Country Profile - Vietnam      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Vietnam
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Vietnam -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 90.93
     2030: 104.7
     2060: 110.0
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.130
     2030: 0.500
     2060: -0.173
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 16.97
     2030: 12.19
     2060: 10.36
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 5.438
     2030: 6.978
     2060: 11.88
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 17.64
     2030: 11.56
     2060: 4.802
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 75.27
     2030: 77.27
     2060: 81.27
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 73.31
     2030: 75.40
     2060: 79.21
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 77.18
     2030: 79.14
     2060: 83.33
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 1.856
     2030: 1.864
     2060: 1.877
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.330
     2030: 0.264
     2060: 0.086
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 8.837
     2030: 7.746
     2060: 6.894
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 20.89
     2030: 20.64
     2060: 17.78
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 64.47
     2030: 71.30
     2060: 64.47
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 5.560
     2030: 12.73
     2060: 27.72
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 27.15
     2030: 40.92
     2060: 62.33
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.523
     2030: 0.502
     2060: 0.432
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 48.70
     2030: 48.70
     2060: 48.70

Health Forecast for Vietnam -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 0.664
     2030: 0.977
     2060: 1.605
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 25.28
     2030: 24.27
     2060: 25.72
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 18.06
     2030: 11.57
     2060: 6.670
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 18.63
     2030: 12.79
     2060: 10.11
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 9.320
     2030: 6.071
     2060: 1.854

Education Forecast for Vietnam -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 107.4
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 96.07
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 86.25
     2030: 102.9
     2060: 102.9
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 49.53
     2030: 66.00
     2060: 76.56
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 11.59
     2030: 22.89
     2060: 31.54
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 5.720
     2030: 6.872
     2060: 8.980
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 93.46
     2030: 97.06
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Vietnam
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 8.902
     2030: 4.908
     2060: 0.341
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 29.54
     2030: 19.10
     2060: 2.464
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.781
     2030: 0.830
     2060: 0.899
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 8.125
     2030: 4.520
     2060: 2.480
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,724
     2030: 2,864
     2060: 3,061
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.065
     2030: 0.031
     2060: 0.364
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.171
     2030: 0.128
     2060: -0.082

Economy Forecast for Vietnam
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 276.9
     2030: 505.5
     2060: 1,049
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 88.14
     2030: 202.7
     2060: 589.1
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 3.045
     2030: 4.829
     2060: 9.537
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.379
     2030: 0.411
     2060: 0.430
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 66.17
     2030: 68.21
     2060: 49.53
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 11.05
     2030: 17.40
     2060: 28.78

Energy Forecast for Vietnam
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.109
     2030: 0.135
     2060: 0.024

Environment Forecast for Vietnam
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.042
     2030: 0.055
     2060: 0.019

International Politics Forecast for Vietnam
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.517
     2030: 0.563
     2060: 0.580

Domestic Government Forecast for Vietnam
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 4.078
     2030: 4.487
     2060: 5.108
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 3.423
     2030: 5.563
     2060: 9.004
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.788
     2030: 3.346
     2060: 4.238
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 2.234
     2030: 2.535
     2060: 2.832
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.273
     2030: 6.591
     2060: 6.964