Country Profile - Samoa      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Samoa
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Samoa -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 0.195
     2030: 0.214
     2060: 0.262
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.604
     2030: 0.733
     2060: 0.751
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 24.46
     2030: 23.49
     2060: 15.28
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.241
     2030: 5.775
     2060: 6.560
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 18.35
     2030: 15.04
     2060: 9.091
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 74.04
     2030: 75.76
     2060: 79.35
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 70.94
     2030: 72.46
     2060: 75.85
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 77.35
     2030: 79.34
     2060: 83.09
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.922
     2030: 3.281
     2060: 2.091
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.024
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.020
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.072
     2030: 0.068
     2060: 0.061
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.113
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.174
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.026
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 0.037
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.047
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.264
     2030: 0.286
     2060: 0.334
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 28.25
     2030: 31.96
     2060: 37.68

Health Forecast for Samoa -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 62.53
     2030: 67.69
     2060: 76.55
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 31.95
     2030: 31.39
     2060: 30.75
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.735
     2030: 1.757
     2060: 1.996
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.818
     2030: 2.791
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.522
     2030: 3.344
     2060: 2.130

Education Forecast for Samoa -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 104.2
     2030: 99.20
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 94.62
     2030: 93.25
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 100.7
     2030: 91.45
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 79.16
     2030: 72.31
     2060: 102.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 7.611
     2030: 12.78
     2060: 33.03
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 6.386
     2030: 7.367
     2060: 8.965
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.80
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Samoa
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.031
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.032
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.055
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.051
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.829
     2030: 0.851
     2060: 0.911
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 2.756
     2030: 2.192
     2060: 1.394
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,909
     2030: 3,051
     2060: 3,278
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.080
     2060: 0.254
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.061
     2030: 0.064
     2060: 0.377

Economy Forecast for Samoa
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.093
     2030: 1.478
     2060: 3.698
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 0.764
     2030: 1.053
     2060: 3.197
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 5.606
     2030: 6.909
     2060: 14.12
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.437
     2030: 0.444
     2060: 0.566
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 44.66
     2030: 45.92
     2060: 48.37
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 9.516
     2030: 14.02
     2060: 33.01

Energy Forecast for Samoa
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Samoa
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Samoa
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002

Domestic Government Forecast for Samoa
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 12.16
     2030: 12.93
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 13.83
     2030: 13.87
     2060: 15.60
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.892
     2030: 3.989
     2060: 4.922
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.927
     2030: 3.018
     2060: 3.416
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.435
     2030: 6.538
     2060: 6.914