Country Profile - Botswana      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Botswana
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Botswana -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 2.719
     2030: 2.961
     2060: 3.801
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.513
     2030: 1.309
     2060: 0.394
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 22.24
     2030: 19.74
     2060: 12.40
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 8.131
     2030: 7.718
     2060: 9.294
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 27.16
     2030: 23.82
     2060: 13.76
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 64.31
     2030: 66.54
     2060: 74.00
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 60.92
     2030: 63.08
     2060: 70.62
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 67.63
     2030: 69.92
     2060: 77.27
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 2.701
     2030: 2.446
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 13.85
     2030: 12.01
     2060: 3.363
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.298
     2030: 0.289
     2060: 0.235
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.871
     2030: 0.879
     2060: 0.725
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.740
     2030: 1.943
     2060: 2.593
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.108
     2030: 0.140
     2060: 0.484
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 2.014
     2030: 2.325
     2060: 3.273
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.422
     2030: 0.423
     2060: 0.395
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.06
     2030: 48.97
     2060: 49.96

Health Forecast for Botswana -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 21.02
     2030: 22.81
     2060: 31.21
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 21.46
     2030: 21.87
     2060: 24.28
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 10.34
     2030: 8.728
     2060: 4.682
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 9.824
     2030: 7.774
     2060: 1.972
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 21.11
     2030: 17.03
     2060: 5.694

Education Forecast for Botswana -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 104.1
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 100.00
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 95.28
     2030: 98.82
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 83.07
     2030: 87.73
     2060: 96.52
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 63.11
     2030: 68.64
     2060: 88.66
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 27.51
     2030: 30.74
     2060: 51.70
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 9.556
     2030: 9.908
     2060: 11.49
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 88.15
     2030: 89.77
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Botswana
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.332
     2030: 0.318
     2060: 0.073
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.913
     2030: 0.925
     2060: 0.385
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.790
     2030: 0.814
     2060: 0.917
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 10.61
     2030: 9.000
     2060: 3.537
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,597
     2030: 2,715
     2060: 3,190
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.212
     2030: 0.228
     2060: 0.126
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.482
     2030: 0.518
     2060: 0.612

Economy Forecast for Botswana
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 40.21
     2030: 48.43
     2060: 103.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 19.97
     2030: 25.65
     2060: 77.21
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 14.79
     2030: 16.35
     2060: 27.12
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.529
     2030: 0.522
     2060: 0.498
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 34.03
     2030: 33.29
     2060: 31.64
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 20.59
     2030: 22.86
     2060: 41.73

Energy Forecast for Botswana
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.003
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Botswana
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Botswana
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.057
     2030: 0.065
     2060: 0.089

Domestic Government Forecast for Botswana
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 11.13
     2030: 11.36
     2060: 12.41
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 18.27
     2030: 18.54
     2060: 19.70
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 6.141
     2030: 6.303
     2060: 7.501
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.769
     2030: 2.877
     2060: 3.410
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.679
     2030: 7.738
     2060: 8.029