Country Profile - Uzbekistan      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Uzbekistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 30.75
     2030: 34.67
     2060: 38.90
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.316
     2030: 0.573
     2060: 0.042
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 21.41
     2030: 14.02
     2060: 11.27
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.906
     2030: 7.133
     2060: 10.03
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 39.73
     2030: 28.16
     2060: 14.78
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 69.43
     2030: 72.42
     2060: 78.54
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 65.93
     2030: 68.75
     2060: 74.75
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 72.82
     2030: 75.98
     2060: 82.18
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.354
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.109
     2030: 0.094
     2060: 0.035
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 3.247
     2030: 2.451
     2060: 2.176
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 8.797
     2030: 8.239
     2060: 6.867
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 20.46
     2030: 23.50
     2060: 24.42
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.498
     2030: 2.934
     2060: 7.603
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 11.87
     2030: 15.01
     2060: 21.36
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.463
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.462
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 41.04
     2030: 44.01
     2060: 47.63

Health Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 18.60
     2030: 21.13
     2060: 26.09
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 13.32
     2030: 14.49
     2060: 16.79
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 4.224
     2030: 3.460
     2060: 2.827
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 3.265
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 4.469
     2030: 3.165
     2060: 1.887

Education Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 102.8
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 95.55
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 101.3
     2030: 102.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 93.39
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 101.7
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 9.965
     2030: 16.88
     2060: 50.87
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 6.529
     2030: 7.879
     2060: 10.74
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uzbekistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 3.960
     2030: 1.321
     2060: 0.280
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 7.478
     2030: 3.200
     2060: 0.781
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.806
     2030: 0.843
     2060: 0.917
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 6.712
     2030: 4.051
     2060: 2.232
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,728
     2030: 2,906
     2060: 3,211
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.005
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.106
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.077
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.126

Economy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 179.5
     2030: 291.1
     2060: 661.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 68.67
     2030: 136.1
     2060: 455.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 5.837
     2030: 8.397
     2060: 17.01
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.352
     2030: 0.344
     2060: 0.386
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 31.99
     2030: 24.05
     2060: 17.47
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 11.16
     2030: 15.84
     2060: 45.26

Energy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.015
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Uzbekistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.030
     2030: 0.038
     2060: 0.048

International Politics Forecast for Uzbekistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.172
     2030: 0.188
     2060: 0.219

Domestic Government Forecast for Uzbekistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 2.040
     2030: 2.256
     2060: 2.715
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 1.365
     2030: 2.660
     2060: 5.935
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 1.745
     2030: 2.343
     2060: 3.955
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.949
     2030: 2.289
     2060: 2.947
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.462
     2030: 6.701
     2060: 7.145