Country Profile - Venezuela      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Venezuela
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Venezuela -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 31.57
     2030: 36.97
     2060: 42.77
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.369
     2030: 0.842
     2060: 0.166
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 19.16
     2030: 15.21
     2060: 11.83
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.725
     2030: 7.009
     2060: 10.29
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 13.86
     2030: 10.38
     2060: 5.153
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 74.44
     2030: 75.82
     2060: 78.79
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 70.25
     2030: 71.12
     2060: 72.79
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 78.61
     2030: 80.42
     2060: 84.45
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.335
     2030: 2.009
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.358
     2030: 0.310
     2060: 0.115
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.974
     2030: 2.861
     2060: 2.550
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 8.776
     2030: 8.812
     2060: 7.831
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 20.76
     2030: 24.37
     2060: 26.78
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 2.037
     2030: 3.785
     2060: 8.161
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 28.16
     2030: 33.92
     2060: 39.35
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.470
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.474
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 40.46
     2030: 43.73
     2060: 47.46

Health Forecast for Venezuela -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 37.07
     2030: 39.37
     2060: 43.53
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 30.53
     2030: 29.08
     2060: 27.41
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 2.958
     2030: 2.976
     2060: 2.603
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 2.815
     2030: 1.089
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.802
     2030: 4.008
     2060: 2.660

Education Forecast for Venezuela -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 101.1
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 90.65
     2030: 97.50
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 99.60
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 110.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 79.49
     2030: 75.15
     2060: 102.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 71.87
     2030: 60.70
     2060: 60.94
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 7.397
     2030: 8.574
     2060: 10.66
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 95.33
     2030: 98.09
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Venezuela
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 2.254
     2030: 3.520
     2060: 5.765
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 4.490
     2030: 6.569
     2060: 9.294
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.868
     2030: 0.880
     2060: 0.913
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 4.361
     2030: 3.694
     2060: 2.318
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,953
     2030: 3,060
     2060: 3,242
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.755
     2030: -1.648
     2060: -1.209
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.309
     2030: 0.265
     2060: 0.221

Economy Forecast for Venezuela
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 447.4
     2030: 481.9
     2060: 665.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 281.4
     2030: 292.4
     2060: 439.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 14.17
     2030: 13.04
     2060: 15.56
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.455
     2030: 0.466
     2060: 0.542
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 18.97
     2030: 13.76
     2060: 12.54
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 17.16
     2030: 14.90
     2060: 35.38

Energy Forecast for Venezuela
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 1.096
     2030: 0.899
     2060: 0.754

Environment Forecast for Venezuela
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.056
     2030: 0.054
     2060: 0.060

International Politics Forecast for Venezuela
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.330
     2030: 0.265
     2060: 0.233

Domestic Government Forecast for Venezuela
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 5.988
     2030: 6.288
     2060: 7.063
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 14.11
     2030: 14.99
     2060: 16.76
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 1.689
     2030: 2.104
     2060: 3.547
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.214
     2030: 1.452
     2060: 2.238
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 3.183
     2030: 3.170
     2060: 3.243