Country Profile - Zambia      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Zambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 17.19
     2030: 24.68
     2060: 44.00
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.952
     2030: 2.607
     2060: 1.210
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 38.68
     2030: 32.57
     2060: 17.63
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 8.666
     2030: 6.185
     2060: 5.427
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 49.53
     2030: 33.27
     2060: 15.05
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 61.75
     2030: 68.07
     2060: 75.77
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 59.73
     2030: 65.73
     2060: 72.91
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 63.77
     2030: 70.45
     2060: 78.69
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 5.160
     2030: 4.154
     2060: 2.209
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 7.116
     2030: 4.985
     2060: 1.120
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 3.005
     2030: 3.731
     2060: 3.916
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 7.835
     2030: 10.06
     2060: 11.99
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 8.855
     2030: 13.90
     2060: 28.75
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.505
     2030: 0.724
     2060: 3.258
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 7.193
     2030: 11.90
     2060: 28.10
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.421
     2030: 0.471
     2060: 0.552
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 47.01
     2030: 49.05
     2060: 49.93

Health Forecast for Zambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 1.517
     2030: 2.455
     2060: 6.985
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 15.96
     2030: 16.42
     2060: 17.91
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 14.39
     2030: 8.537
     2060: 3.112
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 13.58
     2030: 5.106
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 43.55
     2030: 22.89
     2060: 4.915

Education Forecast for Zambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 104.8
     2030: 107.1
     2060: 102.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 78.52
     2030: 85.58
     2060: 97.94
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 64.80
     2030: 73.64
     2060: 88.28
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 7.846
     2030: 32.15
     2060: 68.37
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 3.890
     2030: 13.05
     2060: 31.62
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 7.259
     2030: 8.355
     2060: 9.998
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 62.92
     2030: 83.15
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Zambia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 12.40
     2030: 16.23
     2060: 17.52
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 14.39
     2030: 19.51
     2060: 24.69
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.614
     2030: 0.732
     2060: 0.879
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 29.58
     2030: 15.07
     2060: 5.023
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 1,982
     2030: 2,244
     2060: 2,913
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.144
     2030: -0.188
     2060: -0.216
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.317
     2030: -0.214
     2060: 0.045

Economy Forecast for Zambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 62.87
     2030: 118.8
     2060: 499.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 30.83
     2030: 63.23
     2060: 363.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 3.656
     2030: 4.813
     2060: 11.35
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.556
     2030: 0.549
     2060: 0.539
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 34.72
     2030: 37.82
     2060: 19.65
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 5.013
     2030: 7.246
     2060: 20.79

Energy Forecast for Zambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Zambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Zambia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.089
     2030: 0.119
     2060: 0.236

Domestic Government Forecast for Zambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.106
     2030: 9.763
     2060: 11.09
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 17.02
     2030: 17.28
     2060: 18.77
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.215
     2030: 3.426
     2060: 4.485
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.050
     2030: 2.285
     2060: 2.982
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.975
     2030: 7.130
     2060: 7.617