.145
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 0.687
     2030: 0.646
     2060: 0.450
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 1.982
     2030: 1.959
     2060: 1.587
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.285
     2030: 0.376
     2060: 0.638
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 1.673
     2030: 1.770
     2060: 1.787
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.487
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.428
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 46.76
     2030: 48.19
     2060: 49.74

Health Forecast for Jamaica -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 37.49
     2030: 39.19
     2060: 43.16
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 18.00
     2030: 18.19
     2060: 19.07
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 1.973
     2030: 1.903
     2060: 1.815
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 0.595
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 7.637
     2030: 6.347
     2060: 4.017

Education Forecast for Jamaica -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 95.11
     2030: 95.55
     2060: 100.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 87.76
     2030: 90.87
     2060: 99.84
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 91.44
     2030: 95.62
     2060: 101.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 81.11
     2030: 85.06
     2060: 90.56
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 28.35
     2030: 30.94
     2060: 39.29
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 9.422
     2030: 9.682
     2060: 10.41
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 89.14
     2030: 91.00
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Jamaica
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.332
     2030: 0.388
     2060: 0.210
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.644
     2030: 0.734
     2060: 0.455
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.821
     2030: 0.838
     2060: 0.897
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 7.672
     2030: 6.379
     2060: 1.484
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,789
     2030: 2,870
     2060: 3,050
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.090
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.058
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.165
     2030: 0.188
     2060: 0.162

Economy Forecast for Jamaica
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 23.10
     2030: 25.77
     2060: 28.82
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 14.60
     2030: 16.31
     2060: 19.46
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 7.820
     2030: 8.647
     2060: 10.78
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.479
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.455
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 49.00
     2030: 42.66
     2060: 23.77
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 13.46
     2030: 15.09
     2060: 22.67

Energy Forecast for Jamaica
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Jamaica
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Jamaica
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.019
     2030: 0.018
     2060: 0.013

Domestic Government Forecast for Jamaica
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 11.11
     2030: 11.32
     2060: 11.85
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 19.38
     2030: 19.71
     2060: 19.47
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 3.278
     2030: 3.633
     2060: 4.226
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.746
     2030: 2.857
     2060: 3.067
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.196
     2030: 7.314
     2060: 7.426