Country Profile - United States      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 324.1
     2030: 353.3
     2060: 384.1
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.733
     2030: 0.514
     2060: 0.161
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 12.55
     2030: 11.91
     2060: 11.06
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.315
     2030: 9.559
     2060: 11.10
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 5.536
     2030: 4.029
     2060: 2.280
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 79.55
     2030: 81.11
     2060: 83.95
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 77.20
     2030: 78.55
     2060: 81.06
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 81.86
     2030: 83.63
     2060: 86.79
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.886
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.474
     2030: 0.501
     2060: 0.186
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 19.73
     2030: 20.98
     2060: 21.26
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 61.04
     2030: 63.09
     2060: 64.26
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 213.9
     2030: 216.2
     2060: 226.9
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 49.15
     2030: 73.93
     2060: 92.97
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 265.2
     2030: 302.2
     2060: 345.6
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.503
     2030: 0.476
     2060: 0.464
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 46.42
     2030: 48.74
     2060: 49.87

Health Forecast for United States -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 52.39
     2030: 53.27
     2060: 50.91
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 17.55
     2030: 16.71
     2060: 16.70
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 0.546
     2030: 0.760
     2060: 1.291
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.534
     2030: 0.254
     2060: 0.544
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.532
     2030: 3.672
     2060: 2.854

Education Forecast for United States -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 101.2
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 94.02
     2030: 99.48
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 102.2
     2030: 100.3
     2060: 97.98
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 93.45
     2030: 93.60
     2060: 93.82
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 83.80
     2030: 81.17
     2060: 77.08
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 13.33
     2030: 13.62
     2060: 14.19
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for United States
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 2.635
     2030: 1.861
     2060: 2.194
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 13.37
     2030: 10.14
     2060: 10.67
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.986
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.549
     2030: 1.375
     2060: 1.156
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,795
     2030: 3,829
     2060: 3,737
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.724
     2030: 0.569
     2060: 0.007
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.502
     2030: 1.471
     2060: 1.358

Economy Forecast for United States
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 17,325
     2030: 21,995
     2060: 30,923
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 17,296
     2030: 21,964
     2060: 30,896
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 53.46
     2030: 62.26
     2060: 80.51
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.412
     2030: 0.417
     2060: 0.443
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 42.14
     2030: 34.65
     2060: 33.20
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 70.24
     2030: 72.66
     2060: 80.16

Energy Forecast for United States
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 2.390
     2030: 3.236
     2060: 1.380

Environment Forecast for United States
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 1.489
     2030: 1.470
     2060: 1.023

International Politics Forecast for United States
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 19.30
     2030: 14.81
     2060: 11.12

Domestic Government Forecast for United States
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 7.385
     2030: 8.845
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.985
     2030: 4.108
     2060: 4.334
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.747
     2030: 7.821
     2060: 7.949