Country Profile - Germany      IFs Version 7.79
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Germany
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Germany -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 84.85
     2030: 84.09
     2060: 76.64
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 0.063
     2030: -0.188
     2060: -0.348
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 9.613
     2030: 8.823
     2060: 9.059
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 11.76
     2030: 12.68
     2060: 14.50
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 2.707
     2030: 2.225
     2060: 1.091
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 81.45
     2030: 82.25
     2060: 85.27
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 78.82
     2030: 79.61
     2060: 82.64
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 83.99
     2030: 84.81
     2060: 87.81
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.610
     2030: 1.616
     2060: 1.715
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.104
     2030: 0.090
     2060: 0.030
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 4.104
     2030: 3.858
     2060: 3.550
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 11.72
     2030: 12.15
     2060: 10.94
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 54.40
     2030: 50.60
     2060: 42.78
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 18.74
     2030: 21.33
     2060: 22.93
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 65.74
     2030: 67.27
     2060: 63.86
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.523
     2030: 0.507
     2060: 0.484
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 47.68
     2030: 48.84
     2060: 49.92

Health Forecast for Germany -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 31.74
     2030: 32.83
     2060: 34.12
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 29.95
     2030: 29.12
     2060: 27.29
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 1.960
     2030: 1.890
     2060: 1.835
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 1.212
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 2.265
     2030: 1.930
     2060: 1.323

Education Forecast for Germany -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 102.8
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 98.84
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 99.70
     2030: 101.6
     2060: 99.55
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 98.01
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 99.79
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 70.16
     2030: 71.96
     2060: 76.40
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 12.53
     2030: 12.73
     2060: 13.71
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Germany
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.118
     2030: 0.054
     2060: 0.004
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.118
     2030: 0.054
     2060: 0.004
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.989
     2030: 0.998
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.868
     2030: 0.810
     2060: 0.699
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,600
     2030: 3,660
     2060: 3,729
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.651
     2030: 0.700
     2060: 0.909
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.515
     2030: 0.632
     2060: 1.023

Economy Forecast for Germany
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 3,938
     2030: 4,245
     2060: 5,671
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 4,288
     2030: 4,588
     2060: 5,961
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 46.41
     2030: 50.48
     2060: 74.00
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.318
     2030: 0.316
     2060: 0.308
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 55.72
     2030: 48.79
     2060: 43.93
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 70.24
     2030: 71.38
     2060: 76.62

Energy Forecast for Germany
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.016
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Germany
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.177
     2030: 0.156
     2060: 0.096

International Politics Forecast for Germany
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 3.432
     2030: 3.130
     2060: 2.333

Domestic Government Forecast for Germany
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 8.188
     2030: 8.809
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 4.250
     2030: 4.291
     2060: 4.484
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.822
     2030: 7.865
     2060: 8.059