Country Profile - Cuba      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for Cuba
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Cuba -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 11.38
     2030: 11.29
     2060: 9.864
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: -0.034
     2030: -0.182
     2060: -0.671
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 10.39
     2030: 9.469
     2060: 9.073
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 9.350
     2030: 10.82
     2060: 15.28
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 3.947
     2030: 3.079
     2060: 1.402
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 79.25
     2030: 80.32
     2060: 84.14
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 76.97
     2030: 77.88
     2060: 81.53
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 81.50
     2030: 82.71
     2060: 86.69
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.708
     2030: 1.737
     2060: 1.795
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.349
     2030: 0.556
     2060: 1.164
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.601
     2030: 0.548
     2060: 0.455
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 1.826
     2030: 1.728
     2060: 1.410
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 7.705
     2030: 7.119
     2060: 5.488
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 1.850
     2030: 2.445
     2060: 2.965
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 8.810
     2030: 8.854
     2060: 7.945
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.447
     2030: 0.428
     2060: 0.401
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 40.54
     2030: 42.60
     2060: 46.73

Health Forecast for Cuba -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 39.71
     2030: 41.35
     2060: 43.92
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 35.60
     2030: 35.71
     2060: 35.16
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 3.294
     2030: 3.076
     2060: 2.606
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 3.258
     2030: 1.779
     2060: 1.080
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.231
     2030: 1.859
     2060: 1.247

Education Forecast for Cuba -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 100.3
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 97.81
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 98.85
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 97.45
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 100.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 37.47
     2030: 43.16
     2060: 65.71
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 9.887
     2030: 10.20
     2060: 11.64
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Cuba
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.931
     2030: 0.945
     2060: 0.993
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 2.176
     2030: 1.975
     2060: 1.221
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,348
     2030: 3,423
     2060: 3,539
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.312
     2030: 0.343
     2060: 0.396
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.739
     2030: 0.772
     2060: 0.826

Economy Forecast for Cuba
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 233.5
     2030: 266.8
     2060: 376.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 80.63
     2030: 104.3
     2060: 238.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 20.51
     2030: 23.63
     2060: 38.15
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.411
     2030: 0.405
     2060: 0.373
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 38.57
     2030: 39.60
     2060: 45.18
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 30.30
     2030: 36.47
     2060: 60.07

Energy Forecast for Cuba
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.026
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.061

Environment Forecast for Cuba
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.012
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.020

International Politics Forecast for Cuba
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.154
     2030: 0.140
     2060: 0.121

Domestic Government Forecast for Cuba
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 3.011
     2030: 3.073
     2060: 3.335
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 3.820
     2030: 4.901
     2060: 8.357
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 4.291
     2030: 4.848
     2060: 7.095
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.575
     2030: 2.750
     2060: 3.320
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.228
     2030: 7.315
     2060: 7.583