Country Profile - Hong Kong      IFs Version 7.58
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Hong Kong
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Hong Kong -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 7.224
     2030: 7.195
     2060: 6.290
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.116
     2030: -0.160
     2060: -0.548
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 9.385
     2030: 6.992
     2060: 7.775
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 12.27
     2030: 12.59
     2060: 16.69
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 0.884
     2030: 0.698
     2060: 0.376
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 77.10
     2030: 78.27
     2060: 81.45
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 73.93
     2030: 75.02
     2060: 78.26
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 79.81
     2030: 80.99
     2060: 84.22
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.263
     2030: 1.316
     2060: 1.524
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.009
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.357
     2030: 0.275
     2060: 0.253
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 0.951
     2030: 0.993
     2060: 0.813
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 5.052
     2030: 4.561
     2060: 3.533
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 1.222
     2030: 1.642
     2060: 1.945
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 7.224
     2030: 7.195
     2060: 6.290
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.536
     2030: 0.500
     2060: 0.454
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 48.61
     2030: 48.61
     2060: 48.61

Health Forecast for Hong Kong -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 26.41
     2030: 27.95
     2060: 29.34
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 16.15
     2030: 15.94
     2060: 16.24
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 2.961
     2030: 2.612
     2060: 2.438
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.857
     2030: 1.875
     2060: 2.086
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.152
     2030: 1.717
     2060: 1.218

Education Forecast for Hong Kong -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 101.3
     2030: 99.84
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 109.4
     2030: 101.8
     2060: 99.80
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 101.1
     2030: 99.61
     2060: 98.07
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 72.94
     2030: 77.38
     2060: 80.07
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 11.59
     2030: 12.05
     2060: 13.40
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Hong Kong
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.973
     2030: 0.986
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 1.501
     2030: 1.351
     2060: 1.134
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,359
     2030: 3,451
     2060: 3,539
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.536
     2030: 0.600
     2060: 0.719
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 1.305
     2030: 1.325
     2060: 1.193

Economy Forecast for Hong Kong
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 390.1
     2030: 442.0
     2060: 520.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 283.5
     2030: 329.9
     2060: 426.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 54.01
     2030: 61.43
     2060: 82.67
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.397
     2030: 0.386
     2060: 0.356
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 57.12
     2030: 50.36
     2060: 41.81
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 37.87
     2030: 42.54
     2060: 53.80

Energy Forecast for Hong Kong
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Hong Kong
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.012
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Hong Kong
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.291
     2030: 0.294
     2060: 0.189

Domestic Government Forecast for Hong Kong
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 2.362
     2030: 2.415
     2060: 2.568
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 19.61
     2030: 19.63
     2060: 19.71
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 8.604
     2030: 9.726
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 4.400
     2030: 4.460
     2060: 4.579
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 8.893
     2030: 8.966
     2060: 9.135