Key Development Forecasts for South Africa

Population Forecast for South Africa -

Population - Million People -

     2013: 51.04
     2030: 53.70
     2060: 58.55
Population growth rate - Annual Percent -

     2013: 0.489
     2030: 0.205
     2060: 0.254
Crude birthrate - per Thousand -

     2013: 20.47
     2030: 15.92
     2060: 12.82
Crude death rate - per Thousand -

     2013: 15.78
     2030: 14.13
     2060: 10.53
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants -

     2013: 54.01
     2030: 46.35
     2060: 16.78
Life expectancy - Total - Years -

     2013: 51.53
     2030: 58.20
     2060: 73.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years -

     2013: 50.65
     2030: 53.13
     2060: 66.58
Life expectancy - Female - Years -

     2013: 52.40
     2030: 63.11
     2060: 80.62
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman -

     2013: 2.389
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent -

     2013: 11.27
     2030: 9.019
     2060: 2.952
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People -

     2013: 5.965
     2030: 5.097
     2060: 4.472
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People -

     2013: 15.01
     2030: 13.19
     2060: 11.36
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People -

     2013: 33.44
     2030: 36.02
     2060: 38.24
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People -

     2013: 2.592
     2030: 4.495
     2060: 8.951
Population in urban areas - Million People -

     2013: 32.66
     2030: 42.07
     2060: 51.14
Labor participation rate - Ratio -

     2013: 0.377
     2030: 0.400
     2060: 0.397
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force -

     2013: 44.56
     2030: 47.63
     2060: 49.45

Health Forecast for South Africa -

Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older -

     2013: 30.12
     2030: 32.43
     2060: 38.58
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults -

     2013: 17.66
     2030: 18.80
     2060: 20.62
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children -

     2013: 8.267
     2030: 6.279
     2060: 3.684
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population -

     2013: 8.264
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population -

     2013: 4.283
     2030: 1.240
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for South Africa -

Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate -

     2013: 102.9
     2030: 105.5
     2060: 100.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled -

     2013: 85.22
     2030: 98.56
     2060: 99.90
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent -

     2013: 93.91
     2030: 103.9
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent -

     2013: 92.20
     2030: 109.3
     2060: 105.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent -

     2013: 15.42
     2030: 23.14
     2060: 41.89
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed -

     2013: 8.379
     2030: 9.412
     2060: 11.87
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older -

     2013: 89.42
     2030: 93.45
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for South Africa

Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People -

     2013: 7.334
     2030: 4.796
     2060: 0.753
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People -

     2013: 16.12
     2030: 12.03
     2060: 2.842
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index -

     2013: 0.702
     2030: 0.772
     2060: 0.926
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index -

     2013: 34.54
     2030: 19.36
     2060: 4.111
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day -

     2013: 3,040
     2030: 3,162
     2060: 3,443
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index -

     2013: 0.088
     2030: 0.091
     2060: 0.122
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index -

     2013: -0.336
     2030: -0.131
     2060: 0.326

Economy Forecast for South Africa

Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars -

     2013: 516.1
     2030: 772.1
     2060: 1,874
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars -

     2013: 316.5
     2030: 556.8
     2060: 1,731
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars -

     2013: 10.11
     2030: 14.38
     2060: 32.01
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index -

     2013: 0.573
     2030: 0.572
     2060: 0.584
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index -

     2013: 37.80
     2030: 35.71
     2060: 39.80
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index -

     2013: 23.05
     2030: 31.73
     2060: 63.50

Energy Forecast for South Africa

Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent -

     2013: 0.008
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for South Africa

Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons -

     2013: 0.138
     2030: 0.162
     2060: 0.214

International Politics Forecast for South Africa

Power index (percent of global total) - Index -

     2013: 0.546
     2030: 0.511
     2060: 0.592

Domestic Government Forecast for South Africa

Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index -

     2013: 12.10
     2030: 12.88
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index -

     2013: 19.17
     2030: 19.79
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index -

     2013: 4.584
     2030: 5.272
     2060: 7.715
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index -

     2013: 2.922
     2030: 3.180
     2060: 3.681
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index -

     2013: 7.091
     2030: 7.312
     2060: 7.758