Country Profile - United States      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 324.8
     2030: 356.1
     2060: 390.8
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 0.734
     2030: 0.520
     2060: 0.194
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 12.78
     2030: 11.98
     2060: 11.09
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 8.522
     2030: 9.561
     2060: 10.94
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 6.022
     2030: 4.133
     2060: 2.177
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 79.01
     2030: 80.98
     2060: 84.06
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 76.25
     2030: 78.03
     2060: 80.76
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 81.68
     2030: 83.84
     2060: 87.26
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.908
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.535
     2030: 0.457
     2060: 0.149
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 25.03
     2030: 25.49
     2060: 25.98
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 62.60
     2030: 64.02
     2060: 65.52
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 214.2
     2030: 219.0
     2060: 231.6
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 48.02
     2030: 73.13
     2060: 93.67
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 269.1
     2030: 311.3
     2060: 355.7
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.501
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.459
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 47.80
     2030: 49.44
     2060: 49.96

Health Forecast for United States -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 52.65
     2030: 51.68
     2060: 47.59
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 27.43
     2030: 27.09
     2060: 27.09
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 1.351
     2030: 1.530
     2060: 2.002
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 1.250
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.954
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.610
     2030: 3.723
     2060: 2.134

Education Forecast for United States -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 105.4
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 97.53
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 101.7
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 100.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 90.23
     2030: 99.18
     2060: 100.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 85.99
     2030: 86.06
     2060: 82.16
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 13.32
     2030: 13.75
     2060: 14.82
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for United States
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 4.477
     2030: 2.359
     2060: 1.419
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 4.477
     2030: 2.359
     2060: 1.419
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.982
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 1.646
     2030: 1.408
     2060: 1.174
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,696
     2030: 3,659
     2060: 3,496
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.697
     2030: 0.526
     2060: 0.003
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 1.498
     2030: 1.466
     2060: 1.390

Economy Forecast for United States
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 17,204
     2030: 23,534
     2060: 37,904
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 17,204
     2030: 23,534
     2060: 37,904
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 52.97
     2030: 66.08
     2060: 96.99
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.410
     2030: 0.409
     2060: 0.425
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 23.78
     2030: 24.90
     2060: 26.60
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 71.20
     2030: 78.24
     2060: 87.00

Energy Forecast for United States
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 2.472
     2030: 2.626
     2060: 1.141

Environment Forecast for United States
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 1.522
     2030: 1.510
     2060: 0.959

International Politics Forecast for United States
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 21.06
     2030: 16.66
     2060: 10.02

Domestic Government Forecast for United States
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 7.733
     2030: 9.688
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 4.104
     2030: 4.254
     2060: 4.518
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.791
     2030: 7.901
     2060: 8.092