Country Profile - Uzbekistan      IFs Version 7.45
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     Forecast Categories for Uzbekistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 32.60
     2030: 35.96
     2060: 41.26
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: 1.197
     2030: 0.671
     2060: 0.145
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 19.29
     2030: 14.10
     2060: 11.41
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 6.416
     2030: 6.900
     2060: 9.772
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2019: 19.29
     2030: 14.52
     2060: 6.184
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 70.74
     2030: 72.65
     2060: 78.80
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 67.43
     2030: 69.09
     2060: 74.90
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 74.03
     2030: 76.17
     2060: 82.60
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 2.179
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 0.135
     2030: 0.108
     2060: 0.031
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 3.196
     2030: 2.505
     2060: 2.352
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 9.195
     2030: 8.445
     2060: 7.376
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 21.88
     2030: 24.68
     2060: 26.23
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 1.518
     2030: 2.829
     2060: 7.653
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 16.86
     2030: 19.43
     2060: 25.11
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.433
     2030: 0.268
     2060: 0.108
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 42.84
     2030: 45.23
     2060: 48.42

Health Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 18.79
     2030: 20.90
     2060: 25.84
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 13.50
     2030: 14.67
     2060: 18.74
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 4.112
     2030: 3.641
     2060: 2.864
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 2.681
     2030: 0.428
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 5.926
     2030: 3.939
     2060: 1.678

Education Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 102.6
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 96.81
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 98.98
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 99.86
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 96.99
     2030: 99.80
     2060: 99.73
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 11.74
     2030: 24.38
     2060: 59.85
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 13.89
     2030: 14.51
     2060: 15.98
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Uzbekistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 3.718
     2030: 1.647
     2060: 0.035
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 7.100
     2030: 3.623
     2060: 0.130
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.819
     2030: 0.850
     2060: 0.945
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 3.524
     2030: 2.763
     2060: 1.549
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 2,911
     2030: 3,060
     2060: 3,369
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: 0.016
     2030: 0.064
     2060: 0.166
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.034
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.215

Economy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 211.0
     2030: 330.8
     2060: 1,144
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 80.71
     2030: 153.0
     2060: 892.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 6.473
     2030: 9.199
     2060: 27.71
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.360
     2030: 0.373
     2060: 0.375
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 28.70
     2030: 19.06
     2060: 18.04
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 14.22
     2030: 23.26
     2060: 56.36

Energy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.016
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.023

Environment Forecast for Uzbekistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.031
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.057

International Politics Forecast for Uzbekistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.183
     2030: 0.207
     2060: 0.330

Domestic Government Forecast for Uzbekistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 2.026
     2030: 2.099
     2060: 2.321
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 1.463
     2030: 2.544
     2060: 5.754
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 1.801
     2030: 2.351
     2060: 5.090
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 1.951
     2030: 2.274
     2060: 3.197
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 6.525
     2030: 6.750
     2060: 7.391