Country Profile - Italy      IFs Version 7.89
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     Forecast Categories for Italy
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Italy -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 60.21
     2030: 58.80
     2060: 49.47
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: -0.232
     2030: -0.362
     2060: -0.840
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 7.255
     2030: 7.196
     2060: 7.297
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 11.63
     2030: 12.39
     2060: 16.88
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 2.347
     2030: 1.817
     2060: 0.803
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 82.82
     2030: 83.61
     2060: 86.31
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 80.34
     2030: 81.10
     2060: 83.70
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 85.18
     2030: 86.00
     2060: 88.79
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.332
     2030: 1.401
     2060: 1.575
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.203
     2030: 0.176
     2060: 0.058
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 2.280
     2030: 2.152
     2060: 1.828
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 7.884
     2030: 6.915
     2060: 5.805
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 38.35
     2030: 36.44
     2060: 26.64
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 13.98
     2030: 15.45
     2060: 17.02
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 42.63
     2030: 42.20
     2060: 36.79
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.430
     2030: 0.424
     2060: 0.394
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 44.01
     2030: 45.71
     2060: 48.77

Health Forecast for Italy -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 21.05
     2030: 21.86
     2060: 23.15
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 24.00
     2030: 23.66
     2060: 22.27
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 1.981
     2030: 1.932
     2060: 1.846
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 1.879
     2030: 1.245
     2060: 1.001
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 0.076
     2030: 0.028
     2060: 0.028

Education Forecast for Italy -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 101.1
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 96.81
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 103.3
     2030: 102.9
     2060: 99.99
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 98.71
     2030: 99.14
     2060: 97.74
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 61.10
     2030: 62.52
     2060: 67.98
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 10.13
     2030: 10.96
     2060: 13.40
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 99.62
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Italy
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.082
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.082
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.002
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.981
     2030: 0.992
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.907
     2030: 0.864
     2060: 0.698
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,513
     2030: 3,571
     2060: 3,661
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.332
     2030: 0.398
     2060: 0.607
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.795
     2030: 0.895
     2060: 1.085

Economy Forecast for Italy
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 2,173
     2030: 2,342
     2060: 2,825
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 2,280
     2030: 2,446
     2060: 2,906
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 36.10
     2030: 39.82
     2060: 57.12
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.358
     2030: 0.354
     2060: 0.340
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 34.49
     2030: 33.06
     2060: 33.06
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 45.82
     2030: 49.26
     2060: 55.66

Energy Forecast for Italy
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.026
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Italy
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.079
     2030: 0.073
     2060: 0.046

International Politics Forecast for Italy
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 1.540
     2030: 1.374
     2060: 0.979

Domestic Government Forecast for Italy
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 5.262
     2030: 5.995
     2060: 9.108
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 3.094
     2030: 3.228
     2060: 3.727
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.618
     2030: 7.668
     2060: 7.849