Country Profile - Samoa      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Samoa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Samoa -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 0.195
     2030: 0.217
     2060: 0.270
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 0.712
     2030: 0.769
     2060: 0.795
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 25.94
     2030: 23.97
     2060: 15.64
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 5.577
     2030: 5.884
     2060: 6.502
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 20.52
     2030: 16.78
     2060: 10.19
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 72.91
     2030: 74.80
     2060: 78.55
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 69.83
     2030: 71.51
     2060: 74.98
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 76.20
     2030: 78.38
     2060: 82.37
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 4.116
     2030: 3.381
     2060: 2.120
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.031
     2030: 0.030
     2060: 0.026
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 0.072
     2030: 0.072
     2060: 0.065
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.112
     2030: 0.130
     2060: 0.179
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.010
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.026
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 0.038
     2030: 0.040
     2060: 0.049
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.273
     2030: 0.293
     2060: 0.343
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 28.82
     2030: 32.58
     2060: 37.97

Health Forecast for Samoa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 61.90
     2030: 61.92
     2060: 64.54
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 40.88
     2030: 39.96
     2060: 38.59
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 1.811
     2030: 1.972
     2060: 2.410
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 2.730
     2030: 4.399
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 5.153
     2030: 5.474
     2060: 5.324

Education Forecast for Samoa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 106.3
     2030: 103.8
     2060: 101.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 93.09
     2030: 95.78
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 104.1
     2030: 98.75
     2060: 108.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 71.71
     2030: 64.51
     2060: 89.43
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 8.332
     2030: 13.81
     2060: 29.02
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 6.300
     2030: 7.300
     2060: 9.155
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Samoa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.033
     2030: 0.031
     2060: 0.025
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.057
     2030: 0.054
     2060: 0.044
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.817
     2030: 0.840
     2060: 0.899
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 3.177
     2030: 2.481
     2060: 1.608
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,995
     2030: 2,998
     2060: 3,069
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.016
     2030: 0.058
     2060: 0.214
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.117
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.304

Economy Forecast for Samoa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 0.967
     2030: 1.349
     2060: 3.333
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 0.663
     2030: 0.934
     2060: 2.722
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 4.968
     2030: 6.206
     2060: 12.33
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.376
     2030: 0.385
     2060: 0.456
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 45.73
     2030: 45.83
     2060: 45.61
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 10.03
     2030: 13.95
     2060: 26.67

Energy Forecast for Samoa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Samoa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Samoa
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

Domestic Government Forecast for Samoa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 12.26
     2030: 13.16
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 13.41
     2030: 13.55
     2060: 15.23
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 4.053
     2030: 4.115
     2060: 4.825
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.474
     2030: 2.631
     2060: 3.116
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.356
     2030: 6.470
     2060: 6.823