Country Profile - Samoa      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Samoa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Samoa -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 0.195
     2030: 0.214
     2060: 0.258
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.604
     2030: 0.700
     2060: 0.683
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 24.46
     2030: 23.09
     2060: 14.60
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.238
     2030: 5.719
     2060: 6.574
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 18.22
     2030: 14.52
     2060: 8.326
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 74.05
     2030: 75.97
     2060: 79.72
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 70.94
     2030: 72.67
     2060: 76.24
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 77.36
     2030: 79.54
     2060: 83.46
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.922
     2030: 3.222
     2060: 1.999
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.024
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.019
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.072
     2030: 0.068
     2060: 0.059
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.113
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.173
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.026
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 0.037
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.046
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.264
     2030: 0.286
     2060: 0.336
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 28.25
     2030: 31.96
     2060: 37.68

Health Forecast for Samoa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 62.53
     2030: 67.86
     2060: 78.11
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 31.95
     2030: 31.41
     2060: 30.96
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.736
     2030: 1.752
     2060: 1.945
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.620
     2030: 0.634
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.522
     2030: 3.297
     2060: 1.956

Education Forecast for Samoa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 105.4
     2030: 97.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 95.54
     2030: 97.73
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 101.8
     2030: 93.39
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 79.98
     2030: 80.23
     2060: 101.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 7.675
     2030: 14.17
     2060: 34.07
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 6.379
     2030: 7.526
     2060: 9.393
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.80
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Samoa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.031
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.029
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.055
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.047
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.829
     2030: 0.854
     2060: 0.920
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 2.746
     2030: 2.129
     2060: 1.303
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,909
     2030: 3,056
     2060: 3,317
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.083
     2060: 0.277
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.061
     2030: 0.070
     2060: 0.420

Economy Forecast for Samoa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.093
     2030: 1.515
     2060: 4.135
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 0.764
     2030: 1.093
     2060: 3.697
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 5.606
     2030: 7.091
     2060: 16.04
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.438
     2030: 0.447
     2060: 0.574
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 44.66
     2030: 45.90
     2060: 49.13
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 9.803
     2030: 16.04
     2060: 34.68

Energy Forecast for Samoa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Samoa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Samoa
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002

Domestic Government Forecast for Samoa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 12.16
     2030: 13.16
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 13.83
     2030: 13.88
     2060: 15.76
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.892
     2030: 4.011
     2060: 5.166
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.927
     2030: 3.035
     2060: 3.499
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.435
     2030: 6.551
     2060: 6.978