Country Profile - Ecuador      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for Ecuador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ecuador -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 18.65
     2030: 19.35
     2060: 22.69
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 1.309
     2030: 0.686
     2060: 0.187
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 18.80
     2030: 14.98
     2060: 11.34
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 4.708
     2030: 5.419
     2060: 8.945
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 12.27
     2030: 9.267
     2060: 3.695
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 78.44
     2030: 79.45
     2060: 82.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 75.84
     2030: 76.70
     2060: 79.73
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 81.04
     2030: 82.21
     2060: 85.63
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 2.312
     2030: 1.999
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.202
     2030: 0.194
     2060: 0.092
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 1.720
     2030: 1.510
     2060: 1.301
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 5.089
     2030: 4.730
     2060: 4.011
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 12.14
     2030: 12.66
     2060: 14.03
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 1.424
     2030: 1.957
     2060: 4.647
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 11.78
     2030: 13.15
     2060: 17.09
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.495
     2030: 0.490
     2060: 0.452
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 42.63
     2030: 44.42
     2060: 48.04

Health Forecast for Ecuador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 18.35
     2030: 20.10
     2060: 26.25
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 9.127
     2030: 9.387
     2060: 11.64
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 3.128
     2030: 2.905
     2060: 2.264
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 3.493
     2030: 1.917
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 8.393
     2030: 6.361
     2060: 2.830

Education Forecast for Ecuador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 102.9
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 94.94
     2030: 96.70
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 102.4
     2030: 102.2
     2060: 101.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 95.74
     2030: 95.52
     2060: 99.45
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 43.15
     2030: 43.31
     2060: 52.76
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 8.624
     2030: 9.350
     2060: 11.47
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 94.16
     2030: 95.65
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Ecuador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 1.098
     2030: 0.439
     2060: 0.049
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 2.921
     2030: 1.491
     2060: 0.297
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.864
     2030: 0.881
     2060: 0.937
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 4.838
     2030: 3.900
     2060: 1.893
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,622
     2030: 2,749
     2060: 3,129
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.144
     2030: 0.162
     2060: 0.143
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.302
     2030: 0.319
     2060: 0.336

Economy Forecast for Ecuador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 176.1
     2030: 205.5
     2060: 371.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 91.80
     2030: 110.9
     2060: 256.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 9.439
     2030: 10.62
     2060: 16.38
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.441
     2030: 0.427
     2060: 0.392
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 44.10
     2030: 37.26
     2060: 19.51
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 31.88
     2030: 32.45
     2060: 39.88

Energy Forecast for Ecuador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.210
     2030: 0.239
     2060: 0.140

Environment Forecast for Ecuador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.013
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.019

International Politics Forecast for Ecuador
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.137
     2030: 0.130
     2060: 0.133

Domestic Government Forecast for Ecuador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 10.24
     2030: 10.67
     2060: 12.05
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 15.28
     2030: 16.12
     2060: 18.24
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 2.712
     2030: 3.098
     2060: 4.567
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 2.063
     2030: 2.231
     2060: 2.874
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 6.236
     2030: 6.301
     2060: 6.561