Country Profile - Venezuela      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Venezuela
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Venezuela -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 30.84
     2030: 36.69
     2060: 42.03
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.414
     2030: 0.774
     2060: 0.131
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 19.48
     2030: 14.34
     2060: 11.46
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 5.336
     2030: 6.607
     2060: 10.15
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 14.31
     2030: 8.091
     2060: 3.633
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 75.07
     2030: 77.41
     2060: 80.09
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 71.98
     2030: 73.88
     2060: 75.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 78.18
     2030: 80.93
     2060: 84.52
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.368
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.559
     2030: 3.186
     2060: 2.910
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 8.713
     2030: 8.292
     2060: 7.419
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 20.14
     2030: 24.38
     2060: 26.04
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 1.989
     2030: 4.017
     2060: 8.577
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 28.79
     2030: 34.24
     2060: 39.23
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.469
     2030: 0.491
     2060: 0.471
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 40.46
     2030: 43.95
     2060: 47.42

Health Forecast for Venezuela -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 37.61
     2030: 39.73
     2060: 42.51
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 30.57
     2030: 29.41
     2060: 27.72
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 3.586
     2030: 3.107
     2060: 2.679
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 2.780
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.925
     2030: 4.218
     2060: 3.324

Education Forecast for Venezuela -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 103.8
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 94.53
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 99.98
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 92.24
     2030: 99.10
     2060: 99.00
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 73.51
     2030: 79.30
     2060: 84.81
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 67.64
     2030: 62.47
     2060: 50.91
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 6.642
     2030: 8.087
     2060: 10.03
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 94.33
     2030: 98.17
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Venezuela
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 1.442
     2030: 0.838
     2060: 0.121
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 2.924
     2030: 1.832
     2060: 0.318
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.856
     2030: 0.895
     2060: 0.933
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 4.935
     2030: 2.738
     2060: 1.436
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,032
     2030: 3,129
     2060: 3,251
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.718
     2030: -1.491
     2060: -0.921
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.345
     2030: 0.420
     2060: 0.532

Economy Forecast for Venezuela
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 348.6
     2030: 526.0
     2060: 829.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 196.6
     2030: 337.7
     2060: 639.8
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 11.30
     2030: 14.33
     2060: 19.74
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.461
     2030: 0.476
     2060: 0.500
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 24.26
     2030: 27.27
     2060: 27.47
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.90
     2030: 24.36
     2060: 30.87

Energy Forecast for Venezuela
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 1.049
     2030: 0.803
     2060: 0.625

Environment Forecast for Venezuela
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.058
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.061

International Politics Forecast for Venezuela
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.327
     2030: 0.321
     2060: 0.274

Domestic Government Forecast for Venezuela
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 6.104
     2030: 6.676
     2060: 7.430
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 7.438
     2030: 9.067
     2060: 12.06
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.184
     2030: 3.079
     2060: 4.625
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.493
     2030: 1.970
     2060: 2.554
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 3.991
     2030: 4.127
     2060: 4.215