Country Profile - Uzbekistan      IFs Version 6.69
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     Forecast Categories for Uzbekistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 28.79
     2030: 34.92
     2060: 39.67
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.581
     2030: 0.672
     2060: 0.052
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 23.09
     2030: 14.11
     2060: 11.23
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 6.564
     2030: 6.717
     2060: 10.02
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 41.25
     2030: 21.60
     2060: 6.964
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 69.17
     2030: 73.32
     2060: 78.93
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 65.96
     2030: 69.92
     2060: 75.35
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 72.35
     2030: 76.68
     2060: 82.42
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 2.461
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.058
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 3.590
     2030: 2.978
     2060: 2.687
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 8.177
     2030: 8.265
     2060: 7.044
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 19.39
     2030: 23.77
     2060: 24.91
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 1.232
     2030: 2.880
     2060: 7.712
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 10.91
     2030: 13.93
     2060: 18.46
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.458
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.441
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 46.74
     2030: 49.10
     2060: 49.91

Health Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 18.46
     2030: 21.20
     2060: 24.90
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 12.71
     2030: 13.92
     2060: 15.45
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 4.221
     2030: 3.381
     2060: 3.044
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 3.330
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 6.352
     2030: 4.270
     2060: 1.196

Education Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 97.32
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 91.30
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.95
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 100.1
     2030: 109.5
     2060: 105.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 117.7
     2030: 106.4
     2060: 103.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 12.18
     2030: 24.76
     2060: 33.66
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 5.176
     2030: 6.999
     2060: 8.961
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uzbekistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 4.500
     2030: 0.569
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 10.91
     2030: 2.540
     2060: 0.027
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.769
     2030: 0.824
     2060: 0.894
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 6.692
     2030: 3.287
     2060: 1.752
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,660
     2030: 2,850
     2060: 3,076
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.154
     2030: -0.091
     2060: 0.001
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.457
     2030: -0.300
     2060: -0.069

Economy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 88.24
     2030: 188.9
     2060: 429.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 26.59
     2030: 76.34
     2060: 248.6
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 3.064
     2030: 5.410
     2060: 10.82
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.367
     2030: 0.377
     2060: 0.363
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 42.59
     2030: 32.17
     2060: 24.66
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 12.30
     2030: 19.69
     2060: 31.82

Energy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.018
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Uzbekistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.033
     2030: 0.044
     2060: 0.057

International Politics Forecast for Uzbekistan
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.152
     2030: 0.178
     2060: 0.194

Domestic Government Forecast for Uzbekistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 2.049
     2030: 2.311
     2060: 2.629
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 1.323
     2030: 3.055
     2060: 6.291
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 1.695
     2030: 2.340
     2060: 3.460
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.773
     2030: 2.368
     2060: 2.900
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.085
     2030: 6.620
     2060: 7.140