Country Profile - Hong Kong      IFs Version 7.78
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Hong Kong
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Hong Kong -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 7.319
     2030: 7.351
     2060: 6.103
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.057
     2030: -0.069
     2060: -0.799
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 8.803
     2030: 7.089
     2060: 7.138
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 12.57
     2030: 12.17
     2060: 17.62
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 0.926
     2030: 0.708
     2060: 0.362
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 76.88
     2030: 78.18
     2060: 81.59
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 73.73
     2030: 74.96
     2060: 78.41
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 79.58
     2030: 80.89
     2060: 84.30
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.108
     2030: 1.234
     2060: 1.466
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.318
     2030: 0.282
     2060: 0.226
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 0.896
     2030: 0.944
     2060: 0.713
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 5.251
     2030: 4.818
     2060: 3.371
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 1.171
     2030: 1.589
     2060: 2.019
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 7.319
     2030: 7.351
     2060: 6.103
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.537
     2030: 0.504
     2060: 0.440
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 49.06
     2030: 49.06
     2060: 49.06

Health Forecast for Hong Kong -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 26.87
     2030: 29.19
     2060: 32.04
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 16.78
     2030: 16.57
     2060: 16.69
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 2.442
     2030: 2.145
     2060: 1.907
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.813
     2030: 1.722
     2060: 1.334
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.419
     2030: 1.746
     2060: 1.060

Education Forecast for Hong Kong -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 104.0
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 96.29
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 110.7
     2030: 103.9
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 101.5
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 99.00
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 76.54
     2030: 84.29
     2060: 86.85
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 11.53
     2030: 12.04
     2060: 13.40
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Hong Kong
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.973
     2030: 0.990
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 1.450
     2030: 1.292
     2060: 1.043
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,393
     2030: 3,531
     2060: 3,695
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.532
     2030: 0.601
     2060: 0.739
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 1.320
     2030: 1.354
     2060: 1.278

Economy Forecast for Hong Kong
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 408.2
     2030: 489.1
     2060: 595.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 293.9
     2030: 361.7
     2060: 484.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 55.78
     2030: 66.54
     2060: 97.62
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.403
     2030: 0.391
     2060: 0.356
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 60.84
     2030: 53.09
     2060: 47.92
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 38.36
     2030: 44.94
     2060: 57.49

Energy Forecast for Hong Kong
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Hong Kong
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.012
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Hong Kong
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 0.575
     2030: 0.588
     2060: 0.458

Domestic Government Forecast for Hong Kong
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 2.263
     2030: 2.326
     2060: 2.486
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 19.63
     2030: 19.65
     2060: 19.73
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 8.467
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 4.351
     2030: 4.448
     2060: 4.643
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 8.907
     2030: 9.007
     2060: 9.226