Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 17.04
     2030: 24.26
     2060: 43.07
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.850
     2030: 2.585
     2060: 1.221
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 37.15
     2030: 32.23
     2060: 17.96
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 8.159
     2030: 6.057
     2060: 5.639
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 48.78
     2030: 34.15
     2060: 16.79
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 62.18
     2030: 67.82
     2060: 74.83
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 59.67
     2030: 65.08
     2060: 71.66
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 64.69
     2030: 70.60
     2060: 78.03
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 4.923
     2030: 4.016
     2060: 2.252
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 7.165
     2030: 5.019
     2060: 1.128
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 2.934
     2030: 3.612
     2060: 3.874
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 7.741
     2030: 9.684
     2060: 11.75
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 8.800
     2030: 13.89
     2060: 28.23
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.497
     2030: 0.684
     2060: 3.082
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 7.193
     2030: 11.91
     2060: 28.04
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.418
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.546
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 47.34
     2030: 49.25
     2060: 49.96

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 1.517
     2030: 2.429
     2060: 6.749
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 15.95
     2030: 16.36
     2060: 17.59
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 14.40
     2030: 8.891
     2060: 3.167
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 13.72
     2030: 6.201
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 43.57
     2030: 23.08
     2060: 5.180

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 104.6
     2030: 107.6
     2060: 103.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 78.44
     2030: 84.80
     2060: 96.59
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 64.23
     2030: 71.94
     2060: 85.06
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 7.594
     2030: 29.99
     2060: 63.57
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 3.277
     2030: 9.191
     2060: 28.09
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 7.265
     2030: 8.338
     2060: 9.787
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 86.05
     2030: 90.34
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 12.30
     2030: 16.57
     2060: 18.27
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 12.96
     2030: 17.59
     2060: 20.41
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.693
     2030: 0.751
     2060: 0.862
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 19.76
     2030: 12.39
     2060: 4.101
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 1,982
     2030: 2,238
     2060: 2,887
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.144
     2030: -0.200
     2060: -0.260
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.321
     2030: -0.237
     2060: -0.042

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 61.79
     2030: 109.3
     2060: 397.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 30.55
     2030: 56.93
     2060: 263.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 3.627
     2030: 4.507
     2060: 9.228
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.557
     2030: 0.553
     2060: 0.537
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 34.58
     2030: 37.72
     2060: 39.74
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 4.915
     2030: 6.567
     2060: 14.93

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.088
     2030: 0.113
     2060: 0.199

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.106
     2030: 9.711
     2060: 10.87
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 17.01
     2030: 17.21
     2060: 18.74
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.213
     2030: 3.386
     2060: 4.230
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.049
     2030: 2.246
     2060: 2.856
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.974
     2030: 7.096
     2060: 7.506