Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 3.540
     2030: 4.037
     2060: 6.126
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 1.344
     2030: 1.829
     2060: 0.752
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 28.37
     2030: 27.01
     2060: 14.83
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 7.258
     2030: 6.278
     2060: 6.178
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 25.23
     2030: 16.98
     2060: 3.583
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 65.51
     2030: 68.08
     2060: 74.93
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 64.73
     2030: 67.45
     2060: 73.92
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 66.31
     2030: 68.74
     2060: 75.98
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 3.894
     2030: 3.434
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.369
     2030: 0.295
     2060: 0.071
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.486
     2030: 0.511
     2060: 0.463
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 1.465
     2030: 1.432
     2060: 1.471
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 1.922
     2030: 2.444
     2060: 4.196
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.153
     2030: 0.161
     2060: 0.460
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 1.323
     2030: 1.674
     2060: 3.343
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.444
     2030: 0.454
     2060: 0.444
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 47.95
     2030: 49.04
     2060: 49.95

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 0.014
     2030: 0.100
     2060: 1.453
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 7.195
     2030: 7.505
     2060: 9.992
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 32.56
     2030: 19.66
     2060: 3.856
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 36.13
     2030: 32.64
     2060: 17.38
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 22.54
     2030: 15.73
     2060: 3.792

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 83.87
     2030: 86.32
     2060: 101.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 67.02
     2030: 71.37
     2060: 99.95
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 71.97
     2030: 81.72
     2060: 103.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 40.62
     2030: 47.91
     2060: 84.34
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 6.808
     2030: 11.46
     2060: 44.40
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 4.560
     2030: 5.022
     2060: 7.932
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 78.60
     2030: 82.72
     2060: 96.43

Social/Human Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 1.481
     2030: 1.361
     2060: 0.046
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 2.273
     2030: 2.269
     2060: 0.218
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.643
     2030: 0.688
     2060: 0.852
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 22.90
     2030: 15.57
     2060: 2.811
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,245
     2030: 2,406
     2060: 3,036
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.295
     2030: -0.245
     2060: 0.051
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.810
     2030: -0.659
     2060: -0.041

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 5.861
     2030: 9.031
     2060: 58.07
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 2.381
     2030: 3.988
     2060: 42.39
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 1.656
     2030: 2.237
     2060: 9.478
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.455
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.418
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 2.743
     2030: 9.290
     2060: 18.25
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 5.486
     2030: 8.647
     2060: 32.34

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.066
     2030: 0.067
     2060: 0.086

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 2.056
     2030: 2.207
     2060: 2.927
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 3.503
     2030: 3.948
     2060: 7.219
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 2.554
     2030: 2.641
     2060: 3.898
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 0.957
     2030: 1.214
     2060: 2.404
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 5.685
     2030: 5.850
     2060: 6.610