Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.45
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 18.31
     2030: 24.06
     2060: 43.22
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 2.863
     2030: 2.607
     2060: 1.255
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 36.93
     2030: 32.89
     2060: 18.88
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 8.148
     2030: 6.690
     2060: 6.244
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 40.21
     2030: 32.39
     2060: 14.81
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 60.37
     2030: 63.80
     2060: 71.08
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 57.00
     2030: 60.09
     2060: 66.91
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 63.70
     2030: 67.51
     2060: 75.22
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 4.742
     2030: 4.101
     2060: 2.315
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 6.230
     2030: 4.665
     2060: 1.049
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 3.045
     2030: 3.671
     2060: 4.101
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 8.030
     2030: 9.859
     2060: 12.43
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 9.873
     2030: 13.68
     2060: 28.44
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.408
     2030: 0.528
     2060: 2.348
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 8.305
     2030: 12.16
     2060: 28.41
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.488
     2030: 0.527
     2060: 0.248
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 48.86
     2030: 49.72
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 1.646
     2030: 2.230
     2060: 5.334
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 15.93
     2030: 16.07
     2060: 17.47
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 13.30
     2030: 9.827
     2060: 2.697
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 12.59
     2030: 9.194
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 35.20
     2030: 22.70
     2060: 6.237

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 104.1
     2030: 105.5
     2060: 103.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 91.74
     2030: 93.33
     2060: 98.45
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 68.77
     2030: 72.97
     2060: 88.42
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 54.90
     2030: 54.91
     2060: 71.19
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 7.170
     2030: 13.92
     2060: 36.10
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 7.240
     2030: 7.893
     2060: 9.283
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 84.76
     2030: 89.16
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 10.22
     2030: 13.00
     2060: 8.721
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 10.50
     2030: 13.40
     2060: 9.320
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.681
     2030: 0.721
     2060: 0.839
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 18.30
     2030: 13.67
     2060: 3.625
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,025
     2030: 2,190
     2060: 2,716
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.158
     2030: -0.199
     2060: -0.226
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.279
     2030: -0.217
     2060: 0.071

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 68.82
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 383.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 33.78
     2030: 50.02
     2060: 247.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 3.758
     2030: 4.190
     2060: 8.867
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.563
     2030: 0.541
     2060: 0.477
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 34.76
     2030: 36.02
     2060: 38.22
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 7.456
     2030: 9.972
     2060: 25.73

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.090
     2030: 0.107
     2060: 0.182

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 9.212
     2030: 9.530
     2060: 10.54
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 16.92
     2030: 17.17
     2060: 18.63
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 3.225
     2030: 3.336
     2060: 4.145
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 1.984
     2030: 2.112
     2060: 2.749
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 6.761
     2030: 6.821
     2060: 7.213