Country Profile - Costa Rica      IFs Version 7.58
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Costa Rica
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Costa Rica -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 5.167
     2030: 5.557
     2060: 6.054
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.956
     2030: 0.642
     2060: -0.005
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 14.10
     2030: 12.39
     2060: 10.26
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 5.221
     2030: 6.423
     2060: 10.61
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 6.686
     2030: 5.184
     2060: 2.342
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 81.17
     2030: 82.05
     2060: 85.10
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 78.62
     2030: 79.36
     2060: 82.30
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 83.73
     2030: 84.73
     2060: 87.86
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.844
     2030: 1.859
     2060: 1.873
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.261
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.320
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.363
     2030: 0.349
     2060: 0.313
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 1.079
     2030: 1.075
     2060: 0.959
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 3.529
     2030: 3.641
     2060: 3.495
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.558
     2030: 0.841
     2060: 1.600
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 4.221
     2030: 4.801
     2060: 5.414
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.478
     2030: 0.464
     2060: 0.421
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 41.00
     2030: 43.03
     2060: 47.04

Health Forecast for Costa Rica -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 40.19
     2030: 42.32
     2060: 47.53
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 14.38
     2030: 14.64
     2060: 16.08
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 1.978
     2030: 1.958
     2060: 1.754
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.212
     2030: 3.170
     2060: 3.376
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 4.319
     2030: 3.509
     2060: 2.099

Education Forecast for Costa Rica -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 103.8
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 99.97
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 128.3
     2030: 121.2
     2060: 109.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 110.3
     2030: 107.3
     2060: 103.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 53.97
     2030: 54.13
     2060: 60.68
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 8.450
     2030: 8.925
     2060: 10.38
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 98.80
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Costa Rica
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.063
     2030: 0.058
     2060: 0.011
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.068
     2030: 0.062
     2060: 0.012
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.918
     2030: 0.933
     2060: 0.970
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 1.605
     2030: 1.571
     2060: 0.929
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 2,974
     2030: 3,066
     2060: 3,279
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.231
     2030: 0.261
     2060: 0.257
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.524
     2030: 0.548
     2060: 0.556

Economy Forecast for Costa Rica
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 74.84
     2030: 89.81
     2060: 139.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 53.30
     2030: 67.47
     2060: 127.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 14.48
     2030: 16.16
     2060: 23.04
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.477
     2030: 0.471
     2060: 0.456
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 24.89
     2030: 22.65
     2060: 19.45
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 39.15
     2030: 38.91
     2060: 46.49

Energy Forecast for Costa Rica
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Costa Rica
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Costa Rica
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.044
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.045

Domestic Government Forecast for Costa Rica
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 19.94
     2030: 19.95
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 4.855
     2030: 5.198
     2060: 6.272
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.904
     2030: 3.023
     2060: 3.404
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.418
     2030: 7.486
     2060: 7.671