Country Profile - Samoa      IFs Version 7.31
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Samoa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Samoa -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 0.197
     2030: 0.215
     2060: 0.259
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.624
     2030: 0.707
     2060: 0.702
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 24.27
     2030: 22.96
     2060: 14.77
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 4.989
     2030: 5.554
     2060: 6.543
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 16.36
     2030: 12.81
     2060: 7.753
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 75.07
     2030: 76.68
     2060: 80.10
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 72.01
     2030: 73.40
     2060: 76.47
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.34
     2030: 80.23
     2060: 83.99
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 3.925
     2030: 3.218
     2060: 2.032
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.024
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.019
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.072
     2030: 0.068
     2060: 0.059
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.114
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.173
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.011
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.027
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 0.037
     2030: 0.038
     2060: 0.045
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.261
     2030: 0.281
     2060: 0.331
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 27.93
     2030: 31.39
     2060: 37.20

Health Forecast for Samoa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 65.81
     2030: 71.50
     2060: 83.31
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 31.96
     2030: 31.49
     2060: 30.73
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.011
     2030: 1.923
     2060: 1.946
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.624
     2030: 0.131
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.434
     2030: 1.273
     2060: 1.080

Education Forecast for Samoa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 106.0
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 95.79
     2030: 99.10
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 102.3
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 99.75
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 78.02
     2030: 78.07
     2060: 82.41
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 7.836
     2030: 12.37
     2060: 24.79
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 6.506
     2030: 8.065
     2060: 10.16
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.83
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Samoa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.004
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.004
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.015
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.013
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.838
     2030: 0.858
     2060: 0.912
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 2.449
     2030: 1.929
     2060: 1.320
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,986
     2030: 3,133
     2060: 3,416
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.006
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.254
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.048
     2030: 0.079
     2060: 0.375

Economy Forecast for Samoa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.160
     2030: 1.541
     2060: 3.506
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 0.819
     2030: 1.115
     2060: 2.977
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 5.896
     2030: 7.179
     2060: 13.53
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.432
     2030: 0.432
     2060: 0.534
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 44.00
     2030: 45.56
     2060: 48.02
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 9.717
     2030: 10.99
     2060: 17.17

Energy Forecast for Samoa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Samoa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Samoa
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

Domestic Government Forecast for Samoa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 12.17
     2030: 13.36
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 13.86
     2030: 13.91
     2060: 15.75
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.921
     2030: 4.021
     2060: 4.867
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.953
     2030: 3.042
     2060: 3.398
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.461
     2030: 6.560
     2060: 6.899