Country Profile - Italy      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for Italy
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Italy -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 59.96
     2030: 58.31
     2060: 48.57
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: -0.294
     2030: -0.416
     2060: -0.873
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 7.208
     2030: 7.119
     2060: 7.255
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 11.63
     2030: 12.48
     2060: 17.13
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 2.328
     2030: 1.810
     2060: 0.815
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 82.85
     2030: 83.62
     2060: 86.26
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 80.37
     2030: 81.11
     2060: 83.65
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 85.21
     2030: 86.01
     2060: 88.73
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.332
     2030: 1.401
     2060: 1.575
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.203
     2030: 0.176
     2060: 0.058
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 2.261
     2030: 2.112
     2060: 1.785
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 7.822
     2030: 6.795
     2060: 5.681
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 38.17
     2030: 36.08
     2060: 26.06
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 13.97
     2030: 15.43
     2060: 16.83
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 42.62
     2030: 42.15
     2060: 36.43
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.428
     2030: 0.421
     2060: 0.392
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 43.91
     2030: 45.61
     2060: 48.72

Health Forecast for Italy -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 21.06
     2030: 21.84
     2060: 22.90
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 23.99
     2030: 23.64
     2060: 22.27
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 1.976
     2030: 1.926
     2060: 1.860
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 1.881
     2030: 1.302
     2060: 1.119
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 2.259
     2030: 1.962
     2060: 1.361

Education Forecast for Italy -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 101.1
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 96.83
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 103.2
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 99.99
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 98.73
     2030: 99.07
     2060: 97.61
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 61.20
     2030: 62.82
     2060: 66.87
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 10.13
     2030: 10.95
     2060: 13.39
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 99.62
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Italy
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.080
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.003
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.080
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.982
     2030: 0.993
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 1.017
     2030: 0.960
     2060: 0.802
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,556
     2030: 3,612
     2060: 3,685
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.332
     2030: 0.398
     2060: 0.604
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.794
     2030: 0.893
     2060: 1.079

Economy Forecast for Italy
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 2,197
     2030: 2,338
     2060: 2,705
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 2,304
     2030: 2,442
     2060: 2,782
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 36.64
     2030: 40.11
     2060: 55.69
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.358
     2030: 0.354
     2060: 0.341
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 34.22
     2030: 32.41
     2060: 30.99
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 46.33
     2030: 49.51
     2060: 54.37

Energy Forecast for Italy
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.030
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Italy
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.075
     2030: 0.065
     2060: 0.031

International Politics Forecast for Italy
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 1.541
     2030: 1.356
     2060: 0.909

Domestic Government Forecast for Italy
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 4.268
     2030: 5.013
     2060: 8.095
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 3.097
     2030: 3.227
     2060: 3.707
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.436
     2030: 7.480
     2060: 7.640