Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 6.69
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 14.18
     2030: 21.83
     2060: 35.45
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 2.715
     2030: 2.266
     2060: 0.918
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 42.73
     2030: 31.51
     2060: 15.55
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 14.38
     2030: 8.782
     2060: 6.304
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 78.56
     2030: 42.26
     2060: 8.772
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 51.44
     2030: 60.42
     2060: 72.45
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 50.86
     2030: 59.19
     2060: 69.12
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 52.03
     2030: 61.70
     2060: 75.85
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 5.913
     2030: 3.989
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 8.329
     2030: 6.666
     2060: 2.182
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 3.097
     2030: 3.800
     2060: 3.424
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 6.554
     2030: 8.843
     2060: 9.033
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 7.191
     2030: 12.39
     2060: 24.14
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.437
     2030: 0.591
     2060: 2.275
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 4.987
     2030: 7.674
     2060: 14.06
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.363
     2030: 0.421
     2060: 0.516
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 44.66
     2030: 47.70
     2060: 49.48

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 1.347
     2030: 2.659
     2060: 7.890
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 10.34
     2030: 11.02
     2060: 13.12
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 14.17
     2030: 7.419
     2060: 3.096
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 13.25
     2030: 4.604
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 43.34
     2030: 27.34
     2060: 5.441

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 105.7
     2030: 99.10
     2060: 99.78
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 89.27
     2030: 96.05
     2060: 99.78
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 74.16
     2030: 76.78
     2060: 98.55
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 23.29
     2030: 33.16
     2060: 70.26
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 4.498
     2030: 16.60
     2060: 33.64
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 6.988
     2030: 8.744
     2060: 10.82
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 73.08
     2030: 90.35
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 8.059
     2030: 4.465
     2060: 0.105
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 10.39
     2030: 7.605
     2060: 0.400
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.541
     2030: 0.694
     2060: 0.878
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 33.89
     2030: 18.28
     2060: 5.196
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 1,946
     2030: 2,300
     2060: 3,011
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.141
     2030: -0.141
     2060: -0.070
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.881
     2030: -0.510
     2060: 0.173

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 21.18
     2030: 74.30
     2060: 550.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 12.14
     2030: 51.99
     2060: 504.4
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 1.493
     2030: 3.404
     2060: 15.54
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.517
     2030: 0.529
     2060: 0.494
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 40.67
     2030: 50.95
     2060: 58.85
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 2.568
     2030: 11.16
     2060: 34.82

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.020

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.066
     2030: 0.101
     2060: 0.223

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 9.296
     2030: 11.08
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 16.95
     2030: 16.92
     2060: 18.78
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 3.030
     2030: 3.308
     2060: 5.076
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.786
     2030: 2.316
     2060: 3.343
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 7.217
     2030: 7.753
     2060: 8.776