Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 16.69
     2030: 24.69
     2060: 44.26
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 3.001
     2030: 2.599
     2060: 1.279
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 39.19
     2030: 32.67
     2060: 18.63
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.691
     2030: 6.362
     2060: 5.737
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 49.69
     2030: 32.43
     2060: 16.00
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 61.76
     2030: 67.42
     2060: 74.53
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 59.66
     2030: 64.84
     2060: 71.33
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 63.86
     2030: 70.04
     2060: 77.78
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 5.233
     2030: 4.179
     2060: 2.344
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 7.595
     2030: 6.551
     2060: 2.428
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.932
     2030: 3.744
     2060: 4.125
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 7.614
     2030: 10.08
     2060: 12.44
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 8.587
     2030: 13.89
     2060: 28.68
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.489
     2030: 0.718
     2060: 3.149
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 6.899
     2030: 11.84
     2060: 27.94
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.434
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.564
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 47.01
     2030: 49.13
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 1.298
     2030: 2.178
     2060: 5.966
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 15.96
     2030: 16.45
     2060: 17.89
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 14.44
     2030: 7.627
     2060: 3.224
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 13.75
     2030: 6.962
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 44.11
     2030: 22.22
     2060: 5.140

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 103.2
     2030: 97.91
     2060: 99.41
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 87.30
     2030: 87.89
     2060: 98.38
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 64.03
     2030: 66.31
     2060: 84.98
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 5.776
     2030: 10.23
     2060: 35.11
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 3.751
     2030: 12.83
     2060: 22.40
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 7.177
     2030: 8.222
     2060: 9.177
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 62.94
     2030: 84.33
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 12.00
     2030: 15.64
     2060: 14.13
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 13.96
     2030: 18.98
     2060: 20.90
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.614
     2030: 0.732
     2060: 0.871
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 29.60
     2030: 13.72
     2060: 5.184
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 1,976
     2030: 2,247
     2060: 2,856
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.144
     2030: -0.194
     2060: -0.224
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.317
     2030: -0.213
     2060: 0.042

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 60.95
     2030: 119.1
     2060: 496.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 29.97
     2030: 63.37
     2060: 359.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 3.652
     2030: 4.823
     2060: 11.22
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.554
     2030: 0.560
     2060: 0.553
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 34.36
     2030: 37.07
     2060: 39.44
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 4.923
     2030: 7.116
     2060: 14.40

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.087
     2030: 0.119
     2060: 0.233

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.110
     2030: 9.686
     2060: 10.63
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 17.02
     2030: 17.30
     2060: 18.72
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.215
     2030: 3.434
     2060: 4.467
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.050
     2030: 2.291
     2060: 2.978
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.975
     2030: 7.131
     2060: 7.609