Country Profile - Gambia      IFs Version 8.06
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     Forecast Categories for Gambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 2.802
     2030: 3.196
     2060: 5.330
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 2.237
     2030: 2.172
     2060: 1.021
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 28.45
     2030: 27.56
     2060: 16.29
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 5.083
     2030: 4.864
     2060: 5.539
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 28.51
     2030: 23.31
     2060: 7.944
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 69.02
     2030: 70.74
     2060: 76.60
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 66.97
     2030: 68.57
     2060: 74.02
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 71.06
     2030: 72.91
     2060: 79.23
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 4.546
     2030: 4.134
     2060: 2.308
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.768
     2030: 0.670
     2060: 0.194
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.366
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.443
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 1.137
     2030: 1.156
     2060: 1.389
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.588
     2030: 1.932
     2060: 3.541
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.077
     2030: 0.107
     2060: 0.400
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 1.851
     2030: 2.240
     2060: 4.254
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.344
     2030: 0.346
     2060: 0.336
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.18
     2030: 49.02
     2060: 49.96

Health Forecast for Gambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 4.222
     2030: 4.653
     2060: 7.185
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 17.62
     2030: 17.79
     2060: 19.41
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 11.70
     2030: 10.17
     2060: 5.108
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 10.88
     2030: 8.502
     2060: 0.146
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 14.99
     2030: 11.62
     2060: 2.351

Education Forecast for Gambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 102.9
     2030: 104.6
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 81.97
     2030: 85.78
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 68.74
     2030: 75.25
     2060: 91.19
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 38.65
     2030: 43.83
     2060: 64.94
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 4.369
     2030: 7.405
     2060: 23.66
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 5.251
     2030: 5.889
     2060: 8.663
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 55.27
     2030: 65.42
     2060: 96.99

Social/Human Forecast for Gambia
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.380
     2030: 0.353
     2060: 0.042
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 1.177
     2030: 1.185
     2060: 0.318
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.601
     2030: 0.653
     2060: 0.849
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 31.24
     2030: 24.20
     2060: 3.579
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,477
     2030: 2,569
     2060: 2,968
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.253
     2030: -0.278
     2060: -0.363
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.630
     2030: -0.580
     2060: -0.297

Economy Forecast for Gambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 6.202
     2030: 8.186
     2060: 39.08
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 2.107
     2030: 2.969
     2060: 22.05
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 2.213
     2030: 2.562
     2060: 7.332
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.385
     2030: 0.386
     2060: 0.400
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 42.30
     2030: 41.39
     2060: 42.93
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 2.799
     2030: 4.706
     2060: 16.73

Energy Forecast for Gambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Gambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Gambia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.053
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.073

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 8.263
     2030: 8.720
     2060: 10.80
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 14.04
     2030: 14.28
     2060: 17.19
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.691
     2030: 3.734
     2060: 4.446
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 1.930
     2030: 2.039
     2060: 2.820
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.088
     2030: 7.180
     2060: 7.844