Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.37
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 17.58
     2030: 24.58
     2060: 44.28
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 2.957
     2030: 2.626
     2060: 1.277
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 37.49
     2030: 32.44
     2060: 18.19
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 7.857
     2030: 6.052
     2060: 5.331
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 48.58
     2030: 37.34
     2060: 16.96
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 62.58
     2030: 67.58
     2060: 75.61
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 60.03
     2030: 64.87
     2060: 72.83
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 65.09
     2030: 70.29
     2060: 78.43
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 4.862
     2030: 4.068
     2060: 2.290
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 7.015
     2030: 5.019
     2060: 1.128
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 2.957
     2030: 3.688
     2060: 4.038
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 7.777
     2030: 9.895
     2060: 12.24
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 9.368
     2030: 14.01
     2060: 28.93
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.438
     2030: 0.671
     2060: 3.115
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 7.412
     2030: 11.65
     2060: 27.39
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.424
     2030: 0.417
     2060: 0.179
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 48.49
     2030: 49.72
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 1.550
     2030: 2.227
     2060: 5.293
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 15.91
     2030: 16.20
     2060: 17.53
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 14.28
     2030: 11.17
     2060: 3.218
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 13.61
     2030: 9.613
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 39.88
     2030: 22.77
     2060: 6.457

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 105.5
     2030: 107.4
     2060: 103.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 79.17
     2030: 85.83
     2060: 97.69
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 66.64
     2030: 75.46
     2060: 89.35
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 53.46
     2030: 56.74
     2060: 72.91
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 5.672
     2030: 13.18
     2060: 40.46
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 6.906
     2030: 7.619
     2060: 8.902
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 84.12
     2030: 89.25
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 9.886
     2030: 12.84
     2060: 12.32
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 10.15
     2030: 13.23
     2060: 12.93
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.690
     2030: 0.746
     2060: 0.863
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 19.33
     2030: 14.59
     2060: 3.404
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 1,992
     2030: 2,190
     2060: 2,711
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.149
     2030: -0.198
     2060: -0.269
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.309
     2030: -0.237
     2060: -0.065

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 64.92
     2030: 110.6
     2060: 388.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 32.24
     2030: 57.04
     2060: 250.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 3.693
     2030: 4.498
     2060: 8.778
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.572
     2030: 0.563
     2060: 0.553
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 34.04
     2030: 35.88
     2060: 38.16
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 6.586
     2030: 8.283
     2060: 22.90

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.089
     2030: 0.113
     2060: 0.192

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.138
     2030: 9.597
     2060: 10.60
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 16.99
     2030: 17.40
     2060: 18.72
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 3.221
     2030: 3.397
     2060: 4.162
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.060
     2030: 2.246
     2060: 2.804
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.760
     2030: 6.869
     2060: 7.221