Country Profile - Zimbabwe      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Zimbabwe
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zimbabwe -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 13.20
     2030: 17.29
     2060: 22.33
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.740
     2030: 1.283
     2060: 0.432
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 29.25
     2030: 21.35
     2060: 13.49
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 11.78
     2030: 8.396
     2060: 9.047
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 47.22
     2030: 30.74
     2060: 15.96
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 54.06
     2030: 64.57
     2060: 72.08
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 54.91
     2030: 65.32
     2060: 71.87
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 53.23
     2030: 63.78
     2060: 72.31
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 3.193
     2030: 2.492
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 8.736
     2030: 5.487
     2060: 1.796
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 2.091
     2030: 2.182
     2060: 1.793
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 4.920
     2030: 5.450
     2060: 4.486
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 7.726
     2030: 11.10
     2060: 14.90
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.557
     2030: 0.732
     2060: 2.943
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 5.077
     2030: 6.795
     2060: 9.906
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.408
     2030: 0.454
     2060: 0.473
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 48.58
     2030: 49.88
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Zimbabwe -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 12.54
     2030: 14.07
     2060: 17.05
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 11.77
     2030: 12.65
     2060: 13.65
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 13.18
     2030: 9.325
     2060: 5.758
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 12.99
     2030: 8.800
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 30.56
     2030: 21.90
     2060: 11.12

Education Forecast for Zimbabwe -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 112.0
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 87.42
     2030: 93.69
     2060: 99.95
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 61.89
     2030: 63.65
     2060: 82.21
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 30.72
     2030: 34.01
     2060: 58.30
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 8.212
     2030: 17.11
     2060: 26.81
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 7.578
     2030: 8.806
     2060: 10.17
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 92.87
     2030: 96.03
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Zimbabwe
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 4.938
     2030: 5.582
     2060: 4.335
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 7.656
     2030: 9.046
     2060: 8.011
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.637
     2030: 0.731
     2060: 0.816
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 29.79
     2030: 16.10
     2060: 8.146
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,266
     2030: 2,464
     2060: 2,749
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -1.574
     2030: -1.433
     2060: -1.062
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -1.282
     2030: -0.870
     2060: -0.342

Economy Forecast for Zimbabwe
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 26.02
     2030: 53.44
     2060: 119.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 6.198
     2030: 16.15
     2060: 48.48
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 1.970
     2030: 3.092
     2060: 5.332
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.570
     2030: 0.574
     2060: 0.590
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 43.43
     2030: 50.48
     2060: 51.67
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 6.668
     2030: 12.21
     2060: 22.21

Energy Forecast for Zimbabwe
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Zimbabwe
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Zimbabwe
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.062
     2030: 0.072
     2060: 0.082

Domestic Government Forecast for Zimbabwe
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 4.087
     2030: 4.499
     2060: 5.018
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 11.24
     2030: 13.56
     2060: 15.97
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.464
     2030: 2.951
     2060: 3.634
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.067
     2030: 1.564
     2060: 2.230
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 2.918
     2030: 3.055
     2060: 3.213