Key Development Forecasts for South Africa

Population Forecast for South Africa -

Population - Million People -

     2014: 52.53
     2030: 54.30
     2060: 58.35
Population growth rate - Annual Percent -

     2014: 0.379
     2030: 0.168
     2060: 0.184
Crude birthrate - per Thousand -

     2014: 20.33
     2030: 16.19
     2060: 12.98
Crude death rate - per Thousand -

     2014: 16.78
     2030: 14.75
     2060: 11.35
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants -

     2014: 53.95
     2030: 43.99
     2060: 18.03
Life expectancy - Total - Years -

     2014: 51.26
     2030: 57.09
     2060: 71.32
Life expectancy - Male - Years -

     2014: 50.37
     2030: 52.90
     2060: 65.91
Life expectancy - Female - Years -

     2014: 52.10
     2030: 61.10
     2060: 76.28
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman -

     2014: 2.343
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent -

     2014: 10.92
     2030: 8.787
     2060: 2.877
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People -

     2014: 6.350
     2030: 5.115
     2060: 4.498
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People -

     2014: 15.46
     2030: 13.28
     2060: 11.45
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People -

     2014: 34.08
     2030: 36.65
     2060: 38.44
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People -

     2014: 2.990
     2030: 4.369
     2060: 8.456
Population in urban areas - Million People -

     2014: 33.12
     2030: 41.66
     2060: 50.32
Labor participation rate - Ratio -

     2014: 0.357
     2030: 0.385
     2060: 0.385
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force -

     2014: 43.91
     2030: 46.91
     2060: 49.14

Health Forecast for South Africa -

Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older -

     2014: 30.49
     2030: 32.81
     2060: 38.40
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults -

     2014: 17.45
     2030: 18.81
     2060: 20.69
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children -

     2014: 8.147
     2030: 6.195
     2060: 3.523
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population -

     2014: 8.779
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population -

     2014: 4.833
     2030: 3.742
     2060: 1.352

Education Forecast for South Africa -

Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate -

     2014: 104.0
     2030: 110.0
     2060: 100.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled -

     2014: 86.54
     2030: 99.50
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent -

     2014: 96.04
     2030: 114.5
     2060: 109.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent -

     2014: 88.50
     2030: 94.64
     2060: 107.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent -

     2014: 18.43
     2030: 31.94
     2060: 46.98
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed -

     2014: 8.314
     2030: 8.980
     2060: 11.45
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older -

     2014: 93.38
     2030: 96.36
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for South Africa

Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People -

     2014: 6.413
     2030: 3.636
     2060: 1.557
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People -

     2014: 15.25
     2030: 10.29
     2060: 5.471
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index -

     2014: 0.714
     2030: 0.777
     2060: 0.910
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index -

     2014: 29.88
     2030: 18.53
     2060: 5.590
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day -

     2014: 3,044
     2030: 3,177
     2060: 3,445
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index -

     2014: 0.088
     2030: 0.097
     2060: 0.128
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index -

     2014: -0.327
     2030: -0.119
     2060: 0.343

Economy Forecast for South Africa

Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars -

     2014: 534.9
     2030: 790.6
     2060: 1,826
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars -

     2014: 326.2
     2030: 569.1
     2060: 1,684
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars -

     2014: 10.18
     2030: 14.56
     2060: 31.29
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index -

     2014: 0.627
     2030: 0.621
     2060: 0.625
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index -

     2014: 40.70
     2030: 42.83
     2060: 43.97
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index -

     2014: 22.67
     2030: 29.47
     2060: 52.41

Energy Forecast for South Africa

Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent -

     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for South Africa

Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons -

     2014: 0.130
     2030: 0.145
     2060: 0.065

International Politics Forecast for South Africa

Power index (percent of global total) - Index -

     2014: 0.537
     2030: 0.501
     2060: 0.540

Domestic Government Forecast for South Africa

Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index -

     2014: 12.10
     2030: 12.93
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index -

     2014: 19.33
     2030: 19.77
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index -

     2014: 4.625
     2030: 5.288
     2060: 7.611
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index -

     2014: 2.949
     2030: 3.217
     2060: 3.728
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index -

     2014: 6.760
     2030: 6.969
     2060: 7.373