Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.89
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 3.691
     2030: 4.194
     2060: 6.310
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 1.806
     2030: 1.883
     2060: 0.784
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 28.39
     2030: 27.05
     2060: 15.00
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 7.068
     2030: 6.269
     2060: 6.157
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 23.95
     2030: 17.02
     2060: 2.651
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 65.92
     2030: 68.07
     2060: 75.12
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 65.15
     2030: 67.46
     2060: 74.06
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 66.70
     2030: 68.70
     2060: 76.22
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 3.831
     2030: 3.422
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.360
     2030: 0.295
     2060: 0.071
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 0.499
     2030: 0.534
     2060: 0.463
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 1.493
     2030: 1.487
     2060: 1.475
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 2.041
     2030: 2.541
     2060: 4.354
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 0.157
     2030: 0.166
     2060: 0.480
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 1.387
     2030: 1.705
     2060: 3.404
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.473
     2030: 0.481
     2060: 0.472
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 47.63
     2030: 48.66
     2060: 49.88

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 0.013
     2030: 0.109
     2060: 2.515
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 7.211
     2030: 7.431
     2060: 10.68
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 31.27
     2030: 20.36
     2060: 3.445
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 35.40
     2030: 32.74
     2060: 14.81
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 20.84
     2030: 13.65
     2060: 0.212

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 84.62
     2030: 86.56
     2060: 101.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 67.48
     2030: 71.83
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 75.22
     2030: 81.99
     2060: 104.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 42.13
     2030: 45.95
     2060: 87.46
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 7.171
     2030: 10.67
     2060: 48.87
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 4.695
     2030: 5.154
     2060: 8.223
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 79.66
     2030: 83.64
     2060: 96.30

Social/Human Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 1.819
     2030: 1.605
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 2.698
     2030: 2.695
     2060: 0.007
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.637
     2030: 0.675
     2060: 0.866
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 21.93
     2030: 15.42
     2060: 2.789
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 2,181
     2030: 2,332
     2060: 3,170
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.354
     2030: -0.319
     2060: 0.048
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -0.945
     2030: -0.820
     2060: -0.056

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 4.891
     2030: 7.026
     2060: 76.30
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 2.463
     2030: 3.652
     2060: 61.50
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 1.325
     2030: 1.675
     2060: 12.09
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.442
     2030: 0.424
     2060: 0.348
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 5.286
     2030: 9.968
     2060: 19.17
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 5.036
     2030: 7.874
     2060: 37.63

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.063
     2030: 0.065
     2060: 0.088

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 2.084
     2030: 2.222
     2060: 3.071
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 3.610
     2030: 4.085
     2060: 8.047
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 2.132
     2030: 2.264
     2060: 4.309
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 0.954
     2030: 1.153
     2060: 2.647
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 5.557
     2030: 5.682
     2060: 6.702