Country Profile - India      IFs Version 7.89
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for India
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for India -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 1,421
     2030: 1,506
     2060: 1,687
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 0.927
     2030: 0.690
     2060: 0.075
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 17.02
     2030: 15.03
     2060: 11.69
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 7.467
     2030: 7.855
     2060: 10.65
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 29.65
     2030: 23.88
     2060: 9.869
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 70.05
     2030: 71.50
     2060: 76.75
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 68.15
     2030: 69.37
     2060: 74.29
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 72.09
     2030: 73.76
     2060: 79.28
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 2.117
     2030: 1.914
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.140
     2030: 0.117
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 118.0
     2030: 113.7
     2060: 98.76
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 364.2
     2030: 345.6
     2060: 301.7
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 960.1
     2030: 1,035
     2060: 1,100
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 96.95
     2030: 124.9
     2060: 285.4
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 513.2
     2030: 588.7
     2060: 883.3
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.352
     2030: 0.351
     2060: 0.332
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 22.52
     2030: 24.35
     2060: 30.34

Health Forecast for India -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 3.145
     2030: 3.698
     2060: 6.283
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 12.93
     2030: 13.38
     2060: 15.86
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 27.04
     2030: 22.40
     2060: 8.908
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 30.73
     2030: 28.40
     2060: 21.73
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 10.20
     2030: 6.801
     2060: 0.660

Education Forecast for India -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 107.0
     2030: 105.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 94.39
     2030: 98.15
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 90.58
     2030: 92.10
     2060: 96.48
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 69.86
     2030: 75.54
     2060: 91.37
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 30.18
     2030: 35.65
     2060: 59.19
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 6.958
     2030: 7.346
     2060: 9.492
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 76.94
     2030: 81.92
     2060: 99.46

Social/Human Forecast for India
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 145.3
     2030: 70.24
     2060: 1.822
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 287.3
     2030: 160.6
     2060: 7.980
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.744
     2030: 0.779
     2060: 0.908
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 17.74
     2030: 14.04
     2060: 3.440
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 2,639
     2030: 2,756
     2060: 3,165
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 0.236
     2030: 0.238
     2060: 0.335
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.640
     2030: -0.590
     2060: -0.338

Economy Forecast for India
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 10,189
     2030: 12,923
     2060: 30,262
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 3,552
     2030: 5,088
     2060: 18,830
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 7.169
     2030: 8.582
     2060: 17.94
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.359
     2030: 0.360
     2060: 0.333
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 14.20
     2030: 15.61
     2060: 20.33
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 32.30
     2030: 34.93
     2060: 51.23

Energy Forecast for India
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.284
     2030: 0.388
     2060: 0.161

Environment Forecast for India
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.850
     2030: 1.095
     2060: 1.781

International Politics Forecast for India
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 3.638
     2030: 4.117
     2060: 6.408

Domestic Government Forecast for India
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 11.26
     2030: 11.64
     2060: 13.55
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 19.23
     2030: 19.36
     2060: 18.52
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 4.060
     2030: 4.201
     2060: 5.103
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 2.688
     2030: 2.821
     2060: 3.320
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 6.758
     2030: 6.867
     2060: 7.267