Country Profile - Zimbabwe      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Zimbabwe
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zimbabwe -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 16.22
     2030: 22.23
     2060: 32.09
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 3.068
     2030: 1.826
     2060: 0.676
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 33.93
     2030: 25.94
     2060: 14.95
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.923
     2030: 7.199
     2060: 7.926
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 39.46
     2030: 31.02
     2060: 13.81
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 60.25
     2030: 65.62
     2060: 72.39
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 58.79
     2030: 64.10
     2060: 70.70
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 61.66
     2030: 67.13
     2060: 74.11
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.797
     2030: 3.090
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 9.411
     2030: 6.176
     2060: 2.290
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.559
     2030: 2.764
     2060: 2.344
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 6.662
     2030: 7.993
     2060: 7.215
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 9.072
     2030: 13.51
     2060: 21.68
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.491
     2030: 0.735
     2060: 3.191
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 5.101
     2030: 6.364
     2060: 9.061
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.511
     2030: 0.555
     2060: 0.618
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 49.46
     2030: 49.46
     2060: 49.46

Health Forecast for Zimbabwe -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 12.47
     2030: 14.41
     2060: 20.23
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 12.86
     2030: 13.54
     2060: 15.02
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 11.08
     2030: 9.151
     2060: 3.244
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 10.41
     2030: 5.633
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 31.01
     2030: 18.05
     2060: 5.967

Education Forecast for Zimbabwe -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 102.7
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 87.96
     2030: 97.51
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 70.32
     2030: 81.27
     2060: 102.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 38.02
     2030: 47.69
     2060: 90.06
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 6.279
     2030: 10.51
     2060: 26.77
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 8.037
     2030: 8.739
     2060: 10.42
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 84.33
     2030: 89.96
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Zimbabwe
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 6.143
     2030: 9.571
     2060: 5.315
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 9.552
     2030: 14.10
     2060: 10.03
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.635
     2030: 0.695
     2060: 0.817
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 20.09
     2030: 14.44
     2060: 5.503
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,147
     2030: 2,367
     2060: 2,853
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.588
     2030: -1.538
     2060: -1.176
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.344
     2030: -1.075
     2060: -0.524

Economy Forecast for Zimbabwe
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 27.67
     2030: 47.20
     2060: 167.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 13.68
     2030: 22.88
     2060: 99.67
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.705
     2030: 2.123
     2060: 5.217
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.500
     2030: 0.512
     2060: 0.543
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 33.66
     2030: 34.19
     2060: 35.26
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 2.569
     2030: 3.694
     2060: 14.20

Energy Forecast for Zimbabwe
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zimbabwe
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.010

International Politics Forecast for Zimbabwe
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.071
     2030: 0.086
     2060: 0.125

Domestic Government Forecast for Zimbabwe
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 5.026
     2030: 5.294
     2060: 6.101
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 14.23
     2030: 15.33
     2060: 17.20
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.242
     2030: 2.532
     2060: 3.357
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.347
     2030: 1.599
     2060: 2.381
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.332
     2030: 5.444
     2060: 5.866