Country Profile - Central African Republic      IFs Version 7.79
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Central African Republic
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Central African Republic -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 4.972
     2030: 5.908
     2060: 9.833
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 1.953
     2030: 2.279
     2060: 1.059
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 36.02
     2030: 35.48
     2060: 19.95
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 13.34
     2030: 11.54
     2060: 8.634
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 76.22
     2030: 61.40
     2060: 22.74
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 51.68
     2030: 54.41
     2060: 63.37
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 49.17
     2030: 51.71
     2060: 60.04
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 54.17
     2030: 57.10
     2060: 66.69
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 4.583
     2030: 4.165
     2060: 2.369
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 2.141
     2030: 1.699
     2060: 0.394
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.757
     2030: 0.927
     2060: 0.970
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 2.125
     2030: 2.367
     2060: 2.910
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 2.718
     2030: 3.399
     2060: 6.562
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.130
     2030: 0.142
     2060: 0.360
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 2.079
     2030: 2.466
     2060: 4.299
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.408
     2030: 0.416
     2060: 0.419
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 46.89
     2030: 48.22
     2060: 49.78

Health Forecast for Central African Republic -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 1.246
     2030: 1.496
     2060: 3.825
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 12.13
     2030: 12.21
     2060: 12.61
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 19.76
     2030: 15.29
     2060: 4.309
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 18.66
     2030: 13.11
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 40.47
     2030: 35.55
     2060: 12.87

Education Forecast for Central African Republic -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 110.9
     2030: 115.2
     2060: 107.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 73.02
     2030: 83.28
     2060: 95.86
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 33.32
     2030: 53.07
     2060: 76.91
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 13.68
     2030: 26.67
     2060: 49.95
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 3.808
     2030: 7.336
     2060: 22.96
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 4.046
     2030: 4.154
     2060: 6.921
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 42.36
     2030: 61.45
     2060: 94.91

Social/Human Forecast for Central African Republic
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 2.711
     2030: 3.336
     2060: 2.723
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 3.969
     2030: 4.730
     2060: 5.266
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.405
     2030: 0.493
     2060: 0.705
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 42.55
     2030: 29.78
     2060: 7.442
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 1,852
     2030: 1,945
     2060: 2,438
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -0.502
     2030: -0.565
     2060: -0.701
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -1.215
     2030: -1.147
     2060: -0.915

Economy Forecast for Central African Republic
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 3.988
     2030: 5.562
     2060: 22.93
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 2.051
     2030: 2.682
     2060: 11.47
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 0.802
     2030: 0.941
     2060: 2.332
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.572
     2030: 0.599
     2060: 0.599
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 36.92
     2030: 39.31
     2060: 41.80
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 4.997
     2030: 8.397
     2060: 17.97

Energy Forecast for Central African Republic
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Central African Republic
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Central African Republic
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.040
     2030: 0.053
     2060: 0.071

Domestic Government Forecast for Central African Republic
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 2.039
     2030: 2.158
     2060: 2.844
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 15.34
     2030: 15.14
     2060: 16.46
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 2.126
     2030: 2.180
     2060: 2.593
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 0.794
     2030: 0.954
     2060: 1.771
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 5.200
     2030: 5.303
     2060: 5.813