Country Profile - Armenia      IFs Version 7.79
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     Forecast Categories for Armenia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Armenia -
Population - Million People - -
     2022: 2.970
     2030: 2.946
     2060: 2.626
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2022: 0.028
     2030: -0.216
     2060: -0.632
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 12.69
     2030: 10.24
     2060: 9.238
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2022: 9.419
     2030: 9.848
     2060: 13.48
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2022: 7.542
     2030: 6.510
     2060: 3.720
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2022: 76.08
     2030: 76.96
     2060: 80.60
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2022: 72.22
     2030: 73.08
     2060: 76.98
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2022: 79.52
     2030: 80.43
     2060: 84.00
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2022: 1.763
     2030: 1.771
     2060: 1.816
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2022: 0.109
     2030: 0.095
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2022: 0.205
     2030: 0.157
     2060: 0.123
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2022: 0.613
     2030: 0.542
     2060: 0.395
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2022: 1.998
     2030: 1.912
     2060: 1.520
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2022: 0.358
     2030: 0.492
     2060: 0.711
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2022: 1.887
     2030: 1.912
     2060: 1.811
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2022: 0.442
     2030: 0.426
     2060: 0.384
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2022: 47.49
     2030: 48.71
     2060: 49.89

Health Forecast for Armenia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2022: 24.09
     2030: 25.63
     2060: 29.22
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2022: 26.46
     2030: 27.35
     2060: 31.61
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2022: 2.039
     2030: 1.837
     2060: 1.627
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 0.443
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2022: 2.392
     2030: 1.961
     2060: 1.275

Education Forecast for Armenia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2022: 98.36
     2030: 101.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2022: 94.79
     2030: 98.59
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 95.85
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 100.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 72.45
     2030: 79.54
     2060: 94.85
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2022: 55.78
     2030: 62.66
     2060: 81.53
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2022: 10.28
     2030: 10.47
     2060: 11.66
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2022: 99.91
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Armenia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.207
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.009
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2022: 0.472
     2030: 0.318
     2060: 0.032
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 0.870
     2030: 0.886
     2060: 0.946
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2022: 1.307
     2030: 1.157
     2060: 0.799
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2022: 3,151
     2030: 3,251
     2060: 3,471
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2022: 0.479
     2030: 0.476
     2060: 0.480
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2022: -1.293
     2030: -1.237
     2060: -1.002

Economy Forecast for Armenia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 28.28
     2030: 33.91
     2060: 61.86
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 15.06
     2030: 19.66
     2060: 51.46
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2022: 9.523
     2030: 11.51
     2060: 23.55
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2022: 0.335
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.344
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2022: 50.76
     2030: 49.97
     2060: 32.27
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2022: 43.56
     2030: 48.52
     2060: 64.01

Energy Forecast for Armenia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2022: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Armenia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2022: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Armenia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2022: 0.096
     2030: 0.097
     2060: 0.106

Domestic Government Forecast for Armenia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2022: 7.080
     2030: 7.178
     2060: 7.877
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2022: 15.66
     2030: 16.06
     2060: 16.93
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2022: 2.816
     2030: 3.199
     2060: 5.075
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2022: 2.458
     2030: 2.635
     2060: 3.282
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2022: 7.748
     2030: 7.865
     2060: 8.284