Country Profile - Uzbekistan      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Uzbekistan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 31.88
     2030: 36.16
     2060: 40.94
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.358
     2030: 0.648
     2060: 0.057
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 20.70
     2030: 13.93
     2060: 11.06
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 5.785
     2030: 6.303
     2060: 9.661
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 27.57
     2030: 18.07
     2060: 8.354
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 71.73
     2030: 74.64
     2060: 80.54
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 68.93
     2030: 71.72
     2060: 77.55
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 74.50
     2030: 77.55
     2060: 83.51
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.261
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.101
     2030: 0.079
     2060: 0.023
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 3.220
     2030: 2.503
     2060: 2.261
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 8.948
     2030: 8.433
     2060: 7.117
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 21.50
     2030: 24.71
     2060: 25.55
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.425
     2030: 3.016
     2060: 8.276
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 11.86
     2030: 15.07
     2060: 21.77
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.447
     2030: 0.465
     2060: 0.439
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 40.93
     2030: 43.98
     2060: 47.66

Health Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 18.24
     2030: 20.72
     2060: 26.17
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 13.45
     2030: 14.56
     2060: 17.08
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 4.294
     2030: 3.327
     2060: 2.646
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 3.766
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.507
     2030: 1.361
     2060: 1.041

Education Forecast for Uzbekistan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 103.1
     2030: 102.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 95.02
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 96.96
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 99.71
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 95.50
     2030: 99.57
     2060: 99.11
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 9.538
     2030: 25.52
     2060: 76.25
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 6.588
     2030: 8.080
     2060: 11.62
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uzbekistan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 4.051
     2030: 1.495
     2060: 0.518
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 20.62
     2030: 14.51
     2060: 6.542
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.822
     2030: 0.860
     2060: 0.935
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 5.913
     2030: 2.501
     2060: 1.409
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,871
     2030: 3,050
     2060: 3,392
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.007
     2030: 0.063
     2060: 0.128
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.042
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.174

Economy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 195.8
     2030: 326.8
     2060: 793.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 70.78
     2030: 147.4
     2060: 554.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 6.143
     2030: 9.037
     2060: 19.37
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.356
     2030: 0.363
     2060: 0.428
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 37.10
     2030: 19.37
     2060: 21.97
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 11.45
     2030: 20.35
     2060: 69.93

Energy Forecast for Uzbekistan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.017
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Uzbekistan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.030
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.051

International Politics Forecast for Uzbekistan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.180
     2030: 0.207
     2060: 0.276

Domestic Government Forecast for Uzbekistan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 2.025
     2030: 2.249
     2060: 2.800
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 1.269
     2030: 2.584
     2060: 5.877
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 1.710
     2030: 2.365
     2060: 4.197
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.931
     2030: 2.302
     2060: 2.998
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.492
     2030: 6.752
     2060: 7.211