Country Profile - Finland      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Finland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Finland -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 5.538
     2030: 5.519
     2060: 5.160
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -0.033
     2030: -0.102
     2060: -0.257
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 8.006
     2030: 8.265
     2060: 7.677
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 10.80
     2030: 11.79
     2060: 12.89
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 1.624
     2030: 1.395
     2060: 0.714
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 82.28
     2030: 82.95
     2060: 86.08
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 79.38
     2030: 80.03
     2060: 83.19
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 85.10
     2030: 85.79
     2060: 88.88
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.330
     2030: 1.406
     2060: 1.505
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.050
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.225
     2030: 0.229
     2060: 0.201
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.810
     2030: 0.726
     2060: 0.639
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 3.394
     2030: 3.361
     2060: 2.965
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 1.334
     2030: 1.432
     2060: 1.556
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 4.761
     2030: 4.789
     2060: 4.540
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.494
     2030: 0.489
     2060: 0.469
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.67
     2030: 49.42
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Finland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 30.42
     2030: 31.74
     2060: 35.44
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 21.17
     2030: 20.66
     2060: 20.42
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 2.281
     2030: 2.180
     2060: 1.945
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.670
     2030: 2.772
     2060: 4.132
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.032

Education Forecast for Finland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 101.6
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.00
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 98.71
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 101.8
     2030: 102.7
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 132.8
     2030: 124.8
     2060: 105.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 87.98
     2030: 88.69
     2060: 89.91
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 12.16
     2030: 12.42
     2060: 13.44
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Finland
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.007
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.007
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.996
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.953
     2030: 0.905
     2060: 0.782
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,414
     2030: 3,486
     2060: 3,679
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.016
     2030: 1.077
     2060: 1.300
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.198
     2030: 1.304
     2060: 1.655

Economy Forecast for Finland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 268.6
     2030: 290.1
     2060: 399.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 265.7
     2030: 287.1
     2060: 396.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 48.50
     2030: 52.55
     2060: 77.42
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.270
     2030: 0.270
     2060: 0.273
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 47.00
     2030: 47.39
     2060: 49.77
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 79.22
     2030: 80.46
     2060: 84.65

Energy Forecast for Finland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.047
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.005

Environment Forecast for Finland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.008
     2030: 0.003
     2060: -0.009

International Politics Forecast for Finland
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.334
     2030: 0.313
     2060: 0.260

Domestic Government Forecast for Finland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 8.771
     2030: 9.336
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 4.408
     2030: 4.439
     2060: 4.594
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.938
     2030: 7.978
     2060: 8.181