Country Profile - Uzbekistan      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Uzbekistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 29.41
     2030: 34.45
     2060: 38.81
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.412
     2030: 0.663
     2060: 0.076
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 21.81
     2030: 14.52
     2060: 11.25
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.502
     2030: 6.727
     2060: 9.669
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 39.54
     2030: 23.67
     2060: 12.05
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 69.39
     2030: 73.47
     2060: 79.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 66.15
     2030: 69.99
     2060: 76.41
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 72.60
     2030: 76.91
     2060: 83.46
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.310
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.057
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.663
     2030: 2.920
     2060: 2.603
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 8.355
     2030: 7.910
     2060: 6.676
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 19.79
     2030: 23.64
     2060: 24.10
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 1.269
     2030: 2.897
     2060: 8.034
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 11.19
     2030: 14.76
     2060: 20.55
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.453
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.444
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 40.87
     2030: 44.32
     2060: 47.66

Health Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 18.75
     2030: 20.99
     2060: 24.19
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 12.94
     2030: 14.23
     2060: 16.31
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 4.114
     2030: 3.420
     2060: 3.135
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 2.924
     2030: 0.930
     2060: 0.814
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 5.940
     2030: 5.591
     2060: 5.021

Education Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 106.1
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 98.52
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 100.3
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 122.7
     2030: 110.3
     2060: 100.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 11.29
     2030: 26.13
     2060: 45.73
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 6.278
     2030: 8.296
     2060: 10.84
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uzbekistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 7.190
     2030: 1.420
     2060: 0.123
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 14.81
     2030: 5.217
     2060: 0.860
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.799
     2030: 0.854
     2060: 0.935
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 6.305
     2030: 3.475
     2060: 2.064
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,682
     2030: 2,836
     2060: 3,034
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.043
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.122
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.180
     2030: -0.044
     2060: 0.164

Economy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 149.7
     2030: 313.3
     2060: 795.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 56.91
     2030: 161.6
     2060: 620.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 5.089
     2030: 9.095
     2060: 20.48
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.368
     2030: 0.365
     2060: 0.360
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 569,885,392,896
     2030: 378,604,978,176
     2060: 258,120,499,200
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 12.53
     2030: 23.37
     2060: 39.73

Energy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.015
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Uzbekistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.031
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.031

International Politics Forecast for Uzbekistan
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.165
     2030: 0.187
     2060: 0.197

Domestic Government Forecast for Uzbekistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 2.077
     2030: 2.425
     2060: 2.872
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 1.423
     2030: 3.086
     2060: 6.460
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 1.781
     2030: 2.624
     2060: 4.533
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.895
     2030: 2.430
     2060: 3.123
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.385
     2030: 6.797
     2060: 7.301