Country Profile - Armenia      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for Armenia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Armenia -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 3.021
     2030: 3.068
     2060: 2.794
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.362
     2030: 0.008
     2060: -0.575
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 12.30
     2030: 10.50
     2060: 9.486
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 9.524
     2030: 9.982
     2060: 13.58
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 8.107
     2030: 7.244
     2060: 4.983
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 75.75
     2030: 76.60
     2060: 79.62
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 72.04
     2030: 72.86
     2060: 76.07
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 79.06
     2030: 79.96
     2060: 82.97
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.736
     2030: 1.749
     2060: 1.803
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.110
     2030: 0.094
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.200
     2030: 0.162
     2060: 0.134
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 0.623
     2030: 0.547
     2060: 0.421
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 2.028
     2030: 2.011
     2060: 1.643
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.370
     2030: 0.511
     2060: 0.730
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 1.896
     2030: 1.947
     2060: 1.880
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.455
     2030: 0.440
     2060: 0.398
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 48.31
     2030: 49.32
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Armenia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 23.85
     2030: 25.06
     2060: 26.86
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 26.52
     2030: 27.55
     2060: 30.80
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 2.914
     2030: 2.778
     2060: 2.415
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.060
     2030: 0.551
     2060: 0.149
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 3.176
     2030: 2.652
     2060: 1.872

Education Forecast for Armenia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 100.7
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 94.63
     2030: 97.56
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 96.10
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 100.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 92.26
     2030: 95.55
     2060: 99.55
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 46.75
     2030: 48.34
     2060: 57.80
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 10.49
     2030: 10.64
     2060: 11.28
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 99.99
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Armenia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.076
     2030: 0.072
     2060: 0.005
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.097
     2030: 0.092
     2060: 0.007
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.865
     2030: 0.879
     2060: 0.924
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 1.539
     2030: 1.513
     2060: 1.053
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,139
     2030: 3,219
     2060: 3,338
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.477
     2030: 0.470
     2060: 0.446
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -1.284
     2030: -1.225
     2060: -1.042

Economy Forecast for Armenia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 26.77
     2030: 32.32
     2060: 48.80
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 14.49
     2030: 19.12
     2060: 39.03
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 8.862
     2030: 10.53
     2060: 17.46
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.346
     2030: 0.350
     2060: 0.347
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 50.23
     2030: 49.00
     2060: 24.08
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 35.73
     2030: 36.47
     2060: 44.07

Energy Forecast for Armenia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Armenia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Armenia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.026
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.020

Domestic Government Forecast for Armenia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 7.074
     2030: 7.145
     2060: 7.570
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 15.70
     2030: 15.92
     2060: 16.68
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 2.766
     2030: 3.156
     2060: 4.405
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.440
     2030: 2.614
     2060: 3.119
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.688
     2030: 7.829
     2060: 8.128