Country Profile - Canada      IFs Version 8.06
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Canada
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Canada -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 38.92
     2030: 40.56
     2060: 46.42
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.696
     2030: 0.656
     2060: 0.392
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 9.830
     2030: 10.01
     2060: 9.658
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 8.758
     2030: 9.455
     2060: 11.13
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 4.264
     2030: 3.702
     2060: 1.905
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 82.10
     2030: 82.69
     2060: 85.41
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 80.05
     2030: 80.58
     2060: 83.16
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 84.13
     2030: 84.76
     2060: 87.61
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.453
     2030: 1.522
     2060: 1.651
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.177
     2030: 0.158
     2060: 0.052
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.898
     2030: 2.039
     2060: 2.258
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 6.070
     2030: 6.183
     2060: 6.961
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 25.07
     2030: 25.23
     2060: 27.59
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 7.780
     2030: 9.148
     2060: 11.87
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 32.80
     2030: 35.15
     2060: 41.51
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.544
     2030: 0.532
     2060: 0.516
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.50
     2030: 49.26
     2060: 49.98

Health Forecast for Canada -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 34.12
     2030: 35.12
     2060: 37.19
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 15.23
     2030: 14.92
     2060: 14.91
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 1.986
     2030: 1.925
     2060: 1.794
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.353
     2030: 2.478
     2060: 3.142
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.067
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.036

Education Forecast for Canada -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 100.2
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 100.00
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 108.6
     2030: 105.8
     2060: 101.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 113.4
     2030: 110.6
     2060: 102.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 69.78
     2030: 71.28
     2060: 74.57
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 12.62
     2030: 12.77
     2060: 13.49
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Canada
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.081
     2030: 0.067
     2060: 0.011
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.201
     2030: 0.170
     2060: 0.033
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.995
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 1.259
     2030: 1.196
     2060: 0.889
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,552
     2030: 3,607
     2060: 3,717
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.100
     2030: 1.110
     2060: 1.099
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.526
     2030: 1.540
     2060: 1.586

Economy Forecast for Canada
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 1,906
     2030: 2,089
     2060: 3,175
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 1,822
     2030: 2,002
     2060: 3,087
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 48.96
     2030: 51.49
     2060: 68.40
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.326
     2030: 0.324
     2060: 0.315
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 49.48
     2030: 44.95
     2060: 36.69
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 57.57
     2030: 58.99
     2060: 63.46

Energy Forecast for Canada
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 1.622
     2030: 2.102
     2060: 4.387

Environment Forecast for Canada
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.163
     2030: 0.165
     2060: 0.162

International Politics Forecast for Canada
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 1.374
     2030: 1.296
     2060: 1.003

Domestic Government Forecast for Canada
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 7.904
     2030: 8.339
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 4.222
     2030: 4.231
     2060: 4.218
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 8.060
     2030: 8.074
     2060: 8.093