Country Profile - Uzbekistan      IFs Version 7.00
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     Forecast Categories for Uzbekistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 29.62
     2030: 35.02
     2060: 39.91
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.556
     2030: 0.725
     2060: 0.099
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 22.73
     2030: 14.59
     2060: 11.51
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.503
     2030: 6.774
     2060: 9.998
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 38.95
     2030: 21.79
     2060: 7.579
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 69.44
     2030: 73.24
     2060: 79.00
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 66.26
     2030: 69.94
     2060: 75.63
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 72.59
     2030: 76.50
     2060: 82.28
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.415
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.057
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.794
     2030: 2.966
     2060: 2.728
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 8.505
     2030: 8.001
     2060: 6.944
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 19.85
     2030: 24.13
     2060: 25.15
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 1.270
     2030: 2.890
     2060: 7.820
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 11.19
     2030: 14.71
     2060: 20.55
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.454
     2030: 0.481
     2060: 0.453
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 40.92
     2030: 44.36
     2060: 47.69

Health Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 18.60
     2030: 21.37
     2060: 25.85
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 12.75
     2030: 13.96
     2060: 15.66
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 4.152
     2030: 3.363
     2060: 2.937
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 3.272
     2030: 1.126
     2060: 0.315
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 6.026
     2030: 5.374
     2060: 4.036

Education Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 103.4
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 95.83
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 100.1
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 121.2
     2030: 107.9
     2060: 100.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 10.40
     2030: 19.46
     2060: 33.07
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 5.447
     2030: 7.556
     2060: 10.06
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uzbekistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 2.842
     2030: 0.486
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 8.097
     2030: 2.282
     2060: 0.006
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.773
     2030: 0.824
     2060: 0.901
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 6.336
     2030: 3.376
     2060: 1.882
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,671
     2030: 2,861
     2060: 3,132
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.148
     2030: -0.085
     2060: 0.017
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.442
     2030: -0.289
     2060: -0.042

Economy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 94.78
     2030: 192.8
     2060: 489.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 28.80
     2030: 77.60
     2060: 298.1
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 3.199
     2030: 5.504
     2060: 12.27
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.367
     2030: 0.374
     2060: 0.347
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 39.64
     2030: 30.79
     2060: 22.89
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 11.49
     2030: 17.80
     2060: 29.09

Energy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.015
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.004

Environment Forecast for Uzbekistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.031
     2030: 0.041
     2060: 0.025

International Politics Forecast for Uzbekistan
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.154
     2030: 0.176
     2060: 0.203

Domestic Government Forecast for Uzbekistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 2.089
     2030: 2.466
     2060: 2.956
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 1.412
     2030: 3.036
     2060: 6.292
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 1.730
     2030: 2.340
     2060: 3.628
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.874
     2030: 2.428
     2060: 3.035
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.126
     2030: 6.649
     2060: 7.236