Country Profile - Belize      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Belize
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Belize -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 0.419
     2030: 0.452
     2060: 0.552
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.360
     2030: 1.132
     2060: 0.230
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 15.96
     2030: 14.67
     2060: 10.30
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 4.854
     2030: 5.409
     2060: 9.019
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 10.34
     2030: 8.527
     2060: 3.175
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 75.67
     2030: 76.39
     2060: 80.59
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 72.29
     2030: 72.77
     2060: 76.72
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 79.07
     2030: 80.01
     2060: 84.31
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.804
     2030: 1.726
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 1.205
     2030: 1.289
     2060: 1.478
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.035
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.029
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.111
     2030: 0.107
     2060: 0.090
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.284
     2030: 0.312
     2060: 0.357
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.024
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.105
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 0.196
     2030: 0.219
     2060: 0.318
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.450
     2030: 0.448
     2060: 0.413
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 39.11
     2030: 40.64
     2060: 45.61

Health Forecast for Belize -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 23.57
     2030: 24.66
     2060: 29.43
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 12.43
     2030: 12.98
     2060: 15.48
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 4.103
     2030: 3.938
     2060: 3.149
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.523
     2030: 1.311
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 3.311
     2030: 2.480
     2060: 0.337

Education Forecast for Belize -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 108.7
     2030: 103.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 99.18
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 100.9
     2030: 99.10
     2060: 99.14
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 72.98
     2030: 78.73
     2060: 91.01
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 27.21
     2030: 30.82
     2060: 41.60
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 8.525
     2030: 8.887
     2060: 10.09
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 78.48
     2030: 81.26
     2060: 99.59

Social/Human Forecast for Belize
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.064
     2030: 0.077
     2060: 0.032
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.149
     2030: 0.172
     2060: 0.097
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.796
     2030: 0.813
     2060: 0.931
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 14.95
     2030: 13.02
     2060: 1.726
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,960
     2030: 3,028
     2060: 3,300
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.091
     2030: 0.115
     2060: 0.146
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.157
     2030: 0.194
     2060: 0.319

Economy Forecast for Belize
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 3.925
     2030: 4.567
     2060: 10.20
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 2.857
     2030: 3.537
     2060: 9.461
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 9.366
     2030: 10.10
     2060: 18.48
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.533
     2030: 0.538
     2060: 0.546
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 54.24
     2030: 50.87
     2060: 15.79
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 26.83
     2030: 27.42
     2060: 35.26

Energy Forecast for Belize
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Belize
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Belize
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.028
     2030: 0.053
     2060: 0.069

Domestic Government Forecast for Belize
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 13.33
     2030: 13.62
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 15.22
     2030: 16.00
     2060: 18.61
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 4.045
     2030: 4.239
     2060: 5.603
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.098
     2030: 2.226
     2060: 2.958
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.821
     2030: 6.872
     2060: 7.212