Country Profile - Uzbekistan      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Uzbekistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 30.76
     2030: 34.92
     2060: 39.58
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.362
     2030: 0.600
     2060: 0.068
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 21.89
     2030: 14.05
     2060: 11.20
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.927
     2030: 6.896
     2060: 9.701
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 40.69
     2030: 27.01
     2060: 12.66
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 69.24
     2030: 72.65
     2060: 79.14
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 65.75
     2030: 69.04
     2060: 75.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 72.62
     2030: 76.15
     2060: 82.64
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.367
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.105
     2030: 0.082
     2060: 0.024
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 3.289
     2030: 2.500
     2060: 2.213
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 8.778
     2030: 8.444
     2060: 7.020
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 20.52
     2030: 23.60
     2060: 24.85
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.462
     2030: 2.870
     2060: 7.708
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 11.86
     2030: 15.07
     2060: 21.70
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.457
     2030: 0.475
     2060: 0.455
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 40.75
     2030: 43.82
     2060: 47.56

Health Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 18.32
     2030: 20.73
     2060: 26.16
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 13.29
     2030: 14.38
     2060: 16.93
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 4.300
     2030: 3.339
     2060: 2.654
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 3.779
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 3.603
     2030: 2.562
     2060: 1.408

Education Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 103.0
     2030: 102.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 94.96
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 96.92
     2030: 103.1
     2060: 99.74
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 95.37
     2030: 99.26
     2060: 99.31
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 9.655
     2030: 25.33
     2060: 78.74
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 6.560
     2030: 8.091
     2060: 11.52
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uzbekistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 3.982
     2030: 1.556
     2060: 0.442
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 7.511
     2030: 3.626
     2060: 1.095
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.807
     2030: 0.846
     2060: 0.924
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 6.901
     2030: 3.794
     2060: 2.062
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,869
     2030: 3,045
     2060: 3,387
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.003
     2030: 0.058
     2060: 0.124
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.051
     2030: 0.028
     2060: 0.160

Economy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 184.6
     2030: 301.8
     2060: 731.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 69.56
     2030: 139.7
     2060: 515.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 6.002
     2030: 8.643
     2060: 18.48
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.352
     2030: 0.349
     2060: 0.411
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 26.35
     2030: 9.537
     2060: 13.09
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 11.47
     2030: 19.39
     2060: 67.81

Energy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.017
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Uzbekistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.030
     2030: 0.035
     2060: 0.050

International Politics Forecast for Uzbekistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.174
     2030: 0.198
     2060: 0.273

Domestic Government Forecast for Uzbekistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 2.024
     2030: 2.251
     2060: 2.790
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 1.267
     2030: 2.576
     2060: 5.871
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 1.701
     2030: 2.326
     2060: 4.099
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.924
     2030: 2.280
     2060: 2.973
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.479
     2030: 6.727
     2060: 7.186