Country Profile - Honduras      IFs Version 7.89
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Honduras
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Honduras -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 10.34
     2030: 11.37
     2060: 14.33
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 1.486
     2030: 1.184
     2060: 0.396
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 20.45
     2030: 17.57
     2060: 12.24
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 5.158
     2030: 5.444
     2060: 8.217
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 9.274
     2030: 6.961
     2060: 2.414
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 73.67
     2030: 74.60
     2060: 79.04
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 72.37
     2030: 73.00
     2060: 77.45
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 74.98
     2030: 76.22
     2060: 80.64
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 2.302
     2030: 2.032
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.196
     2030: 0.153
     2060: 0.029
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 1.035
     2030: 1.021
     2060: 0.885
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 3.100
     2030: 3.068
     2060: 2.712
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 6.727
     2030: 7.617
     2060: 9.343
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 0.517
     2030: 0.690
     2060: 2.271
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 6.249
     2030: 7.337
     2060: 10.75
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.439
     2030: 0.441
     2060: 0.415
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 37.80
     2030: 39.53
     2060: 44.56

Health Forecast for Honduras -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 16.13
     2030: 17.00
     2060: 20.96
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 19.13
     2030: 19.46
     2060: 21.84
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 6.392
     2030: 5.401
     2060: 3.793
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 3.846
     2030: 0.942
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 11.20
     2030: 9.176
     2060: 2.799

Education Forecast for Honduras -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 97.71
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 86.83
     2030: 92.68
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 74.73
     2030: 80.74
     2060: 90.56
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 49.38
     2030: 58.56
     2060: 76.79
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 29.24
     2030: 36.20
     2060: 58.77
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 6.657
     2030: 7.202
     2060: 9.557
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 90.03
     2030: 91.85
     2060: 98.79

Social/Human Forecast for Honduras
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 2.060
     2030: 1.907
     2060: 0.833
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 3.532
     2030: 3.381
     2060: 1.804
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.784
     2030: 0.803
     2060: 0.894
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 7.512
     2030: 6.118
     2060: 2.320
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 2,723
     2030: 2,792
     2060: 3,074
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.052
     2030: -0.046
     2060: -0.039
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.182
     2030: -0.152
     2060: -0.021

Economy Forecast for Honduras
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 48.42
     2030: 60.50
     2060: 167.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 25.75
     2030: 33.44
     2060: 123.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 4.681
     2030: 5.319
     2060: 11.71
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.497
     2030: 0.502
     2060: 0.508
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 46.56
     2030: 46.11
     2060: 20.50
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 11.91
     2030: 16.35
     2060: 35.02

Energy Forecast for Honduras
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.004
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Honduras
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.008

International Politics Forecast for Honduras
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.078
     2030: 0.083
     2060: 0.107

Domestic Government Forecast for Honduras
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 8.229
     2030: 8.601
     2060: 10.11
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 17.57
     2030: 18.71
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 3.063
     2030: 3.382
     2060: 4.913
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 2.084
     2030: 2.240
     2060: 2.943
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 7.181
     2030: 7.281
     2060: 7.738