Country Profile - Gambia      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for Gambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 2.587
     2030: 3.242
     2060: 5.897
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 3.037
     2030: 2.636
     2060: 1.329
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 36.71
     2030: 31.81
     2060: 18.32
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 4.988
     2030: 4.314
     2060: 4.436
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 26.82
     2030: 18.98
     2060: 5.218
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 69.51
     2030: 72.06
     2060: 78.11
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 67.43
     2030: 69.84
     2060: 75.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 71.59
     2030: 74.30
     2060: 80.76
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 4.957
     2030: 4.287
     2060: 2.344
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.880
     2030: 0.739
     2060: 0.214
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.437
     2030: 0.489
     2060: 0.546
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 1.137
     2030: 1.346
     2060: 1.656
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 1.379
     2030: 1.797
     2060: 3.843
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.072
     2030: 0.099
     2060: 0.399
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 1.637
     2030: 2.189
     2060: 4.616
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.335
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.340
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 45.24
     2030: 46.82
     2060: 49.29

Health Forecast for Gambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 2.923
     2030: 3.395
     2060: 5.519
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 17.61
     2030: 17.88
     2060: 19.99
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 10.35
     2030: 7.371
     2060: 3.416
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 9.571
     2030: 6.348
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 9.520
     2030: 6.955
     2060: 2.782

Education Forecast for Gambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 98.40
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 101.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 78.75
     2030: 83.95
     2060: 99.61
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 68.48
     2030: 74.96
     2060: 94.22
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 43.62
     2030: 49.86
     2060: 75.26
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 4.969
     2030: 10.56
     2060: 32.88
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 4.286
     2030: 5.187
     2060: 8.315
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 54.91
     2030: 68.33
     2060: 96.65

Social/Human Forecast for Gambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.745
     2030: 0.533
     2060: 0.028
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 1.239
     2030: 1.036
     2060: 0.111
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.606
     2030: 0.679
     2060: 0.871
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 31.47
     2030: 22.08
     2060: 2.579
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,611
     2030: 2,742
     2060: 3,146
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.232
     2030: -0.256
     2060: -0.307
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.581
     2030: -0.510
     2060: -0.146

Economy Forecast for Gambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 6.087
     2030: 9.771
     2060: 56.00
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 2.115
     2030: 3.708
     2060: 34.99
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 2.352
     2030: 3.014
     2060: 9.497
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.351
     2030: 0.350
     2060: 0.345
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 41.14
     2030: 41.41
     2060: 44.49
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 3.195
     2030: 6.804
     2060: 23.93

Energy Forecast for Gambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Gambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Gambia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.050
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.077

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 7.294
     2030: 7.886
     2060: 10.18
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 14.24
     2030: 14.63
     2060: 16.33
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 3.488
     2030: 3.583
     2060: 4.369
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 1.718
     2030: 1.923
     2060: 2.808
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.267
     2030: 7.436
     2060: 8.150