Country Profile - South Africa      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for South Africa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for South Africa -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 54.71
     2030: 58.78
     2060: 63.20
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.658
     2030: 0.363
     2060: 0.061
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 19.86
     2030: 15.77
     2060: 12.72
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 12.75
     2030: 12.49
     2060: 12.32
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 38.26
     2030: 32.20
     2060: 17.37
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 57.17
     2030: 60.59
     2060: 69.83
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 55.04
     2030: 57.56
     2060: 65.64
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 59.25
     2030: 63.56
     2060: 73.88
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.294
     2030: 1.926
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 11.94
     2030: 10.30
     2060: 3.818
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 5.338
     2030: 4.616
     2060: 3.997
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 15.91
     2030: 14.38
     2060: 12.26
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 35.98
     2030: 40.00
     2060: 41.46
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 2.818
     2030: 4.398
     2060: 9.481
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 36.37
     2030: 47.46
     2060: 58.14
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.375
     2030: 0.401
     2060: 0.396
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 44.43
     2030: 47.23
     2060: 49.38

Health Forecast for South Africa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 30.11
     2030: 32.34
     2060: 36.10
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 19.14
     2030: 19.95
     2060: 22.16
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 8.428
     2030: 6.823
     2060: 3.966
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 8.369
     2030: 4.912
     2060: 1.585
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.537
     2030: 3.376
     2060: 2.045

Education Forecast for South Africa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 100.1
     2030: 103.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 83.50
     2030: 95.89
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 95.12
     2030: 98.21
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 92.92
     2030: 95.85
     2060: 106.9
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 19.46
     2030: 22.87
     2060: 48.76
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.000
     2030: 10.18
     2060: 12.64
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 94.24
     2030: 97.06
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for South Africa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 5.072
     2030: 5.686
     2060: 4.884
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 14.18
     2030: 14.99
     2060: 12.85
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.761
     2030: 0.800
     2060: 0.888
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 19.47
     2030: 15.59
     2060: 7.160
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,029
     2030: 3,163
     2060: 3,353
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.084
     2030: 0.073
     2060: 0.031
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.353
     2030: -0.229
     2060: 0.083

Economy Forecast for South Africa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 677.0
     2030: 874.7
     2060: 1,528
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 449.9
     2030: 626.2
     2060: 1,359
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 12.37
     2030: 14.88
     2060: 24.19
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.636
     2030: 0.663
     2060: 0.700
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 27.85
     2030: 22.76
     2060: 19.54
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 16.64
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 49.72

Energy Forecast for South Africa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for South Africa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.128
     2030: 0.137
     2060: 0.077

International Politics Forecast for South Africa
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.519
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.479

Domestic Government Forecast for South Africa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 12.07
     2030: 12.89
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.15
     2030: 19.83
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 4.137
     2030: 4.727
     2060: 6.306
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.840
     2030: 3.028
     2060: 3.454
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.740
     2030: 6.854
     2060: 7.095