Country Profile - Hungary      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Hungary
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Hungary -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 9.625
     2030: 9.380
     2060: 7.861
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -0.379
     2030: -0.496
     2060: -0.637
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 9.179
     2030: 8.660
     2060: 8.482
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 13.60
     2030: 14.27
     2060: 15.62
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 3.142
     2030: 2.938
     2060: 2.291
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 77.15
     2030: 77.91
     2060: 81.53
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 73.72
     2030: 74.42
     2060: 77.92
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 80.33
     2030: 81.15
     2060: 84.92
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.574
     2030: 1.575
     2060: 1.617
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.027
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.463
     2030: 0.422
     2060: 0.343
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 1.390
     2030: 1.352
     2060: 1.079
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 6.180
     2030: 5.982
     2060: 4.482
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 2.055
     2030: 2.047
     2060: 2.301
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 7.059
     2030: 7.033
     2060: 6.129
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.483
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.454
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 45.83
     2030: 47.06
     2060: 49.49

Health Forecast for Hungary -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 23.71
     2030: 24.81
     2060: 27.82
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 29.42
     2030: 28.97
     2060: 26.13
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 3.048
     2030: 2.890
     2060: 2.480
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.890
     2030: 2.274
     2060: 1.133
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.086

Education Forecast for Hungary -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 103.5
     2030: 102.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 95.53
     2030: 98.55
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 98.88
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 104.0
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 100.7
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 49.38
     2030: 51.49
     2060: 59.18
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 11.83
     2030: 12.09
     2060: 12.98
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 99.40
     2030: 99.76
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Hungary
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.031
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.072
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.944
     2030: 0.954
     2060: 0.996
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 1.310
     2030: 1.238
     2060: 1.083
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,358
     2030: 3,429
     2060: 3,614
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.543
     2030: 0.619
     2060: 0.794
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.981
     2030: -0.872
     2060: -0.339

Economy Forecast for Hungary
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 319.6
     2030: 340.9
     2060: 413.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 171.2
     2030: 197.1
     2060: 306.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 33.21
     2030: 36.34
     2060: 52.63
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.296
     2030: 0.296
     2060: 0.302
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 61.23
     2030: 57.22
     2060: 52.04
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 50.22
     2030: 52.37
     2060: 56.89

Energy Forecast for Hungary
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Hungary
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.014
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Hungary
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.325
     2030: 0.318
     2060: 0.274

Domestic Government Forecast for Hungary
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 10.07
     2030: 10.19
     2060: 10.59
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 19.95
     2030: 19.90
     2060: 19.83
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 4.817
     2030: 5.365
     2060: 8.114
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.123
     2030: 3.227
     2060: 3.699
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.566
     2030: 7.612
     2060: 7.799