Country Profile - Iran      IFs Version 7.79
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Iran
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Iran -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 86.45
     2030: 92.82
     2060: 102.2
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 1.168
     2030: 0.629
     2060: -0.122
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 17.39
     2030: 12.67
     2060: 10.72
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 5.210
     2030: 5.899
     2060: 11.50
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 12.90
     2030: 11.82
     2060: 9.228
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 76.19
     2030: 77.04
     2060: 79.75
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 73.87
     2030: 74.64
     2060: 77.34
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 78.56
     2030: 79.46
     2060: 82.13
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 2.101
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.098
     2030: 0.099
     2060: 0.053
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 7.874
     2030: 6.196
     2060: 5.603
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 21.37
     2030: 21.17
     2060: 17.63
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 59.17
     2030: 63.09
     2060: 59.75
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 5.904
     2030: 8.565
     2060: 24.86
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 66.15
     2030: 74.68
     2060: 85.97
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.339
     2030: 0.334
     2060: 0.292
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 21.25
     2030: 23.36
     2060: 29.36

Health Forecast for Iran -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 26.52
     2030: 27.75
     2060: 30.29
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 11.88
     2030: 12.15
     2060: 14.23
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 4.020
     2030: 3.706
     2060: 3.025
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 3.239
     2030: 2.525
     2060: 0.531
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 4.839
     2030: 4.083
     2060: 2.693

Education Forecast for Iran -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 103.7
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 98.40
     2030: 99.95
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 95.67
     2030: 93.04
     2060: 94.46
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 80.74
     2030: 83.59
     2060: 88.56
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 69.06
     2030: 70.15
     2060: 71.20
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 9.601
     2030: 9.860
     2060: 11.13
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 86.88
     2030: 88.85
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Iran
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.159
     2030: 0.145
     2060: 0.009
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.159
     2030: 0.145
     2060: 0.009
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.858
     2030: 0.873
     2060: 0.927
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 9.201
     2030: 7.836
     2060: 1.994
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,138
     2030: 3,213
     2060: 3,360
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -1.376
     2030: -1.280
     2060: -0.756
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.315
     2030: -0.309
     2060: -0.677

Economy Forecast for Iran
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 1,436
     2030: 1,621
     2060: 1,872
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 606.4
     2030: 707.6
     2060: 992.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 16.61
     2030: 17.47
     2060: 18.31
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.402
     2030: 0.403
     2060: 0.368
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 23.87
     2030: 19.94
     2060: 17.19
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 40.53
     2030: 41.79
     2060: 44.71

Energy Forecast for Iran
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 1.205
     2030: 1.268
     2060: 0.449

Environment Forecast for Iran
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.165
     2030: 0.170
     2060: 0.132

International Politics Forecast for Iran
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.544
     2030: 0.533
     2060: 0.371

Domestic Government Forecast for Iran
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 3.999
     2030: 4.050
     2060: 4.313
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 3.625
     2030: 4.344
     2060: 6.981
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 2.571
     2030: 2.861
     2060: 3.628
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 2.246
     2030: 2.297
     2060: 2.652
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 5.641
     2030: 5.626
     2060: 5.691