Country Profile - Honduras      IFs Version 7.79
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Honduras
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Honduras -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 10.18
     2030: 11.37
     2060: 14.30
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 1.504
     2030: 1.197
     2060: 0.395
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 20.86
     2030: 17.81
     2060: 12.29
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 5.181
     2030: 5.503
     2060: 8.255
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 9.996
     2030: 7.330
     2060: 2.522
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 73.41
     2030: 74.42
     2060: 78.88
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 72.13
     2030: 72.79
     2060: 77.25
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 74.68
     2030: 76.07
     2060: 80.52
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 2.349
     2030: 2.064
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.202
     2030: 0.153
     2060: 0.029
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 1.027
     2030: 1.031
     2060: 0.888
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 3.104
     2030: 3.076
     2060: 2.717
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 6.579
     2030: 7.601
     2060: 9.331
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.496
     2030: 0.688
     2060: 2.256
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 6.091
     2030: 7.313
     2060: 10.61
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.457
     2030: 0.459
     2060: 0.431
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 37.48
     2030: 39.48
     2060: 44.52

Health Forecast for Honduras -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 15.94
     2030: 16.82
     2060: 20.50
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 19.09
     2030: 19.38
     2060: 21.67
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 6.614
     2030: 5.774
     2060: 4.036
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 4.942
     2030: 1.288
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 12.20
     2030: 10.49
     2060: 5.496

Education Forecast for Honduras -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 96.75
     2030: 99.63
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 85.29
     2030: 91.49
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 71.13
     2030: 80.55
     2060: 95.37
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 45.08
     2030: 56.91
     2060: 82.81
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 27.55
     2030: 33.66
     2060: 55.90
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 6.575
     2030: 7.142
     2060: 9.475
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 88.52
     2030: 90.60
     2060: 98.66

Social/Human Forecast for Honduras
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 2.240
     2030: 2.307
     2060: 1.783
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 3.756
     2030: 3.887
     2060: 3.148
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.775
     2030: 0.795
     2060: 0.890
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 8.494
     2030: 6.958
     2060: 2.389
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,594
     2030: 2,664
     2060: 2,925
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.055
     2030: -0.051
     2060: -0.053
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.190
     2030: -0.161
     2060: -0.046

Economy Forecast for Honduras
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 44.99
     2030: 57.62
     2060: 158.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 23.47
     2030: 30.78
     2060: 112.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 4.420
     2030: 5.070
     2060: 11.05
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.506
     2030: 0.520
     2060: 0.569
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 46.49
     2030: 45.93
     2060: 19.87
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 10.34
     2030: 14.70
     2060: 31.96

Energy Forecast for Honduras
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Honduras
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Honduras
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.080
     2030: 0.083
     2060: 0.104

Domestic Government Forecast for Honduras
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 8.144
     2030: 8.527
     2060: 10.05
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 17.31
     2030: 18.27
     2060: 19.93
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 2.654
     2030: 2.997
     2060: 4.398
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 1.811
     2030: 1.998
     2060: 2.773
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.117
     2030: 7.242
     2060: 7.699