Country Profile - Israel      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Israel
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Israel -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 9.245
     2030: 9.897
     2060: 12.20
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.227
     2030: 1.035
     2060: 0.334
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 17.54
     2030: 15.84
     2060: 10.68
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 5.292
     2030: 5.521
     2060: 7.523
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 2.208
     2030: 1.793
     2060: 0.798
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 83.51
     2030: 84.22
     2060: 87.08
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 81.82
     2030: 82.51
     2060: 85.34
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 85.19
     2030: 85.93
     2060: 88.85
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 2.694
     2030: 2.406
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.092
     2030: 0.082
     2060: 0.027
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.842
     2030: 0.793
     2060: 0.662
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 2.551
     2030: 2.514
     2060: 2.121
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 5.537
     2030: 6.054
     2060: 7.667
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 1.158
     2030: 1.329
     2060: 2.408
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 9.007
     2030: 9.642
     2060: 11.82
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.468
     2030: 0.468
     2060: 0.444
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.75
     2030: 49.48
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Israel -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 34.56
     2030: 36.25
     2060: 37.86
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 30.08
     2030: 29.29
     2060: 28.79
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 1.929
     2030: 1.820
     2060: 1.743
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 1.006
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

Education Forecast for Israel -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 103.2
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 99.21
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 99.66
     2030: 98.86
     2060: 99.55
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 97.53
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 99.97
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 65.11
     2030: 67.42
     2060: 76.32
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 12.21
     2030: 12.50
     2060: 13.72
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 92.52
     2030: 93.43
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Israel
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.030
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.062
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.973
     2030: 0.990
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 5.194
     2030: 4.559
     2060: 0.654
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,694
     2030: 3,783
     2060: 3,866
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.252
     2030: 0.311
     2060: 0.564
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.412
     2030: 0.545
     2060: 1.076

Economy Forecast for Israel
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 414.7
     2030: 529.5
     2060: 1,237
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 458.3
     2030: 581.3
     2060: 1,314
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 44.86
     2030: 53.50
     2060: 101.4
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.383
     2030: 0.380
     2060: 0.359
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 41.36
     2030: 35.18
     2060: 28.19
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 95.55
     2030: 96.47
     2060: 101.4

Energy Forecast for Israel
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Israel
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.017
     2030: 0.019
     2060: 0.021

International Politics Forecast for Israel
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 2.338
     2030: 2.338
     2060: 2.433

Domestic Government Forecast for Israel
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 11.13
     2030: 11.33
     2060: 12.29
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 16.29
     2030: 16.66
     2060: 18.07
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 6.783
     2030: 7.938
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.657
     2030: 3.793
     2060: 4.315
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.708
     2030: 7.809
     2060: 8.201