Country Profile - Burkina Faso      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Burkina Faso
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Burkina Faso -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 24.48
     2030: 27.80
     2060: 47.55
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 2.607
     2030: 2.499
     2060: 1.039
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 34.25
     2030: 31.99
     2060: 16.16
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 7.213
     2030: 6.103
     2060: 5.308
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 50.09
     2030: 38.31
     2060: 10.33
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 65.03
     2030: 68.06
     2060: 76.22
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 62.24
     2030: 65.12
     2060: 72.99
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 67.81
     2030: 71.02
     2060: 79.51
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 4.487
     2030: 4.057
     2060: 2.026
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.373
     2030: 0.311
     2060: 0.060
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 3.708
     2030: 4.059
     2060: 3.914
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 10.25
     2030: 10.92
     2060: 12.19
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 13.54
     2030: 16.00
     2060: 31.95
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 0.698
     2030: 0.877
     2060: 3.407
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 8.252
     2030: 10.27
     2060: 27.53
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.365
     2030: 0.368
     2060: 0.364
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 46.40
     2030: 47.37
     2060: 49.60

Health Forecast for Burkina Faso -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 2.594
     2030: 2.810
     2060: 4.790
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 19.63
     2030: 19.74
     2060: 20.98
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 11.24
     2030: 9.479
     2060: 3.751
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 10.64
     2030: 8.845
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 13.91
     2030: 12.39
     2060: 4.327

Education Forecast for Burkina Faso -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 100.8
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 103.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 83.30
     2030: 85.71
     2060: 96.65
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 55.74
     2030: 60.66
     2060: 82.97
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 27.35
     2030: 31.59
     2060: 59.11
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 7.764
     2030: 9.735
     2060: 27.50
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 2.770
     2030: 3.467
     2060: 7.403
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 46.19
     2030: 54.69
     2060: 92.77

Social/Human Forecast for Burkina Faso
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 6.399
     2030: 5.619
     2060: 0.532
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 14.15
     2030: 13.88
     2060: 3.769
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.549
     2030: 0.600
     2060: 0.833
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 37.83
     2030: 31.81
     2060: 5.645
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 2,711
     2030: 2,769
     2060: 3,157
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.218
     2030: -0.237
     2060: -0.307
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.621
     2030: -0.583
     2060: -0.284

Economy Forecast for Burkina Faso
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 54.94
     2030: 69.07
     2060: 347.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 20.33
     2030: 26.60
     2060: 205.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 2.244
     2030: 2.484
     2060: 7.313
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.468
     2030: 0.469
     2060: 0.449
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 33.53
     2030: 33.52
     2060: 34.18
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 5.211
     2030: 6.423
     2060: 19.86

Energy Forecast for Burkina Faso
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.008
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Burkina Faso
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.017

International Politics Forecast for Burkina Faso
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.074
     2030: 0.079
     2060: 0.142

Domestic Government Forecast for Burkina Faso
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 8.507
     2030: 9.145
     2060: 12.57
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 16.05
     2030: 16.32
     2060: 18.80
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 3.986
     2030: 4.019
     2060: 4.715
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 1.865
     2030: 1.952
     2060: 2.781
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 6.084
     2030: 6.140
     2060: 6.716