Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 8.06
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 3.992
     2030: 3.840
     2060: 3.014
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -0.598
     2030: -0.685
     2060: -0.845
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 9.120
     2030: 8.614
     2060: 8.366
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 14.98
     2030: 14.94
     2060: 16.14
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 3.412
     2030: 3.158
     2060: 2.235
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 77.84
     2030: 78.52
     2060: 81.96
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 74.61
     2030: 75.26
     2060: 78.67
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 80.92
     2030: 81.63
     2060: 85.12
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.503
     2030: 1.522
     2060: 1.651
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.027
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.188
     2030: 0.172
     2060: 0.129
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.570
     2030: 0.539
     2060: 0.401
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 2.517
     2030: 2.372
     2060: 1.717
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.905
     2030: 0.929
     2060: 0.896
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 2.318
     2030: 2.290
     2060: 1.954
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.429
     2030: 0.427
     2060: 0.406
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 47.10
     2030: 48.14
     2060: 49.80

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 30.20
     2030: 31.82
     2060: 37.40
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 34.73
     2030: 33.95
     2060: 30.95
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 5.195
     2030: 4.727
     2060: 3.355
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 5.119
     2030: 4.064
     2060: 2.601
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.456
     2030: 0.228
     2060: 0.080

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 102.0
     2030: 102.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 94.75
     2030: 98.06
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 108.5
     2030: 108.9
     2060: 101.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 90.50
     2030: 93.57
     2060: 98.45
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 67.48
     2030: 69.34
     2060: 76.62
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 11.58
     2030: 11.79
     2060: 12.90
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 99.46
     2030: 99.84
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.009
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.018
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.945
     2030: 0.956
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 2.208
     2030: 1.922
     2060: 1.231
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,183
     2030: 3,270
     2060: 3,547
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.397
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.724
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.026
     2030: 0.159
     2060: 0.624

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 126.0
     2030: 134.7
     2060: 175.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 68.48
     2030: 79.42
     2060: 132.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 31.57
     2030: 35.07
     2060: 58.27
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.291
     2030: 0.291
     2060: 0.283
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 40.87
     2030: 38.72
     2060: 37.45
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 50.56
     2030: 54.40
     2060: 64.29

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.005
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.005
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.163
     2030: 0.159
     2060: 0.148

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 13.11
     2030: 13.25
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 19.18
     2030: 19.45
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 5.166
     2030: 5.734
     2060: 9.214
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.069
     2030: 3.192
     2060: 3.768
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.407
     2030: 7.464
     2060: 7.724