Country Profile - Hong Kong      IFs Version 8.06
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Hong Kong
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Hong Kong -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 7.371
     2030: 7.307
     2060: 6.016
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -0.257
     2030: -0.251
     2060: -0.780
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 8.300
     2030: 6.942
     2060: 7.033
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 13.90
     2030: 13.38
     2060: 17.35
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 0.895
     2030: 0.737
     2060: 0.361
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 77.04
     2030: 77.97
     2060: 81.54
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 73.87
     2030: 74.75
     2060: 78.38
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 79.73
     2030: 80.65
     2060: 84.22
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.026
     2030: 1.153
     2060: 1.408
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.009
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.323
     2030: 0.290
     2060: 0.224
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.985
     2030: 0.990
     2060: 0.721
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 4.939
     2030: 4.643
     2060: 3.346
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 1.447
     2030: 1.674
     2060: 1.950
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 7.371
     2030: 7.307
     2060: 6.007
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.522
     2030: 0.502
     2060: 0.449
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 49.49
     2030: 49.49
     2060: 49.49

Health Forecast for Hong Kong -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 25.60
     2030: 27.39
     2060: 31.74
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 16.67
     2030: 16.48
     2060: 16.70
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 3.768
     2030: 3.435
     2060: 2.580
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 3.019
     2030: 2.927
     2060: 2.560
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.387
     2030: 0.177
     2060: 0.062

Education Forecast for Hong Kong -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 101.2
     2030: 98.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 100.00
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 111.5
     2030: 103.1
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 105.2
     2030: 104.5
     2060: 99.52
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 79.05
     2030: 79.71
     2060: 86.11
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 12.16
     2030: 12.44
     2060: 13.71
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Hong Kong
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.005
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.007
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.978
     2030: 0.992
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 1.659
     2030: 1.522
     2060: 1.166
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,299
     2030: 3,410
     2060: 3,669
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.552
     2030: 0.605
     2060: 0.778
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.351
     2030: 1.378
     2060: 1.338

Economy Forecast for Hong Kong
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 443.1
     2030: 511.1
     2060: 666.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 353.1
     2030: 412.6
     2060: 576.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 60.12
     2030: 69.94
     2060: 110.8
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.410
     2030: 0.402
     2060: 0.362
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 65.22
     2030: 58.26
     2060: 54.00
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 36.03
     2030: 38.10
     2060: 53.73

Energy Forecast for Hong Kong
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.063
     2030: 0.052
     2060: 0.008

Environment Forecast for Hong Kong
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.008
     2030: 0.008
     2060: -0.009

International Politics Forecast for Hong Kong
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.686
     2030: 0.657
     2060: 0.438

Domestic Government Forecast for Hong Kong
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 2.179
     2030: 2.210
     2060: 2.349
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 19.66
     2030: 19.67
     2060: 19.74
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 8.015
     2030: 9.345
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 4.259
     2030: 4.353
     2060: 4.642
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 8.926
     2030: 9.012
     2060: 9.276