Country Profile - Spain      IFs Version 7.89
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Spain
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Spain -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 46.68
     2030: 46.03
     2060: 39.39
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: -0.139
     2030: -0.257
     2060: -0.903
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 7.524
     2030: 7.091
     2060: 6.957
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 9.785
     2030: 10.54
     2060: 16.96
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 2.235
     2030: 1.833
     2060: 0.934
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 83.49
     2030: 84.11
     2060: 86.38
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 80.65
     2030: 81.26
     2060: 83.49
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 86.24
     2030: 86.87
     2060: 89.12
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 1.335
     2030: 1.393
     2060: 1.570
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.230
     2030: 0.181
     2060: 0.036
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 1.875
     2030: 1.669
     2060: 1.399
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 6.601
     2030: 5.523
     2060: 4.541
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 30.61
     2030: 29.61
     2060: 20.65
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 9.468
     2030: 10.90
     2060: 14.20
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 38.13
     2030: 38.48
     2060: 33.84
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.494
     2030: 0.482
     2060: 0.418
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 47.95
     2030: 48.91
     2060: 49.93

Health Forecast for Spain -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 25.72
     2030: 26.90
     2060: 28.86
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 29.87
     2030: 29.18
     2060: 26.61
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 3.158
     2030: 3.030
     2060: 2.641
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 4.201
     2030: 5.407
     2060: 6.877
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 0.227
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.102

Education Forecast for Spain -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 100.7
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 99.17
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 118.5
     2030: 112.2
     2060: 102.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 120.6
     2030: 113.7
     2060: 102.3
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 85.35
     2030: 85.22
     2060: 81.53
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 10.97
     2030: 11.46
     2060: 13.07
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 99.10
     2030: 99.61
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Spain
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.057
     2030: 0.018
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.057
     2030: 0.018
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.983
     2030: 0.993
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 1.348
     2030: 1.398
     2060: 0.979
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 3,350
     2030: 3,422
     2060: 3,537
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 0.844
     2030: 0.907
     2060: 1.027
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 0.478
     2030: 0.580
     2060: 0.827

Economy Forecast for Spain
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 1,688
     2030: 1,803
     2060: 1,917
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 1,675
     2030: 1,790
     2060: 1,908
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 36.17
     2030: 39.16
     2060: 48.66
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.345
     2030: 0.338
     2060: 0.316
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 40.16
     2030: 36.66
     2060: 32.20
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 49.82
     2030: 52.28
     2060: 55.63

Energy Forecast for Spain
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Spain
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.064
     2030: 0.061
     2060: 0.037

International Politics Forecast for Spain
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 1.138
     2030: 1.050
     2060: 0.659

Domestic Government Forecast for Spain
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 6.123
     2030: 6.676
     2060: 8.650
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 3.601
     2030: 3.677
     2060: 3.927
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 7.799
     2030: 7.840
     2060: 7.951