Country Profile - Bahamas      IFs Version 8.06
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Bahamas
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Bahamas -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 0.417
     2030: 0.432
     2060: 0.449
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.592
     2030: 0.527
     2060: -0.173
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 11.29
     2030: 11.68
     2060: 9.402
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 7.743
     2030: 8.686
     2060: 13.23
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 9.381
     2030: 8.151
     2060: 4.324
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 74.41
     2030: 75.05
     2060: 78.31
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 71.71
     2030: 72.23
     2060: 75.34
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 76.90
     2030: 77.65
     2060: 81.08
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.403
     2030: 1.458
     2060: 1.609
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 1.372
     2030: 1.429
     2060: 1.390
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.023
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.021
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.075
     2030: 0.072
     2060: 0.066
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.301
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.279
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.041
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.105
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 0.350
     2030: 0.365
     2060: 0.386
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.577
     2030: 0.561
     2060: 0.503
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 49.08
     2030: 49.65
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Bahamas -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 32.50
     2030: 34.35
     2060: 42.83
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 18.67
     2030: 18.66
     2060: 18.40
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 11.37
     2030: 10.18
     2060: 6.118
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 10.62
     2030: 6.063
     2060: 1.553
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 3.158
     2030: 2.144
     2060: 0.655

Education Forecast for Bahamas -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 94.34
     2030: 98.52
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 84.52
     2030: 91.67
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 83.41
     2030: 96.67
     2060: 100.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 73.65
     2030: 88.17
     2060: 98.83
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 40.22
     2030: 43.42
     2060: 56.74
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 12.25
     2030: 12.41
     2060: 13.61
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Bahamas
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.006
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.932
     2030: 0.937
     2060: 0.959
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 4.929
     2030: 4.489
     2060: 2.976
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,717
     2030: 2,812
     2060: 3,201
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.440
     2030: 0.488
     2060: 0.616
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 1.032
     2030: 1.061
     2060: 1.131

Economy Forecast for Bahamas
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 14.19
     2030: 14.91
     2060: 16.72
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 13.09
     2030: 13.82
     2060: 15.90
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 34.03
     2030: 34.54
     2060: 37.21
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.403
     2030: 0.395
     2060: 0.356
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 38.92
     2030: 35.88
     2060: 29.92
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 50.45
     2030: 53.11
     2060: 63.75

Energy Forecast for Bahamas
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Bahamas
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Bahamas
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.019
     2030: 0.038
     2060: 0.059

Domestic Government Forecast for Bahamas
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 18.84
     2030: 19.53
     2060: 19.97
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 6.443
     2030: 6.661
     2060: 7.524
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 3.037
     2030: 3.120
     2060: 3.457
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.554
     2030: 7.572
     2060: 7.621