Country Profile - South Africa      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for South Africa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for South Africa -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 52.66
     2030: 55.26
     2060: 60.86
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 0.293
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.284
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 20.65
     2030: 17.41
     2060: 13.30
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 16.90
     2030: 14.47
     2060: 10.69
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 52.01
     2030: 41.03
     2060: 16.07
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 51.40
     2030: 57.23
     2060: 71.86
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 49.75
     2030: 53.97
     2060: 67.85
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 52.97
     2030: 60.37
     2060: 75.65
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.393
     2030: 2.095
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 10.86
     2030: 8.787
     2060: 2.877
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 6.313
     2030: 5.652
     2060: 4.854
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 15.52
     2030: 14.35
     2060: 12.28
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 34.08
     2030: 36.59
     2060: 40.07
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 3.062
     2030: 4.322
     2060: 8.501
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 34.40
     2030: 43.23
     2060: 53.28
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.361
     2030: 0.380
     2060: 0.385
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 45.64
     2030: 48.06
     2060: 49.62

Health Forecast for South Africa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 30.56
     2030: 31.71
     2060: 36.93
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 15.53
     2030: 17.13
     2060: 18.05
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 8.059
     2030: 6.613
     2060: 3.702
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 6.796
     2030: 0.607
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.813
     2030: 4.346
     2060: 1.847

Education Forecast for South Africa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 104.4
     2030: 109.8
     2060: 100.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 87.18
     2030: 99.41
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 96.11
     2030: 113.7
     2060: 110.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 87.07
     2030: 94.17
     2060: 105.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 19.82
     2030: 32.64
     2060: 62.25
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 8.595
     2030: 9.233
     2060: 12.16
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 93.51
     2030: 96.41
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for South Africa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 5.452
     2030: 4.332
     2060: 2.234
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 14.03
     2030: 11.82
     2060: 6.812
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.726
     2030: 0.786
     2060: 0.929
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 28.71
     2030: 19.41
     2060: 6.017
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,048
     2030: 3,119
     2060: 3,388
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.087
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.116
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.320
     2030: -0.137
     2060: 0.338

Economy Forecast for South Africa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 652.4
     2030: 930.6
     2060: 2,538
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 442.9
     2030: 726.1
     2060: 2,393
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 12.39
     2030: 16.84
     2060: 41.70
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.649
     2030: 0.660
     2060: 0.700
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 15.52
     2030: 7.852
     2060: 1.639
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 23.14
     2030: 28.71
     2060: 73.06

Energy Forecast for South Africa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for South Africa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.132
     2030: 0.144
     2060: 0.072

International Politics Forecast for South Africa
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.514
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.543

Domestic Government Forecast for South Africa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 12.13
     2030: 12.90
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 19.44
     2030: 19.77
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 4.682
     2030: 5.367
     2060: 8.757
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.965
     2030: 3.205
     2060: 3.857
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.765
     2030: 6.933
     2060: 7.411