Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 7.79
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 4.021
     2030: 3.813
     2060: 2.944
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: -0.671
     2030: -0.704
     2060: -0.968
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 8.626
     2030: 8.215
     2060: 7.890
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 14.31
     2030: 14.42
     2060: 16.66
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 3.429
     2030: 3.055
     2060: 2.156
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 77.82
     2030: 78.74
     2060: 82.09
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 74.56
     2030: 75.44
     2060: 78.75
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 80.86
     2030: 81.84
     2060: 85.25
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.446
     2030: 1.487
     2060: 1.631
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.027
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.178
     2030: 0.161
     2060: 0.119
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 0.579
     2030: 0.511
     2060: 0.372
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 2.594
     2030: 2.396
     2060: 1.666
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.848
     2030: 0.906
     2060: 0.906
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 2.326
     2030: 2.285
     2060: 1.920
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.432
     2030: 0.426
     2060: 0.396
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 47.45
     2030: 48.67
     2060: 49.88

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 28.21
     2030: 30.27
     2060: 35.29
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 34.76
     2030: 34.51
     2060: 31.15
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 5.392
     2030: 4.791
     2060: 3.415
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 5.143
     2030: 4.029
     2060: 2.538
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 2.055
     2030: 1.637
     2060: 0.997

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 100.3
     2030: 102.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 92.63
     2030: 97.48
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 107.3
     2030: 109.2
     2060: 101.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 89.99
     2030: 92.12
     2060: 97.70
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 66.62
     2030: 70.01
     2060: 76.30
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 11.62
     2030: 11.94
     2060: 13.08
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 99.45
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.003
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.003
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.931
     2030: 0.947
     2060: 0.995
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 2.150
     2030: 1.877
     2060: 1.239
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,181
     2030: 3,295
     2060: 3,551
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.397
     2030: 0.492
     2060: 0.712
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.029
     2030: 0.191
     2060: 0.604

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 99.24
     2030: 110.4
     2060: 143.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 72.37
     2030: 88.38
     2060: 131.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 24.68
     2030: 28.95
     2060: 48.73
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.300
     2030: 0.301
     2060: 0.291
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 34.68
     2030: 32.20
     2060: 32.54
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 50.44
     2030: 55.03
     2060: 67.23

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.005
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.159
     2030: 0.157
     2060: 0.145

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 13.20
     2030: 13.44
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 19.22
     2030: 19.51
     2060: 19.97
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 4.355
     2030: 5.058
     2060: 8.090
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 3.078
     2030: 3.240
     2060: 3.775
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.308
     2030: 7.393
     2060: 7.662