Country Profile - Bahamas      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Bahamas
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Bahamas -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 0.417
     2030: 0.433
     2060: 0.446
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.645
     2030: 0.540
     2060: -0.215
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 11.33
     2030: 11.34
     2060: 8.708
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.236
     2030: 8.211
     2060: 12.99
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 7.014
     2030: 6.111
     2060: 3.190
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 75.60
     2030: 76.24
     2060: 79.78
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 72.02
     2030: 72.51
     2060: 75.93
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 78.88
     2030: 79.64
     2060: 83.27
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.377
     2030: 1.428
     2060: 1.519
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 1.354
     2030: 1.413
     2060: 1.377
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.024
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.020
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.075
     2030: 0.072
     2060: 0.060
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.301
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.275
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.042
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.110
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 0.348
     2030: 0.362
     2060: 0.379
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.553
     2030: 0.538
     2060: 0.478
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 48.91
     2030: 49.58
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Bahamas -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 33.72
     2030: 35.06
     2060: 39.42
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 18.76
     2030: 18.77
     2060: 17.63
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 5.878
     2030: 5.418
     2060: 3.993
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 4.813
     2030: 0.941
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 4.981
     2030: 3.745
     2060: 0.130

Education Forecast for Bahamas -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 95.54
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 86.47
     2030: 92.95
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 85.13
     2030: 103.9
     2060: 100.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 72.49
     2030: 79.91
     2060: 105.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 40.97
     2030: 41.80
     2060: 53.14
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 12.69
     2030: 12.60
     2060: 12.34
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Bahamas
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.004
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.023
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.018
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.941
     2030: 0.947
     2060: 0.980
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 3.303
     2030: 3.100
     2060: 2.388
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,173
     2030: 3,242
     2060: 3,454
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.388
     2030: 0.446
     2060: 0.620
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.902
     2030: 0.957
     2060: 1.131

Economy Forecast for Bahamas
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 14.72
     2030: 15.93
     2060: 20.86
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 13.67
     2030: 15.07
     2060: 20.61
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 35.27
     2030: 36.78
     2060: 46.81
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.393
     2030: 0.402
     2060: 0.414
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 44.45
     2030: 41.42
     2060: 35.62
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 56.74
     2030: 58.37
     2060: 63.94

Energy Forecast for Bahamas
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Bahamas
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Bahamas
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.037
     2030: 0.052
     2060: 0.065

Domestic Government Forecast for Bahamas
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 18.42
     2030: 19.10
     2060: 19.37
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 7.494
     2030: 7.769
     2060: 9.205
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.154
     2030: 3.249
     2060: 3.647
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.730
     2030: 7.764
     2060: 7.897