Country Profile - Uzbekistan      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Uzbekistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 29.83
     2030: 34.45
     2060: 38.82
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.367
     2030: 0.662
     2060: 0.080
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 21.38
     2030: 14.52
     2060: 11.25
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 6.476
     2030: 6.733
     2060: 9.633
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 38.36
     2030: 23.71
     2060: 11.85
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 69.65
     2030: 73.45
     2060: 80.06
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 66.39
     2030: 69.97
     2060: 76.48
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 72.88
     2030: 76.89
     2060: 83.54
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.280
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.057
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 3.676
     2030: 2.920
     2060: 2.604
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 8.425
     2030: 7.912
     2060: 6.679
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 20.10
     2030: 23.64
     2060: 24.10
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 1.304
     2030: 2.896
     2060: 8.037
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 11.41
     2030: 14.76
     2060: 20.56
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.455
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.444
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 41.14
     2030: 44.32
     2060: 47.66

Health Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 18.92
     2030: 21.20
     2060: 24.97
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 12.97
     2030: 14.23
     2060: 16.39
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 4.107
     2030: 3.405
     2060: 3.040
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 2.578
     2030: 0.804
     2060: 0.427
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 5.907
     2030: 5.472
     2060: 4.548

Education Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 106.8
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 99.69
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 102.5
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 122.4
     2030: 110.3
     2060: 100.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 12.11
     2030: 26.26
     2060: 45.84
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 6.420
     2030: 8.297
     2060: 10.84
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uzbekistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 2.890
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.122
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 5.763
     2030: 1.313
     2060: 0.357
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.802
     2030: 0.854
     2060: 0.937
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 6.337
     2030: 3.478
     2060: 2.034
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,694
     2030: 2,850
     2060: 3,081
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.038
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.126
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.171
     2030: -0.044
     2060: 0.172

Economy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 156.4
     2030: 314.2
     2060: 824.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 60.60
     2030: 162.2
     2060: 654.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 5.241
     2030: 9.121
     2060: 21.23
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.357
     2030: 0.360
     2060: 0.407
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 21.69
     2030: 9.551
     2060: 0.111
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 12.94
     2030: 23.51
     2060: 40.36

Energy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.014
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Uzbekistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.032
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.035

International Politics Forecast for Uzbekistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.167
     2030: 0.189
     2060: 0.210

Domestic Government Forecast for Uzbekistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 2.100
     2030: 2.426
     2060: 2.877
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 1.516
     2030: 3.086
     2060: 6.470
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 1.821
     2030: 2.627
     2060: 4.623
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.927
     2030: 2.432
     2060: 3.148
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.409
     2030: 6.798
     2060: 7.319