Country Profile - South Africa      IFs Version 7.07
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     Forecast Categories for South Africa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for South Africa -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 52.50
     2030: 55.26
     2060: 61.02
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.298
     2030: 0.328
     2060: 0.297
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 20.79
     2030: 17.37
     2060: 13.28
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 16.74
     2030: 14.44
     2060: 10.53
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 52.22
     2030: 40.78
     2060: 15.18
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 51.45
     2030: 57.29
     2060: 72.23
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 49.92
     2030: 53.96
     2060: 68.18
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 52.90
     2030: 60.50
     2060: 76.05
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.398
     2030: 2.090
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 10.92
     2030: 8.787
     2060: 2.877
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 6.409
     2030: 5.646
     2060: 4.865
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 15.50
     2030: 14.34
     2060: 12.32
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 34.02
     2030: 36.59
     2060: 40.12
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 2.984
     2030: 4.325
     2060: 8.577
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 33.80
     2030: 43.23
     2060: 53.53
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.360
     2030: 0.380
     2060: 0.384
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 45.40
     2030: 48.06
     2060: 49.62

Health Forecast for South Africa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 30.45
     2030: 31.59
     2060: 37.13
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 15.57
     2030: 17.15
     2060: 17.76
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 8.160
     2030: 6.547
     2060: 3.681
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 7.101
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.871
     2030: 4.417
     2060: 1.797

Education Forecast for South Africa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 104.0
     2030: 109.8
     2060: 100.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 86.54
     2030: 99.59
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 95.94
     2030: 114.9
     2060: 110.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 87.78
     2030: 94.69
     2060: 105.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 18.81
     2030: 32.84
     2060: 65.45
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 8.570
     2030: 9.238
     2060: 12.26
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 93.40
     2030: 96.42
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for South Africa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 6.370
     2030: 3.725
     2060: 0.644
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 15.15
     2030: 10.66
     2060: 2.861
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.725
     2030: 0.787
     2060: 0.937
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 28.81
     2030: 19.25
     2060: 5.867
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,040
     2030: 3,112
     2060: 3,396
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.087
     2030: 0.088
     2060: 0.129
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.330
     2030: -0.134
     2060: 0.361

Economy Forecast for South Africa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 639.1
     2030: 941.2
     2060: 2,800
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 431.3
     2030: 738.4
     2060: 2,644
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 12.17
     2030: 17.03
     2060: 45.89
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.628
     2030: 0.614
     2060: 0.613
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 487,598,424,064
     2030: 385,782,808,576
     2060: 317,827,383,296
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 23.00
     2030: 29.06
     2060: 75.66

Energy Forecast for South Africa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for South Africa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.131
     2030: 0.144
     2060: 0.072

International Politics Forecast for South Africa
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.517
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.544

Domestic Government Forecast for South Africa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 12.09
     2030: 12.91
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.33
     2030: 19.77
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 4.636
     2030: 5.391
     2060: 9.273
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.948
     2030: 3.212
     2060: 3.912
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.753
     2030: 6.938
     2060: 7.456