Country Profile - Vietnam      IFs Version 7.53
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Vietnam
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Vietnam -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 96.94
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 108.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 0.801
     2030: 0.455
     2060: -0.130
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 15.20
     2030: 12.45
     2060: 10.81
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 6.857
     2030: 7.531
     2060: 11.82
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 9.974
     2030: 7.273
     2060: 3.928
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 75.02
     2030: 76.37
     2060: 80.30
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 71.37
     2030: 72.66
     2060: 76.74
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 78.62
     2030: 80.02
     2060: 83.74
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 1.906
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.260
     2030: 0.234
     2060: 0.092
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 7.618
     2030: 6.539
     2060: 5.935
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 22.42
     2030: 21.13
     2060: 18.49
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 67.11
     2030: 70.23
     2060: 64.92
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 7.411
     2030: 11.91
     2060: 25.33
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 36.46
     2030: 46.70
     2060: 70.91
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.609
     2030: 0.590
     2060: 0.542
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 49.11
     2030: 49.83
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Vietnam -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 1.471
     2030: 2.026
     2060: 3.112
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 27.17
     2030: 27.52
     2060: 28.54
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 12.07
     2030: 7.465
     2060: 5.093
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 12.28
     2030: 10.47
     2060: 8.170
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 8.654
     2030: 5.829
     2060: 2.694

Education Forecast for Vietnam -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 102.8
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 99.25
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 101.2
     2030: 98.95
     2060: 99.46
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 72.44
     2030: 81.21
     2060: 94.29
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 34.94
     2030: 46.64
     2060: 68.73
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 8.411
     2030: 9.115
     2060: 11.46
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 94.65
     2030: 96.49
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Vietnam
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 1.011
     2030: 0.154
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 1.238
     2030: 0.195
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.825
     2030: 0.859
     2060: 0.938
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 5.927
     2030: 3.285
     2060: 1.845
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,963
     2030: 3,105
     2060: 3,325
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.083
     2030: -0.065
     2060: 0.068
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 0.185
     2030: 0.203
     2060: 0.178

Economy Forecast for Vietnam
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 627.6
     2030: 962.4
     2060: 2,267
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 227.0
     2030: 419.8
     2060: 1,587
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 6.474
     2030: 9.319
     2060: 20.84
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.357
     2030: 0.367
     2060: 0.326
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 49.87
     2030: 26.91
     2060: 19.69
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 22.73
     2030: 30.08
     2060: 48.75

Energy Forecast for Vietnam
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.159
     2030: 0.207
     2060: 0.073

Environment Forecast for Vietnam
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.057
     2030: 0.082
     2060: 0.122

International Politics Forecast for Vietnam
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.615
     2030: 0.714
     2060: 0.851

Domestic Government Forecast for Vietnam
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 4.115
     2030: 4.365
     2060: 5.121
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 3.686
     2030: 4.834
     2060: 8.291
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 3.110
     2030: 3.614
     2060: 5.361
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 2.664
     2030: 2.906
     2060: 3.432
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 6.210
     2030: 6.409
     2060: 6.847