Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 15.10
     2030: 22.19
     2060: 35.62
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 2.775
     2030: 2.309
     2060: 0.968
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 41.19
     2030: 31.87
     2060: 15.69
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 12.96
     2030: 8.457
     2060: 5.913
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 74.44
     2030: 43.49
     2060: 6.776
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 53.13
     2030: 60.93
     2060: 74.03
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 52.51
     2030: 59.91
     2060: 71.55
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 53.74
     2030: 61.99
     2060: 76.57
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 5.546
     2030: 4.044
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 8.157
     2030: 6.602
     2060: 2.161
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 3.154
     2030: 3.925
     2060: 3.270
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 6.919
     2030: 9.048
     2060: 8.602
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 7.794
     2030: 12.59
     2060: 24.59
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.387
     2030: 0.554
     2060: 2.424
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 6.264
     2030: 11.07
     2060: 23.73
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.438
     2030: 0.491
     2060: 0.601
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 47.55
     2030: 49.31
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 1.433
     2030: 2.386
     2060: 6.951
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 14.20
     2030: 15.08
     2060: 17.67
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 13.28
     2030: 7.555
     2060: 3.041
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 14.50
     2030: 4.488
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 42.48
     2030: 31.22
     2060: 11.70

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 115.4
     2030: 106.9
     2060: 100.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 93.33
     2030: 94.79
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 74.99
     2030: 83.46
     2060: 121.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: -7.018
     2030: 23.30
     2060: 65.16
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 9.132
     2030: 19.36
     2060: 37.49
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 7.432
     2030: 8.458
     2060: 9.592
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 64.99
     2030: 89.39
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 9.627
     2030: 8.588
     2060: 3.859
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 11.86
     2030: 12.44
     2060: 7.365
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.567
     2030: 0.724
     2060: 0.909
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 33.26
     2030: 17.47
     2060: 4.146
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 1,978
     2030: 2,242
     2060: 2,911
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.145
     2030: -0.145
     2060: -0.051
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.419
     2030: -0.187
     2060: 0.356

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 49.31
     2030: 129.2
     2060: 827.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 25.23
     2030: 81.31
     2060: 733.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 3.266
     2030: 5.822
     2060: 23.23
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.589
     2030: 0.589
     2060: 0.612
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 34.53
     2030: 36.19
     2060: 33.18
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 7.771
     2030: 13.29
     2060: 32.67

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.077
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.222

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 9.257
     2030: 10.04
     2060: 11.49
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 16.93
     2030: 17.09
     2060: 18.91
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 3.081
     2030: 3.470
     2060: 5.932
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.806
     2030: 2.261
     2060: 3.349
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.333
     2030: 7.670
     2060: 8.496