Country Profile - France      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for France
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for France -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 64.98
     2030: 65.20
     2060: 62.95
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 0.087
     2030: 0.051
     2060: -0.243
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 9.743
     2030: 9.873
     2060: 9.028
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 9.914
     2030: 10.38
     2060: 12.53
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 2.508
     2030: 2.201
     2060: 1.060
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 83.49
     2030: 83.93
     2060: 86.58
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 80.52
     2030: 80.94
     2060: 83.67
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 86.29
     2030: 86.75
     2060: 89.37
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 1.699
     2030: 1.700
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.289
     2030: 0.263
     2060: 0.086
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 3.343
     2030: 3.185
     2060: 2.867
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 10.73
     2030: 10.08
     2060: 9.003
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 39.50
     2030: 39.23
     2060: 36.43
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 14.76
     2030: 15.89
     2060: 17.52
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 56.22
     2030: 57.35
     2060: 56.50
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.468
     2030: 0.462
     2060: 0.445
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 49.51
     2030: 49.84
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for France -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 14.09
     2030: 14.55
     2060: 16.09
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 27.28
     2030: 26.64
     2060: 24.92
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 1.928
     2030: 1.889
     2060: 1.781
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 1.579
     2030: 1.434
     2060: 1.567
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.015

Education Forecast for France -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 100.7
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 100.00
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 102.7
     2030: 101.6
     2060: 100.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 107.4
     2030: 107.5
     2060: 101.9
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 66.84
     2030: 67.78
     2060: 71.36
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 11.44
     2030: 11.74
     2060: 13.15
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for France
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.062
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.101
     2030: 0.076
     2060: 0.004
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 1.000
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.877
     2030: 0.848
     2060: 0.754
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 3,577
     2030: 3,616
     2060: 3,743
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 1.085
     2030: 1.120
     2060: 1.222
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 0.850
     2030: 0.899
     2060: 1.090

Economy Forecast for France
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 3,015
     2030: 3,172
     2060: 4,360
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 2,798
     2030: 2,955
     2060: 4,158
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 46.40
     2030: 48.64
     2060: 69.27
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.305
     2030: 0.304
     2060: 0.299
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 60.27
     2030: 54.11
     2060: 45.22
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 68.21
     2030: 68.54
     2060: 70.70

Energy Forecast for France
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.003
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for France
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.085
     2030: 0.091
     2060: 0.104

International Politics Forecast for France
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 4.336
     2030: 4.102
     2060: 3.557

Domestic Government Forecast for France
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 13.17
     2030: 13.35
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 19.04
     2030: 19.07
     2060: 19.27
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 7.562
     2030: 7.935
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 3.789
     2030: 3.836
     2060: 4.158
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 7.602
     2030: 7.627
     2060: 7.807