Country Profile - Italy      IFs Version 8.06
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     Forecast Categories for Italy
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Italy -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 58.94
     2030: 57.66
     2060: 47.73
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -0.319
     2030: -0.405
     2060: -0.862
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.263
     2030: 7.214
     2060: 7.191
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 12.35
     2030: 12.82
     2060: 16.99
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 2.351
     2030: 1.937
     2060: 0.814
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 82.84
     2030: 83.45
     2060: 86.33
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 80.37
     2030: 80.95
     2060: 83.74
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 85.20
     2030: 85.83
     2060: 88.81
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.281
     2030: 1.346
     2060: 1.535
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.204
     2030: 0.182
     2060: 0.060
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 2.246
     2030: 2.124
     2060: 1.740
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 7.312
     2030: 6.753
     2060: 5.503
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 37.23
     2030: 35.23
     2060: 25.95
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 14.40
     2030: 15.68
     2060: 16.28
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 42.16
     2030: 41.80
     2060: 36.01
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.434
     2030: 0.426
     2060: 0.403
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 44.13
     2030: 45.45
     2060: 48.72

Health Forecast for Italy -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 22.83
     2030: 23.67
     2060: 26.15
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 24.01
     2030: 23.69
     2060: 22.83
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 1.990
     2030: 1.926
     2060: 1.767
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.088
     2030: 1.160
     2060: 0.445
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.080
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.019

Education Forecast for Italy -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 104.0
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 98.81
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 102.8
     2030: 104.8
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 98.48
     2030: 99.85
     2060: 99.38
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 62.30
     2030: 64.90
     2060: 72.77
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 10.80
     2030: 11.40
     2060: 13.91
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 99.62
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Italy
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.607
     2030: 0.369
     2060: 0.020
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.787
     2030: 0.488
     2060: 0.029
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.991
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.851
     2030: 0.807
     2060: 0.673
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,508
     2030: 3,565
     2060: 3,725
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.331
     2030: 0.379
     2060: 0.602
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.793
     2030: 0.868
     2060: 1.111

Economy Forecast for Italy
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 2,528
     2030: 2,673
     2060: 3,440
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 2,031
     2030: 2,175
     2060: 2,989
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 42.89
     2030: 46.35
     2060: 72.07
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.347
     2030: 0.342
     2060: 0.324
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 35.55
     2030: 33.64
     2060: 34.74
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 47.66
     2030: 49.65
     2060: 57.15

Energy Forecast for Italy
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.024
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Italy
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.079
     2030: 0.071
     2060: 0.036

International Politics Forecast for Italy
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 1.409
     2030: 1.301
     2060: 1.006

Domestic Government Forecast for Italy
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 5.621
     2030: 6.267
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.060
     2030: 3.172
     2060: 3.764
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.621
     2030: 7.659
     2060: 7.878