Country Profile - China      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for China
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for China -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 1,444
     2030: 1,460
     2060: 1,314
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.275
     2030: -0.039
     2060: -0.645
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 10.72
     2030: 9.231
     2060: 8.717
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 7.764
     2030: 9.412
     2060: 14.95
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 9.262
     2030: 6.836
     2060: 3.489
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 77.11
     2030: 78.72
     2060: 82.93
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 74.02
     2030: 75.56
     2060: 79.86
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 80.34
     2030: 81.96
     2060: 85.96
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.662
     2030: 1.682
     2060: 1.760
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.052
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 81.43
     2030: 68.78
     2060: 58.34
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 252.7
     2030: 226.0
     2060: 184.1
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 1,009
     2030: 981.8
     2060: 736.5
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 182.6
     2030: 252.3
     2060: 393.3
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 876.7
     2030: 1,017
     2060: 1,087
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.545
     2030: 0.526
     2060: 0.462
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 45.58
     2030: 47.21
     2060: 49.40

Health Forecast for China -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 10.15
     2030: 11.84
     2060: 14.17
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 26.15
     2030: 28.03
     2060: 27.79
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 1.763
     2030: 1.177
     2060: 1.175
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 0.637
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 6.314
     2030: 4.200
     2060: 1.924

Education Forecast for China -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 101.3
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 96.24
     2030: 99.82
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 99.89
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 100.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 83.82
     2030: 94.04
     2060: 98.78
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 51.54
     2030: 58.82
     2060: 72.89
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 8.056
     2030: 8.713
     2060: 11.33
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 97.42
     2030: 98.30
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for China
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.345
     2030: 0.055
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 22.75
     2030: 6.366
     2060: 0.026
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.899
     2030: 0.932
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 2.217
     2030: 1.537
     2060: 0.826
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,291
     2030: 3,436
     2060: 3,621
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.183
     2030: -0.144
     2060: 0.073
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.833
     2030: -0.757
     2060: -0.465

Economy Forecast for China
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 24,002
     2030: 35,401
     2060: 71,786
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 14,403
     2030: 24,929
     2060: 65,434
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 16.62
     2030: 24.25
     2060: 54.64
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.383
     2030: 0.385
     2060: 0.361
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 16.23
     2030: 16.78
     2060: 22.08
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 55.41
     2030: 62.46
     2060: 77.54

Energy Forecast for China
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 1.492
     2030: 1.118
     2060: 0.177

Environment Forecast for China
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 3.058
     2030: 3.300
     2060: 2.157

International Politics Forecast for China
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 17.34
     2030: 21.11
     2060: 24.55

Domestic Government Forecast for China
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 3.096
     2030: 3.269
     2060: 3.821
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 3.833
     2030: 4.852
     2060: 8.523
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 4.086
     2030: 5.113
     2060: 9.054
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 3.055
     2030: 3.311
     2060: 3.892
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.431
     2030: 6.626
     2060: 7.042