Country Profile - South Africa      IFs Version 7.00
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for South Africa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for South Africa -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 52.53
     2030: 54.30
     2060: 58.35
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.379
     2030: 0.168
     2060: 0.184
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 20.33
     2030: 16.19
     2060: 12.98
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 16.78
     2030: 14.75
     2060: 11.35
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 53.95
     2030: 43.99
     2060: 18.03
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 51.26
     2030: 57.09
     2060: 71.32
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 50.37
     2030: 52.90
     2060: 65.91
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 52.10
     2030: 61.10
     2060: 76.28
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.343
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 10.92
     2030: 8.787
     2060: 2.877
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 6.350
     2030: 5.115
     2060: 4.498
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 15.46
     2030: 13.28
     2060: 11.45
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 34.08
     2030: 36.65
     2060: 38.44
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 2.990
     2030: 4.369
     2060: 8.456
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 33.12
     2030: 41.66
     2060: 50.32
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.357
     2030: 0.385
     2060: 0.385
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 43.91
     2030: 46.91
     2060: 49.14

Health Forecast for South Africa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 30.49
     2030: 32.81
     2060: 38.40
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 17.45
     2030: 18.81
     2060: 20.69
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 8.147
     2030: 6.195
     2060: 3.523
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 8.779
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.833
     2030: 3.742
     2060: 1.352

Education Forecast for South Africa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 104.0
     2030: 110.0
     2060: 100.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 86.54
     2030: 99.50
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 96.04
     2030: 114.5
     2060: 109.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 88.50
     2030: 94.64
     2060: 107.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 18.43
     2030: 31.94
     2060: 46.98
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 8.314
     2030: 8.980
     2060: 11.45
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 93.38
     2030: 96.36
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for South Africa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 6.413
     2030: 3.636
     2060: 1.557
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 15.25
     2030: 10.29
     2060: 5.471
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.714
     2030: 0.777
     2060: 0.910
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 29.88
     2030: 18.53
     2060: 5.590
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,044
     2030: 3,177
     2060: 3,445
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.088
     2030: 0.097
     2060: 0.128
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.327
     2030: -0.119
     2060: 0.343

Economy Forecast for South Africa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 534.9
     2030: 790.6
     2060: 1,826
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 326.2
     2030: 569.1
     2060: 1,684
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 10.18
     2030: 14.56
     2060: 31.29
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.627
     2030: 0.621
     2060: 0.625
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 40.70
     2030: 42.83
     2060: 43.97
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 22.67
     2030: 29.47
     2060: 52.41

Energy Forecast for South Africa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for South Africa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.130
     2030: 0.145
     2060: 0.065

International Politics Forecast for South Africa
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.537
     2030: 0.501
     2060: 0.540

Domestic Government Forecast for South Africa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 12.10
     2030: 12.93
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.33
     2030: 19.77
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 4.625
     2030: 5.288
     2060: 7.611
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.949
     2030: 3.217
     2060: 3.728
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.760
     2030: 6.969
     2060: 7.373