Country Profile - Costa Rica      IFs Version 7.79
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Costa Rica
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Costa Rica -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 5.212
     2030: 5.573
     2060: 6.090
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 0.955
     2030: 0.681
     2060: -0.025
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 13.72
     2030: 12.36
     2060: 9.905
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 5.036
     2030: 6.045
     2060: 10.34
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 6.198
     2030: 4.806
     2060: 1.992
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 81.26
     2030: 82.20
     2060: 85.65
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 78.77
     2030: 79.60
     2060: 82.97
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 83.75
     2030: 84.79
     2060: 88.30
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.764
     2030: 1.790
     2060: 1.828
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.286
     2030: 0.315
     2060: 0.324
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.357
     2030: 0.350
     2060: 0.305
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 1.087
     2030: 1.071
     2060: 0.934
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 3.582
     2030: 3.707
     2060: 3.534
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.544
     2030: 0.796
     2060: 1.622
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 4.281
     2030: 4.803
     2060: 5.431
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.469
     2030: 0.457
     2060: 0.413
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 39.51
     2030: 41.45
     2060: 46.02

Health Forecast for Costa Rica -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 33.27
     2030: 35.31
     2060: 41.60
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 14.33
     2030: 14.66
     2060: 16.65
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 1.935
     2030: 1.813
     2060: 1.586
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 2.268
     2030: 3.481
     2060: 4.772
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 2.985
     2030: 2.444
     2060: 1.356

Education Forecast for Costa Rica -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 104.6
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 98.48
     2030: 99.92
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 128.9
     2030: 116.8
     2060: 103.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 121.7
     2030: 119.3
     2060: 105.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 58.52
     2030: 64.69
     2060: 76.60
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 8.524
     2030: 9.080
     2060: 11.09
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 98.64
     2030: 99.69
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Costa Rica
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.047
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.170
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.014
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.922
     2030: 0.937
     2060: 0.987
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 1.564
     2030: 1.264
     2060: 0.851
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,074
     2030: 3,177
     2060: 3,472
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.239
     2030: 0.272
     2060: 0.304
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.551
     2030: 0.580
     2060: 0.640

Economy Forecast for Costa Rica
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 80.39
     2030: 96.85
     2060: 179.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 57.32
     2030: 72.15
     2060: 165.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 15.42
     2030: 17.38
     2060: 29.47
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.478
     2030: 0.472
     2060: 0.446
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 27.23
     2030: 25.35
     2060: 23.12
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 49.40
     2030: 52.95
     2060: 64.34

Energy Forecast for Costa Rica
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Costa Rica
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Costa Rica
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.106
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.121

Domestic Government Forecast for Costa Rica
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 19.94
     2030: 19.94
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 4.875
     2030: 5.235
     2060: 6.989
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 2.889
     2030: 3.010
     2060: 3.514
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.403
     2030: 7.465
     2060: 7.739