Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 16.69
     2030: 24.69
     2060: 44.28
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 3.001
     2030: 2.609
     2060: 1.253
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 39.19
     2030: 32.84
     2060: 18.30
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.693
     2030: 6.429
     2060: 5.666
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 49.74
     2030: 33.38
     2060: 15.47
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 61.76
     2030: 67.29
     2060: 74.74
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 59.66
     2030: 64.71
     2060: 71.54
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 63.86
     2030: 69.91
     2060: 77.97
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 5.233
     2030: 4.202
     2060: 2.295
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 7.595
     2030: 6.551
     2060: 2.428
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.932
     2030: 3.754
     2060: 4.080
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 7.614
     2030: 10.09
     2060: 12.40
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 8.587
     2030: 13.89
     2060: 28.73
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.489
     2030: 0.718
     2060: 3.154
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 6.899
     2030: 11.84
     2060: 27.93
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.434
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.565
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 47.01
     2030: 49.13
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 1.298
     2030: 2.173
     2060: 5.855
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 15.96
     2030: 16.44
     2060: 17.91
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 14.44
     2030: 8.285
     2060: 3.253
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 13.76
     2030: 7.638
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 44.11
     2030: 22.24
     2060: 5.183

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 103.1
     2030: 98.55
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 87.20
     2030: 87.50
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 63.97
     2030: 65.83
     2060: 94.66
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 5.756
     2030: 9.783
     2060: 49.53
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 3.735
     2030: 12.78
     2060: 27.07
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 7.178
     2030: 8.208
     2060: 9.370
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 62.94
     2030: 84.24
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 12.02
     2030: 15.78
     2060: 14.20
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 13.97
     2030: 19.10
     2060: 21.07
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.614
     2030: 0.731
     2060: 0.873
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 29.60
     2030: 14.52
     2060: 5.080
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 1,976
     2030: 2,246
     2060: 2,843
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.144
     2030: -0.195
     2060: -0.225
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.317
     2030: -0.215
     2060: 0.040

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 60.95
     2030: 118.1
     2060: 502.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 29.97
     2030: 62.59
     2060: 365.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 3.652
     2030: 4.782
     2060: 11.34
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.554
     2030: 0.558
     2060: 0.547
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 34.36
     2030: 37.08
     2060: 39.48
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 4.903
     2030: 7.084
     2060: 17.58

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.087
     2030: 0.118
     2060: 0.230

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.110
     2030: 9.659
     2060: 10.81
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 17.02
     2030: 17.30
     2060: 18.71
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.215
     2030: 3.429
     2060: 4.480
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.050
     2030: 2.286
     2060: 2.984
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.975
     2030: 7.126
     2060: 7.615