Country Profile - Hong Kong      IFs Version 7.79
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Hong Kong
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Hong Kong -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 7.335
     2030: 7.391
     2060: 6.216
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 0.037
     2030: -0.070
     2060: -0.761
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 8.679
     2030: 7.053
     2060: 7.256
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 12.33
     2030: 12.12
     2060: 17.31
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 0.892
     2030: 0.709
     2060: 0.362
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 77.04
     2030: 78.17
     2060: 81.58
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 73.88
     2030: 74.95
     2060: 78.40
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 79.75
     2030: 80.88
     2060: 84.29
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.131
     2030: 1.234
     2060: 1.466
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.009
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.340
     2030: 0.291
     2060: 0.237
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 0.928
     2030: 0.983
     2060: 0.755
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 5.204
     2030: 4.820
     2060: 3.442
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 1.203
     2030: 1.588
     2060: 2.019
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 7.335
     2030: 7.391
     2060: 6.197
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.534
     2030: 0.504
     2060: 0.442
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 49.06
     2030: 49.06
     2060: 49.06

Health Forecast for Hong Kong -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 27.26
     2030: 29.16
     2060: 32.03
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 16.16
     2030: 15.98
     2060: 16.12
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 2.399
     2030: 2.147
     2060: 1.907
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 1.511
     2030: 1.741
     2060: 1.332
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 2.292
     2030: 1.749
     2060: 1.060

Education Forecast for Hong Kong -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 102.9
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 96.82
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 111.0
     2030: 103.8
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 101.8
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 98.98
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 77.92
     2030: 84.06
     2060: 86.47
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 11.60
     2030: 12.04
     2060: 13.40
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Hong Kong
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.010
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.010
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.976
     2030: 0.990
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 1.426
     2030: 1.293
     2060: 1.043
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,417
     2030: 3,530
     2060: 3,696
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.540
     2030: 0.601
     2060: 0.741
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 1.327
     2030: 1.354
     2060: 1.274

Economy Forecast for Hong Kong
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 421.4
     2030: 489.8
     2060: 606.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 304.2
     2030: 362.2
     2060: 493.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 57.44
     2030: 66.27
     2060: 97.54
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.401
     2030: 0.391
     2060: 0.357
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 60.00
     2030: 52.74
     2060: 47.38
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 40.62
     2030: 44.70
     2060: 56.98

Energy Forecast for Hong Kong
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Hong Kong
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.012
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Hong Kong
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.564
     2030: 0.589
     2060: 0.464

Domestic Government Forecast for Hong Kong
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 2.274
     2030: 2.326
     2060: 2.485
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 19.63
     2030: 19.65
     2060: 19.73
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 8.712
     2030: 9.979
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 4.368
     2030: 4.445
     2060: 4.643
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 8.923
     2030: 9.005
     2060: 9.225