Country Profile - China      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for China
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for China -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 1,456
     2030: 1,480
     2060: 1,352
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 0.353
     2030: 0.031
     2060: -0.596
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 11.24
     2030: 9.525
     2060: 8.948
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 7.460
     2030: 8.979
     2060: 14.68
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 8.494
     2030: 7.070
     2060: 3.933
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 77.28
     2030: 78.44
     2060: 82.48
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 74.12
     2030: 75.23
     2060: 79.29
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 80.59
     2030: 81.75
     2060: 85.61
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.702
     2030: 1.713
     2060: 1.778
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.051
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 85.79
     2030: 72.88
     2060: 61.73
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 258.4
     2030: 240.6
     2060: 194.1
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 1,020
     2030: 1,003
     2060: 760.5
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 177.7
     2030: 236.7
     2060: 397.5
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 906.0
     2030: 1,043
     2060: 1,126
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.541
     2030: 0.527
     2060: 0.460
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 45.25
     2030: 46.82
     2060: 49.30

Health Forecast for China -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 5.508
     2030: 6.544
     2060: 8.903
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 26.08
     2030: 27.23
     2060: 28.12
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 1.840
     2030: 1.687
     2060: 1.432
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 1.105
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 2.034
     2030: 1.588
     2060: 0.930

Education Forecast for China -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 100.1
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 96.40
     2030: 98.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 99.82
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 101.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 80.45
     2030: 87.04
     2060: 97.37
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 52.73
     2030: 57.41
     2060: 70.75
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 8.083
     2030: 8.689
     2060: 11.24
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 97.32
     2030: 98.06
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for China
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 3.721
     2030: 0.731
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 23.69
     2030: 6.388
     2060: 0.028
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.904
     2030: 0.925
     2060: 0.992
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 2.865
     2030: 2.357
     2060: 1.292
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,287
     2030: 3,403
     2060: 3,640
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.185
     2030: -0.161
     2060: 0.023
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.841
     2030: -0.786
     2060: -0.549

Economy Forecast for China
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 26,134
     2030: 33,120
     2060: 59,885
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 15,223
     2030: 21,994
     2060: 53,234
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 17.94
     2030: 22.38
     2060: 44.29
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.384
     2030: 0.381
     2060: 0.342
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 15.74
     2030: 16.36
     2060: 21.79
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 56.94
     2030: 61.43
     2060: 77.47

Energy Forecast for China
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 1.504
     2030: 1.185
     2060: 0.190

Environment Forecast for China
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 3.035
     2030: 3.115
     2060: 2.145

International Politics Forecast for China
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 8.466
     2030: 10.10
     2060: 14.09

Domestic Government Forecast for China
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 3.084
     2030: 3.217
     2060: 3.736
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 3.714
     2030: 4.617
     2060: 8.105
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 4.041
     2030: 4.697
     2060: 7.683
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 2.984
     2030: 3.152
     2060: 3.688
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 6.499
     2030: 6.617
     2060: 6.972