Country Profile - South Africa      IFs Version 7.30
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for South Africa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for South Africa -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 55.26
     2030: 59.90
     2060: 64.92
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.720
     2030: 0.467
     2060: 0.013
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 19.72
     2030: 15.80
     2060: 12.58
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 12.23
     2030: 11.48
     2060: 12.66
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 37.79
     2030: 31.75
     2060: 20.19
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 58.02
     2030: 62.13
     2060: 69.06
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 55.99
     2030: 59.53
     2060: 65.08
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 59.99
     2030: 64.70
     2060: 72.94
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.276
     2030: 1.932
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 12.75
     2030: 14.15
     2060: 14.91
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 5.374
     2030: 4.710
     2060: 4.052
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 16.05
     2030: 14.65
     2060: 12.45
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 36.36
     2030: 40.89
     2060: 42.50
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 2.847
     2030: 4.365
     2060: 9.966
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 37.27
     2030: 48.11
     2060: 59.72
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.372
     2030: 0.398
     2060: 0.391
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 44.43
     2030: 47.09
     2060: 49.35

Health Forecast for South Africa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 31.66
     2030: 33.98
     2060: 39.37
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 19.14
     2030: 19.81
     2060: 21.98
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.041
     2030: 2.061
     2060: 1.921
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.139
     2030: 1.227
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.437
     2030: 1.318
     2060: 1.052

Education Forecast for South Africa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 102.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 92.23
     2030: 98.13
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 97.59
     2030: 96.64
     2060: 96.30
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 87.21
     2030: 84.52
     2060: 89.90
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 19.33
     2030: 24.41
     2060: 49.45
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 9.055
     2030: 10.13
     2060: 12.26
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 94.27
     2030: 96.92
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for South Africa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 5.253
     2030: 5.831
     2060: 5.773
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 14.57
     2030: 15.53
     2060: 14.63
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.765
     2030: 0.806
     2060: 0.879
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 18.33
     2030: 14.06
     2060: 8.440
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,047
     2030: 3,182
     2060: 3,446
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.083
     2030: 0.073
     2060: 0.025
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.354
     2030: -0.242
     2060: 0.051

Economy Forecast for South Africa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 677.1
     2030: 870.2
     2060: 1,444
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 452.3
     2030: 621.7
     2060: 1,256
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 12.25
     2030: 14.53
     2060: 22.25
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.635
     2030: 0.655
     2060: 0.700
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 31.30
     2030: 13.06
     2060: 15.80
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 17.00
     2030: 20.13
     2060: 47.16

Energy Forecast for South Africa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for South Africa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.131
     2030: 0.131
     2060: 0.091

International Politics Forecast for South Africa
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.509
     2030: 0.481
     2060: 0.507

Domestic Government Forecast for South Africa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 12.06
     2030: 12.80
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.14
     2030: 19.84
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 4.127
     2030: 4.669
     2060: 6.055
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.836
     2030: 3.019
     2060: 3.419
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.737
     2030: 6.844
     2060: 7.061