Country Profile - India      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for India
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for India -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 1,446
     2030: 1,510
     2060: 1,624
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.804
     2030: 0.582
     2060: -0.112
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 15.32
     2030: 13.49
     2060: 9.886
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 6.991
     2030: 7.387
     2060: 10.72
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 24.67
     2030: 19.05
     2060: 7.791
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 72.12
     2030: 73.57
     2060: 78.90
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 70.71
     2030: 71.97
     2060: 76.97
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 73.62
     2030: 75.26
     2060: 80.90
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.911
     2030: 1.730
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.138
     2030: 0.119
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 110.8
     2030: 104.4
     2060: 81.47
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 350.4
     2030: 328.6
     2060: 255.4
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 985.7
     2030: 1,044
     2060: 1,052
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 109.9
     2030: 137.0
     2060: 316.8
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 532.3
     2030: 600.0
     2060: 878.7
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.355
     2030: 0.354
     2060: 0.331
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 24.05
     2030: 25.69
     2060: 31.95

Health Forecast for India -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 4.422
     2030: 5.006
     2060: 8.096
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 12.78
     2030: 13.33
     2060: 16.12
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 25.93
     2030: 21.25
     2060: 10.18
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 29.12
     2030: 26.91
     2060: 20.60
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 12.56
     2030: 9.367
     2060: 1.584

Education Forecast for India -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 112.2
     2030: 105.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 95.73
     2030: 98.66
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 90.69
     2030: 92.39
     2060: 96.21
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 70.52
     2030: 76.63
     2060: 89.33
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 30.39
     2030: 35.59
     2060: 53.07
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 6.970
     2030: 7.593
     2060: 10.10
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 76.49
     2030: 79.33
     2060: 98.78

Social/Human Forecast for India
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 118.6
     2030: 74.84
     2060: 4.315
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 519.1
     2030: 401.3
     2060: 59.21
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.755
     2030: 0.783
     2060: 0.922
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 17.52
     2030: 15.13
     2060: 3.795
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,644
     2030: 2,746
     2060: 3,165
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.247
     2030: 0.251
     2060: 0.348
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.637
     2030: -0.584
     2060: -0.316

Economy Forecast for India
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 10,437
     2030: 13,261
     2060: 31,689
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 3,718
     2030: 5,312
     2060: 20,539
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 7.218
     2030: 8.785
     2060: 19.51
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.358
     2030: 0.360
     2060: 0.370
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 17.57
     2030: 17.38
     2060: 17.62
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 32.12
     2030: 35.43
     2060: 46.98

Energy Forecast for India
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.192
     2030: 0.157
     2060: 0.017

Environment Forecast for India
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.812
     2030: 0.958
     2060: 1.084

International Politics Forecast for India
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 3.819
     2030: 4.375
     2060: 7.158

Domestic Government Forecast for India
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 10.29
     2030: 10.76
     2060: 12.71
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 19.18
     2030: 19.50
     2060: 18.69
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 4.101
     2030: 4.281
     2060: 5.349
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.980
     2030: 3.108
     2060: 3.552
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.757
     2030: 6.880
     2060: 7.317