Country Profile - Gambia      IFs Version 8.28
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Gambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 2.859
     2030: 3.335
     2060: 6.023
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 2.630
     2030: 2.545
     2060: 1.338
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 32.56
     2030: 31.35
     2060: 19.01
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 5.259
     2030: 4.937
     2060: 5.107
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 24.42
     2030: 20.85
     2060: 8.476
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 68.08
     2030: 69.66
     2060: 75.57
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 65.98
     2030: 67.48
     2060: 73.11
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 70.16
     2030: 71.86
     2060: 78.09
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 4.512
     2030: 4.168
     2060: 2.476
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.760
     2030: 0.663
     2060: 0.192
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.429
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.572
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 1.202
     2030: 1.311
     2060: 1.721
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.583
     2030: 1.923
     2060: 3.929
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.074
     2030: 0.101
     2060: 0.373
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 1.854
     2030: 2.262
     2060: 4.628
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.343
     2030: 0.345
     2060: 0.340
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 47.96
     2030: 48.89
     2060: 49.95

Health Forecast for Gambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 4.182
     2030: 4.600
     2060: 6.833
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 17.60
     2030: 17.79
     2060: 19.01
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 10.94
     2030: 9.642
     2060: 5.102
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 9.966
     2030: 7.748
     2060: 2.809
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 16.21
     2030: 13.20
     2060: 4.328

Education Forecast for Gambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 103.0
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 100.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 81.37
     2030: 85.61
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 65.72
     2030: 74.09
     2060: 91.87
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 137.9
     2030: 138.3
     2060: 133.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 4.730
     2030: 7.071
     2060: 20.69
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 5.268
     2030: 5.751
     2060: 8.161
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 54.03
     2030: 63.35
     2060: 96.78

Social/Human Forecast for Gambia
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.358
     2030: 0.326
     2060: 0.073
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 1.161
     2030: 1.169
     2060: 0.492
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.591
     2030: 0.637
     2060: 0.829
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 32.06
     2030: 25.60
     2060: 3.803
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,465
     2030: 2,556
     2060: 2,919
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.250
     2030: -0.276
     2060: -0.405
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.640
     2030: -0.595
     2060: -0.366

Economy Forecast for Gambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 6.218
     2030: 8.062
     2060: 34.60
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 2.103
     2030: 2.855
     2060: 17.43
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 2.175
     2030: 2.417
     2060: 5.745
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.381
     2030: 0.382
     2060: 0.403
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 43.04
     2030: 41.81
     2060: 41.82
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 2.042
     2030: 3.652
     2060: 14.60

Energy Forecast for Gambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Gambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Gambia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.055
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.072

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 8.179
     2030: 8.570
     2060: 10.51
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.22
     2060: 16.69
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.690
     2030: 3.719
     2060: 4.223
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 1.776
     2030: 1.869
     2060: 2.569
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.085
     2030: 7.154
     2060: 7.704