Country Profile - Belarus      IFs Version 8.06
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Belarus
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Belarus -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 9.481
     2030: 9.188
     2060: 7.586
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: -0.499
     2030: -0.579
     2060: -0.708
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 9.039
     2030: 8.398
     2060: 8.553
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 14.25
     2030: 14.51
     2060: 16.00
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 5.075
     2030: 4.790
     2060: 3.590
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 74.27
     2030: 74.98
     2060: 78.81
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 68.44
     2030: 69.07
     2060: 72.97
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 79.26
     2030: 80.00
     2060: 83.80
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.345
     2030: 1.444
     2060: 1.600
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.375
     2030: 0.570
     2060: 1.815
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.456
     2030: 0.407
     2060: 0.338
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 1.569
     2030: 1.370
     2060: 1.100
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 6.163
     2030: 5.927
     2060: 4.383
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 1.749
     2030: 1.891
     2060: 2.103
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 7.492
     2030: 7.432
     2060: 6.328
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.501
     2030: 0.491
     2060: 0.451
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 49.97
     2030: 49.97
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Belarus -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 27.72
     2030: 28.79
     2060: 31.93
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 28.25
     2030: 28.40
     2060: 29.93
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 1.987
     2030: 1.911
     2060: 1.753
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 1.902
     2030: 1.184
     2060: 0.829
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 0.197
     2030: 0.095
     2060: 0.053

Education Forecast for Belarus -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 103.3
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.00
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 99.45
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 97.83
     2030: 99.68
     2060: 99.51
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 109.8
     2030: 107.2
     2060: 101.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 86.05
     2030: 86.62
     2060: 90.62
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 14.03
     2030: 14.47
     2060: 16.53
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Belarus
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.006
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.008
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.897
     2030: 0.905
     2060: 0.945
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 1.597
     2030: 1.531
     2060: 1.177
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,300
     2030: 3,364
     2060: 3,546
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.818
     2030: 0.867
     2060: 0.895
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -1.316
     2030: -1.232
     2060: -0.904

Economy Forecast for Belarus
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 174.4
     2030: 180.0
     2060: 209.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 56.45
     2030: 62.26
     2060: 108.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 18.40
     2030: 19.59
     2060: 27.58
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.246
     2030: 0.239
     2060: 0.210
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 57.28
     2030: 51.23
     2060: 43.38
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 57.08
     2030: 59.96
     2060: 70.73

Energy Forecast for Belarus
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.013
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Belarus
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.016
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Belarus
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.151
     2030: 0.143
     2060: 0.134

Domestic Government Forecast for Belarus
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 3.031
     2030: 3.092
     2060: 3.389
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 3.595
     2030: 4.128
     2060: 7.347
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 4.489
     2030: 4.662
     2060: 5.898
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.349
     2030: 2.437
     2060: 2.985
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 6.866
     2030: 6.895
     2060: 7.133