Country Profile - Albania      IFs Version 7.58
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Albania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Albania -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 2.903
     2030: 2.907
     2060: 2.479
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.132
     2030: -0.239
     2060: -0.736
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 12.71
     2030: 10.47
     2060: 8.840
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 8.874
     2030: 10.27
     2060: 13.44
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 10.70
     2030: 10.11
     2060: 7.620
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 78.04
     2030: 78.87
     2060: 82.00
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 75.07
     2030: 75.80
     2060: 78.75
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 81.08
     2030: 81.98
     2060: 85.31
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.715
     2030: 1.743
     2060: 1.799
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.039
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.011
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 0.180
     2030: 0.164
     2060: 0.115
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 0.505
     2030: 0.516
     2060: 0.364
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 1.962
     2030: 1.823
     2060: 1.418
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 0.436
     2030: 0.567
     2060: 0.696
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 1.790
     2030: 1.914
     2060: 1.797
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.442
     2030: 0.426
     2060: 0.399
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 43.17
     2030: 45.06
     2060: 48.33

Health Forecast for Albania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 31.45
     2030: 31.95
     2060: 32.60
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 29.99
     2030: 30.18
     2060: 31.59
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 1.934
     2030: 1.949
     2060: 1.947
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.461
     2030: 1.409
     2060: 0.158
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 4.973
     2030: 4.428
     2060: 3.069

Education Forecast for Albania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 104.0
     2030: 103.6
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 94.61
     2030: 96.53
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 101.0
     2030: 98.39
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 94.25
     2030: 94.77
     2060: 99.27
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 62.55
     2030: 60.22
     2060: 60.25
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 9.808
     2030: 10.37
     2060: 11.66
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 98.64
     2030: 99.24
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Albania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.141
     2030: 0.184
     2060: 0.039
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 0.398
     2030: 0.498
     2060: 0.144
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.888
     2030: 0.896
     2060: 0.934
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 2.180
     2030: 2.122
     2060: 1.426
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,307
     2030: 3,333
     2060: 3,368
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.469
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.404
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: -1.521
     2030: -1.467
     2060: -1.209

Economy Forecast for Albania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 33.46
     2030: 34.41
     2060: 41.11
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 15.37
     2030: 16.59
     2060: 25.52
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 11.53
     2030: 11.84
     2060: 16.58
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.338
     2030: 0.332
     2060: 0.327
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 49.56
     2030: 49.03
     2060: 38.96
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 35.93
     2030: 34.03
     2060: 38.73

Energy Forecast for Albania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 0.011
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Albania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Albania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 0.023
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.015

Domestic Government Forecast for Albania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 10.30
     2030: 10.60
     2060: 11.39
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 19.39
     2030: 19.61
     2060: 19.09
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 3.213
     2030: 3.508
     2060: 4.430
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 2.587
     2030: 2.687
     2060: 3.070
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 7.632
     2030: 7.710
     2060: 7.879