Country Profile - Bahrain      IFs Version 7.58
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Bahrain
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Bahrain -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 1.519
     2030: 1.700
     2060: 1.852
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 1.961
     2030: 0.765
     2060: -0.287
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 12.97
     2030: 11.06
     2060: 10.42
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 3.214
     2030: 4.805
     2060: 14.89
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 5.674
     2030: 4.477
     2060: 2.722
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 77.04
     2030: 77.97
     2060: 79.86
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 76.34
     2030: 77.15
     2060: 78.71
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 78.10
     2030: 79.14
     2060: 81.22
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.997
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.034
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.010
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.102
     2030: 0.094
     2060: 0.097
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 0.314
     2030: 0.299
     2060: 0.299
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 1.150
     2030: 1.266
     2060: 1.052
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.055
     2030: 0.135
     2060: 0.500
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 1.387
     2030: 1.583
     2060: 1.731
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.563
     2030: 0.544
     2060: 0.447
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 23.47
     2030: 25.79
     2060: 31.60

Health Forecast for Bahrain -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 36.64
     2030: 38.37
     2060: 40.19
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 29.76
     2030: 28.77
     2060: 26.29
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 7.322
     2030: 6.908
     2060: 5.486
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 7.490
     2030: 6.960
     2060: 6.881
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 3.283
     2030: 2.761
     2060: 2.150

Education Forecast for Bahrain -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 100.4
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 96.37
     2030: 99.82
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 101.3
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 99.56
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 100.7
     2030: 99.59
     2060: 94.81
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 45.69
     2030: 46.90
     2060: 48.93
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 7.941
     2030: 8.657
     2060: 11.18
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 99.41
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Bahrain
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.955
     2030: 0.966
     2060: 0.968
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 2.996
     2030: 3.234
     2060: 2.671
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,239
     2030: 3,305
     2060: 3,340
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.498
     2030: 0.539
     2060: 0.588
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 1.183
     2030: 1.202
     2060: 1.174

Economy Forecast for Bahrain
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 62.51
     2030: 74.83
     2060: 69.42
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 36.62
     2030: 46.37
     2060: 49.15
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 41.15
     2030: 44.00
     2060: 37.49
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.326
     2030: 0.300
     2060: 0.216
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 40.40
     2030: 38.54
     2060: 34.95
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 55.65
     2030: 57.08
     2060: 59.32

Energy Forecast for Bahrain
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.053
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.009

Environment Forecast for Bahrain
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.008
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Bahrain
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.051
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.021

Domestic Government Forecast for Bahrain
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 3.049
     2030: 3.180
     2060: 3.547
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 1.890
     2030: 2.959
     2060: 6.516
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 5.091
     2030: 5.735
     2060: 5.919
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 3.083
     2030: 3.244
     2060: 3.370
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.106
     2030: 7.204
     2060: 7.186