Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.07
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 14.69
     2030: 22.21
     2060: 35.52
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.774
     2030: 2.314
     2060: 0.980
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 41.59
     2030: 31.88
     2060: 15.74
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 13.39
     2030: 8.423
     2060: 5.837
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 76.68
     2030: 42.98
     2060: 6.415
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 52.44
     2030: 61.00
     2060: 74.35
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 51.86
     2030: 59.98
     2060: 71.81
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 53.03
     2030: 62.05
     2060: 76.95
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 5.617
     2030: 4.048
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 8.207
     2030: 6.602
     2060: 2.161
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.097
     2030: 3.935
     2060: 3.251
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 6.770
     2030: 9.064
     2060: 8.484
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 7.543
     2030: 12.59
     2060: 24.59
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.381
     2030: 0.554
     2060: 2.442
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 6.017
     2030: 11.07
     2060: 23.68
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.435
     2030: 0.490
     2060: 0.603
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 47.34
     2030: 49.31
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 1.387
     2030: 2.326
     2060: 6.913
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 14.16
     2030: 15.06
     2060: 17.85
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 13.67
     2030: 7.331
     2060: 3.049
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 10.90
     2030: 3.720
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 43.32
     2030: 31.62
     2060: 11.78

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 112.2
     2030: 106.9
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 92.79
     2030: 96.20
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 70.86
     2030: 85.95
     2060: 121.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 13.91
     2030: 24.79
     2060: 68.44
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 7.711
     2030: 20.18
     2060: 40.21
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 7.343
     2030: 8.490
     2060: 9.754
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 64.23
     2030: 89.26
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 9.823
     2030: 7.461
     2060: 1.052
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 11.91
     2030: 11.35
     2060: 2.943
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.559
     2030: 0.723
     2060: 0.915
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 34.25
     2030: 17.15
     2060: 3.946
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 1,960
     2030: 2,228
     2060: 2,907
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.143
     2030: -0.149
     2060: -0.036
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.432
     2030: -0.193
     2060: 0.384

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 46.63
     2030: 127.8
     2060: 897.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 23.57
     2030: 80.00
     2060: 794.9
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 3.173
     2030: 5.755
     2060: 25.26
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.583
     2030: 0.576
     2060: 0.529
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 865,371,291,648
     2030: 939,926,290,432
     2060: 819,550,683,136
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 6.582
     2030: 13.77
     2060: 34.77

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.075
     2030: 0.110
     2060: 0.221

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 9.208
     2030: 10.03
     2060: 11.61
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 16.94
     2030: 17.09
     2060: 18.94
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.066
     2030: 3.462
     2060: 6.181
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.782
     2030: 2.254
     2060: 3.400
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.316
     2030: 7.663
     2060: 8.544