Country Profile - Armenia      IFs Version 7.89
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     Forecast Categories for Armenia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Armenia -
Population - Million People - -
     2023: 2.997
     2030: 3.003
     2060: 2.725
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2023: 0.158
     2030: -0.098
     2060: -0.585
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 12.28
     2030: 10.39
     2060: 9.372
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2023: 9.375
     2030: 9.736
     2060: 13.39
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2023: 7.506
     2030: 6.728
     2060: 4.255
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2023: 76.18
     2030: 76.90
     2060: 80.22
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2023: 72.32
     2030: 73.03
     2060: 76.56
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2023: 79.63
     2030: 80.38
     2060: 83.65
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2023: 1.762
     2030: 1.771
     2060: 1.816
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2023: 0.108
     2030: 0.095
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2023: 0.201
     2030: 0.162
     2060: 0.129
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2023: 0.618
     2030: 0.557
     2060: 0.414
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2023: 2.005
     2030: 1.952
     2060: 1.590
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2023: 0.374
     2030: 0.494
     2060: 0.720
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2023: 1.895
     2030: 1.922
     2060: 1.845
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2023: 0.439
     2030: 0.426
     2060: 0.386
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2023: 47.63
     2030: 48.66
     2060: 49.88

Health Forecast for Armenia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2023: 24.11
     2030: 25.37
     2060: 28.14
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2023: 26.50
     2030: 27.29
     2060: 31.11
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2023: 2.430
     2030: 2.224
     2060: 1.980
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 0.118
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2023: 2.507
     2030: 1.686
     2060: 0.341

Education Forecast for Armenia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2023: 98.91
     2030: 101.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2023: 95.27
     2030: 98.51
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 98.03
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 75.87
     2030: 80.71
     2060: 93.27
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2023: 56.81
     2030: 62.62
     2060: 79.13
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2023: 10.27
     2030: 10.43
     2060: 11.56
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2023: 99.95
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Armenia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.174
     2030: 0.114
     2060: 0.020
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2023: 0.441
     2030: 0.311
     2060: 0.072
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 0.878
     2030: 0.890
     2060: 0.939
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2023: 1.345
     2030: 1.224
     2060: 0.910
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2023: 3,109
     2030: 3,191
     2060: 3,365
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2023: 0.477
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.460
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2023: -1.285
     2030: -1.241
     2060: -1.037

Economy Forecast for Armenia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 32.57
     2030: 37.29
     2060: 58.29
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 15.13
     2030: 18.86
     2060: 41.52
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2023: 10.87
     2030: 12.42
     2060: 21.39
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2023: 0.338
     2030: 0.343
     2060: 0.351
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2023: 51.50
     2030: 46.97
     2060: 18.37
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2023: 44.25
     2030: 48.02
     2060: 60.68

Energy Forecast for Armenia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2023: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Armenia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2023: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Armenia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2023: 0.098
     2030: 0.100
     2060: 0.104

Domestic Government Forecast for Armenia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2023: 7.074
     2030: 7.144
     2060: 7.752
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2023: 15.77
     2030: 16.07
     2060: 17.10
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2023: 3.705
     2030: 3.960
     2060: 5.300
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2023: 2.515
     2030: 2.651
     2060: 3.208
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2023: 7.850
     2030: 7.931
     2060: 8.257