Country Profile - Bahamas      IFs Version 7.79
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Bahamas
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Bahamas -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 0.411
     2030: 0.440
     2060: 0.501
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 0.671
     2030: 0.810
     2060: 0.186
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 14.11
     2030: 13.77
     2060: 11.26
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 6.885
     2030: 7.917
     2060: 11.51
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 9.932
     2030: 7.758
     2060: 3.644
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 73.94
     2030: 75.07
     2060: 78.87
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 71.31
     2030: 72.22
     2060: 75.89
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 76.43
     2030: 77.76
     2060: 81.71
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.760
     2030: 1.781
     2060: 1.823
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 1.454
     2030: 1.534
     2060: 1.488
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.028
     2030: 0.030
     2060: 0.028
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 0.089
     2030: 0.086
     2060: 0.085
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.289
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.313
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.033
     2030: 0.051
     2060: 0.102
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 0.336
     2030: 0.364
     2060: 0.423
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.574
     2030: 0.557
     2060: 0.508
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 48.69
     2030: 49.53
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Bahamas -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 31.05
     2030: 35.03
     2060: 51.06
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 18.75
     2030: 18.72
     2060: 17.99
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 20.94
     2030: 17.42
     2060: 8.425
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 20.88
     2030: 15.55
     2060: 7.737
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 25.26
     2030: 16.49
     2060: 3.554

Education Forecast for Bahamas -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 90.67
     2030: 96.35
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 80.36
     2030: 89.96
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 83.29
     2030: 93.46
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 74.71
     2030: 87.20
     2060: 99.42
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 36.07
     2030: 42.03
     2060: 58.17
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 12.05
     2030: 12.21
     2060: 13.19
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Bahamas
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.913
     2030: 0.925
     2060: 0.962
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 7.920
     2030: 6.666
     2060: 3.341
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 2,146
     2030: 2,334
     2060: 2,966
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.393
     2030: 0.452
     2060: 0.577
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.906
     2030: 0.944
     2060: 1.044

Economy Forecast for Bahamas
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 10.39
     2030: 12.35
     2060: 18.60
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 10.29
     2030: 12.18
     2060: 18.54
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 25.26
     2030: 28.05
     2060: 37.13
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.385
     2030: 0.375
     2060: 0.343
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 35.57
     2030: 32.74
     2060: 31.53
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 39.99
     2030: 45.69
     2060: 62.85

Energy Forecast for Bahamas
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Bahamas
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Bahamas
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.026
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.066

Domestic Government Forecast for Bahamas
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 13.99
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 17.95
     2030: 18.73
     2060: 19.65
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 6.892
     2030: 7.281
     2060: 8.374
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 3.176
     2030: 3.308
     2060: 3.675
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.202
     2030: 7.266
     2060: 7.423