Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.78
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 3.519
     2030: 4.069
     2060: 6.216
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 1.114
     2030: 1.817
     2060: 0.764
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 28.53
     2030: 26.83
     2060: 14.83
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 7.364
     2030: 6.236
     2060: 6.086
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 26.44
     2030: 17.01
     2060: 3.500
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 65.17
     2030: 68.07
     2060: 74.98
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 64.39
     2030: 67.44
     2060: 73.96
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 65.97
     2030: 68.73
     2060: 76.04
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 3.934
     2030: 3.435
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.378
     2030: 0.295
     2060: 0.071
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.489
     2030: 0.514
     2060: 0.470
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 1.486
     2030: 1.460
     2060: 1.501
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 1.880
     2030: 2.448
     2060: 4.255
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.152
     2030: 0.161
     2060: 0.460
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 1.283
     2030: 1.674
     2060: 3.357
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.443
     2030: 0.454
     2060: 0.444
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 47.75
     2030: 49.04
     2060: 49.95

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 0.026
     2030: 0.107
     2060: 1.613
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 7.159
     2030: 7.501
     2060: 10.05
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 34.46
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 3.758
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 36.71
     2030: 32.53
     2060: 16.99
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 23.60
     2030: 15.66
     2060: 3.609

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 82.21
     2030: 86.39
     2060: 101.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 66.03
     2030: 71.43
     2060: 99.97
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 70.90
     2030: 81.47
     2060: 103.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 39.37
     2030: 47.97
     2060: 84.73
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 6.096
     2030: 11.39
     2060: 44.69
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 4.510
     2030: 5.025
     2060: 7.938
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 78.11
     2030: 82.72
     2060: 96.46

Social/Human Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 1.378
     2030: 1.332
     2060: 0.027
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 2.166
     2030: 2.257
     2060: 0.154
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.638
     2030: 0.688
     2060: 0.854
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 23.95
     2030: 15.58
     2060: 2.785
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,220
     2030: 2,414
     2060: 3,075
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.299
     2030: -0.246
     2060: 0.054
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.825
     2030: -0.661
     2060: -0.035

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 5.621
     2030: 9.053
     2060: 60.49
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 2.271
     2030: 3.988
     2060: 44.21
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 1.597
     2030: 2.225
     2060: 9.730
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.455
     2030: 0.445
     2060: 0.401
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 2.658
     2030: 7.140
     2060: 17.16
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 5.320
     2030: 8.570
     2060: 32.66

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 0.066
     2030: 0.067
     2060: 0.088

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 2.042
     2030: 2.206
     2060: 2.933
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 3.425
     2030: 3.943
     2060: 7.215
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.507
     2030: 2.638
     2060: 3.926
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 0.921
     2030: 1.210
     2060: 2.419
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 5.648
     2030: 5.847
     2060: 6.623