Country Profile - Armenia      IFs Version 8.06
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Armenia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Armenia -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 2.851
     2030: 2.854
     2060: 2.553
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 0.132
     2030: -0.142
     2060: -0.594
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 12.52
     2030: 10.37
     2060: 8.852
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 9.723
     2030: 10.11
     2060: 12.92
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 7.589
     2030: 6.798
     2060: 3.599
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 76.25
     2030: 76.98
     2060: 81.16
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 72.29
     2030: 73.04
     2060: 77.60
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 79.58
     2030: 80.33
     2060: 84.42
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 1.581
     2030: 1.614
     2060: 1.711
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.113
     2030: 0.101
     2060: 0.033
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.187
     2030: 0.160
     2060: 0.119
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 0.584
     2030: 0.532
     2060: 0.380
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 1.852
     2030: 1.818
     2060: 1.468
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.416
     2030: 0.504
     2060: 0.705
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 1.788
     2030: 1.787
     2060: 1.654
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.486
     2030: 0.470
     2060: 0.421
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 51.94
     2030: 51.94
     2060: 51.94

Health Forecast for Armenia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 24.18
     2030: 25.71
     2060: 31.67
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 25.72
     2030: 26.66
     2060: 30.31
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 2.489
     2030: 2.316
     2060: 1.774
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 1.151
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 2.513
     2030: 1.613
     2060: 0.089

Education Forecast for Armenia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 99.22
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 97.61
     2030: 99.82
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 94.96
     2030: 99.86
     2060: 100.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 72.56
     2030: 78.07
     2060: 97.41
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 55.85
     2030: 60.28
     2060: 84.50
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 11.50
     2030: 11.54
     2060: 12.59
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 99.94
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Armenia
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.026
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.242
     2030: 0.216
     2060: 0.005
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.899
     2030: 0.912
     2060: 0.981
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 1.363
     2030: 1.245
     2060: 0.812
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 3,092
     2030: 3,193
     2060: 3,546
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: 0.484
     2030: 0.487
     2060: 0.521
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -1.304
     2030: -1.257
     2060: -0.955

Economy Forecast for Armenia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 44.68
     2030: 52.50
     2060: 107.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 15.97
     2030: 21.09
     2060: 76.87
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2024: 15.67
     2030: 18.39
     2060: 41.94
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.314
     2030: 0.323
     2060: 0.299
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 58.35
     2030: 57.32
     2060: 50.19
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 43.90
     2030: 48.03
     2060: 73.48

Energy Forecast for Armenia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Armenia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Armenia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.096
     2030: 0.098
     2060: 0.118

Domestic Government Forecast for Armenia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 8.005
     2030: 8.032
     2060: 8.714
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 17.58
     2030: 17.55
     2060: 18.76
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 4.453
     2030: 4.797
     2060: 7.792
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.568
     2030: 2.718
     2060: 3.521
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 8.101
     2030: 8.192
     2060: 8.681