Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.00
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 14.89
     2030: 22.63
     2060: 36.35
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 3.014
     2030: 2.258
     2060: 0.923
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 43.96
     2030: 31.27
     2060: 15.67
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 13.75
     2030: 8.637
     2060: 6.395
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 77.01
     2030: 45.52
     2060: 10.76
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 52.03
     2030: 60.09
     2060: 72.15
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 51.46
     2030: 59.04
     2060: 69.51
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 52.62
     2030: 61.16
     2060: 74.85
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 6.000
     2030: 3.958
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 8.207
     2030: 6.602
     2060: 2.161
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.271
     2030: 3.930
     2060: 3.428
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 6.951
     2030: 9.240
     2060: 9.020
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 7.558
     2030: 12.84
     2060: 25.08
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.381
     2030: 0.551
     2060: 2.252
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 5.706
     2030: 9.343
     2060: 18.61
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.425
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.594
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 47.19
     2030: 49.22
     2060: 49.93

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 1.381
     2030: 2.557
     2060: 7.483
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 10.34
     2030: 10.98
     2060: 12.87
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 14.00
     2030: 7.918
     2060: 3.321
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 12.76
     2030: 4.613
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 43.40
     2030: 30.13
     2060: 10.57

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 109.7
     2030: 107.5
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 90.84
     2030: 97.54
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 71.07
     2030: 71.61
     2060: 98.42
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 7.351
     2030: 22.55
     2060: 64.65
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 5.398
     2030: 17.00
     2060: 34.00
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 6.998
     2030: 8.321
     2060: 10.37
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 64.20
     2030: 88.96
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 8.524
     2030: 6.238
     2060: 1.451
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 10.66
     2030: 9.407
     2060: 3.329
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.519
     2030: 0.685
     2060: 0.868
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 34.38
     2030: 17.99
     2060: 4.773
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 1,958
     2030: 2,278
     2060: 2,968
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.144
     2030: -0.152
     2060: -0.089
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.837
     2030: -0.513
     2060: 0.139

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 23.98
     2030: 73.52
     2060: 491.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 13.13
     2030: 47.73
     2060: 438.0
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.611
     2030: 3.248
     2060: 13.52
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.588
     2030: 0.593
     2060: 0.550
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 38.31
     2030: 50.54
     2060: 57.66
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 6.309
     2030: 13.16
     2060: 30.70

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.010

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.068
     2030: 0.101
     2060: 0.200

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 9.267
     2030: 10.34
     2060: 12.43
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 16.93
     2030: 16.85
     2060: 18.77
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.039
     2030: 3.277
     2060: 4.833
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.778
     2030: 2.238
     2060: 3.211
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.338
     2030: 7.767
     2060: 8.656