Country Profile - Uzbekistan      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Uzbekistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 30.33
     2030: 34.68
     2060: 38.80
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.376
     2030: 0.570
     2060: 0.027
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 22.02
     2030: 14.02
     2060: 11.30
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 6.958
     2030: 7.161
     2060: 10.21
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 40.98
     2030: 28.65
     2060: 15.90
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 69.17
     2030: 72.33
     2060: 78.10
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 65.68
     2030: 68.66
     2060: 74.29
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 72.55
     2030: 75.89
     2060: 81.77
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.382
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.109
     2030: 0.094
     2060: 0.035
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.251
     2030: 2.455
     2060: 2.174
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 8.663
     2030: 8.248
     2060: 6.859
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 20.23
     2030: 23.50
     2060: 24.40
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 1.441
     2030: 2.932
     2060: 7.535
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 11.63
     2030: 15.01
     2060: 21.33
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.463
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.463
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 40.75
     2030: 44.01
     2060: 47.63

Health Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 18.38
     2030: 21.13
     2060: 26.20
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 13.29
     2030: 14.49
     2060: 16.65
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 4.303
     2030: 3.632
     2060: 2.922
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 3.664
     2030: 0.447
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.656
     2030: 3.197
     2060: 1.913

Education Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 100.4
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.18
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 100.6
     2030: 102.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 91.67
     2030: 99.09
     2060: 101.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 9.467
     2030: 16.19
     2060: 39.33
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 6.396
     2030: 7.843
     2060: 10.48
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uzbekistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 4.032
     2030: 1.259
     2060: 0.260
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 7.559
     2030: 3.074
     2060: 0.747
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.803
     2030: 0.842
     2060: 0.910
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 6.929
     2030: 4.776
     2060: 2.679
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,712
     2030: 2,905
     2060: 3,217
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.010
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.098
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.085
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.110

Economy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 172.3
     2030: 289.6
     2060: 616.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 65.06
     2030: 135.0
     2060: 410.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 5.679
     2030: 8.352
     2060: 15.89
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.352
     2030: 0.345
     2060: 0.378
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 32.42
     2030: 23.87
     2060: 16.55
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 10.84
     2030: 15.02
     2060: 34.83

Energy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.016
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Uzbekistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.030
     2030: 0.038
     2060: 0.047

International Politics Forecast for Uzbekistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.170
     2030: 0.187
     2060: 0.214

Domestic Government Forecast for Uzbekistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 2.023
     2030: 2.248
     2060: 2.674
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 1.266
     2030: 2.660
     2060: 5.920
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 1.700
     2030: 2.338
     2060: 3.821
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.925
     2030: 2.285
     2060: 2.905
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.445
     2030: 6.698
     2060: 7.110