Country Profile - China      IFs Version 7.78
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     Forecast Categories for China
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for China -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 1,451
     2030: 1,480
     2060: 1,354
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.401
     2030: 0.031
     2060: -0.594
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 11.55
     2030: 9.522
     2060: 8.957
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 7.273
     2030: 8.977
     2060: 14.66
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 8.706
     2030: 7.070
     2060: 3.934
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 77.16
     2030: 78.44
     2060: 82.48
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 73.99
     2030: 75.23
     2060: 79.29
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 80.47
     2030: 81.75
     2060: 85.61
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.701
     2030: 1.713
     2060: 1.778
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.052
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 86.89
     2030: 72.95
     2060: 61.92
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 258.7
     2030: 241.0
     2060: 194.8
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 1,023
     2030: 1,003
     2060: 761.4
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 169.4
     2030: 236.7
     2060: 397.5
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 885.8
     2030: 1,043
     2060: 1,126
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.543
     2030: 0.527
     2060: 0.460
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 45.00
     2030: 46.82
     2060: 49.30

Health Forecast for China -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 5.325
     2030: 6.544
     2060: 8.899
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 26.03
     2030: 27.23
     2060: 28.12
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 1.871
     2030: 1.686
     2060: 1.433
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.357
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.137
     2030: 1.588
     2060: 0.931

Education Forecast for China -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 100.1
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 96.08
     2030: 98.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 99.58
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 101.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 79.94
     2030: 87.04
     2060: 97.36
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 51.85
     2030: 57.41
     2060: 70.71
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 8.006
     2030: 8.689
     2060: 11.24
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 97.23
     2030: 98.06
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for China
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 4.430
     2030: 0.727
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 27.29
     2030: 6.358
     2060: 0.028
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.901
     2030: 0.925
     2060: 0.992
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 2.948
     2030: 2.356
     2060: 1.293
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,266
     2030: 3,403
     2060: 3,640
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.187
     2030: -0.161
     2060: 0.023
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -0.847
     2030: -0.786
     2060: -0.549

Economy Forecast for China
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 25,256
     2030: 33,123
     2060: 59,928
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 14,415
     2030: 21,993
     2060: 53,272
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 17.41
     2030: 22.37
     2060: 44.27
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.384
     2030: 0.381
     2060: 0.342
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 15.62
     2030: 16.38
     2060: 21.73
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 56.30
     2030: 61.43
     2060: 77.43

Energy Forecast for China
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 1.528
     2030: 1.184
     2060: 0.189

Environment Forecast for China
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 3.002
     2030: 3.115
     2060: 2.153

International Politics Forecast for China
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2021: 8.313
     2030: 10.10
     2060: 14.16

Domestic Government Forecast for China
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 3.067
     2030: 3.217
     2060: 3.736
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 3.583
     2030: 4.617
     2060: 8.103
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 3.948
     2030: 4.697
     2060: 7.680
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.960
     2030: 3.151
     2060: 3.688
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 6.482
     2030: 6.617
     2060: 6.972