Country Profile - Germany      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Germany
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Germany -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 83.28
     2030: 82.05
     2060: 73.20
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -0.279
     2030: -0.266
     2060: -0.440
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 8.819
     2030: 8.304
     2060: 8.241
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 12.46
     2030: 12.83
     2060: 14.70
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 2.516
     2030: 2.156
     2060: 1.066
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 81.64
     2030: 82.27
     2060: 85.31
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 79.27
     2030: 79.87
     2060: 82.84
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 83.96
     2030: 84.62
     2060: 87.73
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.516
     2030: 1.549
     2060: 1.600
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.103
     2030: 0.092
     2060: 0.030
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 3.854
     2030: 3.561
     2060: 3.112
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 11.71
     2030: 11.54
     2060: 9.837
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 52.26
     2030: 49.00
     2060: 40.89
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 19.31
     2030: 21.52
     2060: 22.47
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 64.89
     2030: 65.16
     2060: 60.06
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.519
     2030: 0.505
     2060: 0.483
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 47.75
     2030: 48.73
     2060: 49.93

Health Forecast for Germany -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 34.03
     2030: 35.08
     2060: 36.68
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 30.10
     2030: 29.51
     2060: 27.63
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 1.965
     2030: 1.895
     2060: 1.812
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 1.503
     2030: 0.996
     2060: 0.290
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.018

Education Forecast for Germany -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 102.7
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 100.00
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 101.1
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 103.0
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 100.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 71.40
     2030: 72.66
     2060: 77.44
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 13.29
     2030: 13.44
     2060: 14.15
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Germany
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.086
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.161
     2030: 0.081
     2060: 0.005
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.997
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.882
     2030: 0.831
     2060: 0.706
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,706
     2030: 3,762
     2060: 3,844
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.643
     2030: 0.679
     2060: 0.897
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.494
     2030: 0.583
     2060: 1.013

Economy Forecast for Germany
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 4,432
     2030: 4,715
     2060: 6,190
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 3,799
     2030: 4,079
     2060: 5,610
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 53.21
     2030: 57.46
     2060: 84.57
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.315
     2030: 0.315
     2060: 0.311
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 65.94
     2030: 61.09
     2060: 58.12
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 75.93
     2030: 76.32
     2060: 80.51

Energy Forecast for Germany
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.012
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Germany
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.162
     2030: 0.146
     2060: 0.092

International Politics Forecast for Germany
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 3.098
     2030: 2.883
     2060: 2.323

Domestic Government Forecast for Germany
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 8.359
     2030: 9.003
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.857
     2030: 3.926
     2060: 4.273
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.931
     2030: 7.970
     2060: 8.168