Country Profile - Samoa      IFs Version 7.37
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Samoa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Samoa -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 0.200
     2030: 0.217
     2060: 0.248
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: 0.665
     2030: 0.646
     2060: 0.045
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 23.89
     2030: 22.97
     2060: 13.95
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 5.033
     2030: 5.493
     2060: 6.616
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2019: 15.62
     2030: 12.41
     2060: 6.747
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 75.40
     2030: 76.82
     2060: 80.60
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 72.30
     2030: 73.52
     2060: 77.03
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 78.72
     2030: 80.38
     2060: 84.45
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 3.813
     2030: 3.208
     2060: 1.973
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 0.023
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.018
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 0.072
     2030: 0.069
     2060: 0.056
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 0.117
     2030: 0.131
     2060: 0.166
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 0.012
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.027
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 0.037
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.043
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.191
     2030: 0.153
     2060: 0.131
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 37.44
     2030: 40.15
     2060: 44.93

Health Forecast for Samoa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 66.62
     2030: 69.87
     2060: 77.58
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 31.89
     2030: 31.46
     2060: 31.37
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 1.963
     2030: 1.922
     2060: 2.107
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 1.327
     2030: 0.653
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 2.687
     2030: 2.304
     2060: 1.615

Education Forecast for Samoa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 105.0
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 96.56
     2030: 99.08
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 102.3
     2030: 99.35
     2060: 99.40
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 78.43
     2030: 78.57
     2060: 85.04
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 8.368
     2030: 12.81
     2060: 27.56
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 6.774
     2030: 8.088
     2060: 10.27
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Samoa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 0.022
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 0.044
     2030: 0.031
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.841
     2030: 0.859
     2060: 0.921
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 2.393
     2030: 1.876
     2060: 1.211
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 3,008
     2030: 3,092
     2060: 3,282
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: 0.018
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.267
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.030
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.400

Economy Forecast for Samoa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 1.195
     2030: 1.553
     2060: 3.750
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 0.845
     2030: 1.126
     2060: 3.316
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 5.973
     2030: 7.168
     2060: 15.10
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.407
     2030: 0.380
     2060: 0.251
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 44.08
     2030: 45.06
     2060: 48.00
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 10.20
     2030: 11.62
     2060: 19.92

Energy Forecast for Samoa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Samoa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Samoa
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002

Domestic Government Forecast for Samoa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 12.37
     2030: 13.39
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 13.74
     2030: 13.91
     2060: 15.88
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 3.899
     2030: 4.023
     2060: 5.067
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 2.952
     2030: 3.042
     2060: 3.468
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 6.459
     2030: 6.558
     2060: 6.953