Country Profile - United States      IFs Version 7.08
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 322.5
     2030: 356.4
     2060: 391.2
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.762
     2030: 0.523
     2060: 0.191
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 12.87
     2030: 11.98
     2060: 11.08
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 8.367
     2030: 9.529
     2060: 10.93
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 6.015
     2030: 4.058
     2060: 2.152
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 79.03
     2030: 81.08
     2060: 84.13
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 76.31
     2030: 78.14
     2060: 80.84
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 81.68
     2030: 83.93
     2060: 87.32
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.919
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.519
     2030: 0.457
     2060: 0.149
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 24.92
     2030: 25.51
     2060: 26.00
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 62.45
     2030: 64.06
     2060: 65.54
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 213.5
     2030: 219.0
     2060: 231.7
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 46.51
     2030: 73.34
     2060: 93.96
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 266.1
     2030: 311.5
     2060: 356.0
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.502
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.459
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 47.59
     2030: 49.44
     2060: 49.96

Health Forecast for United States -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 53.00
     2030: 51.64
     2060: 46.75
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 27.62
     2030: 27.09
     2060: 27.09
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 1.330
     2030: 1.537
     2060: 2.051
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 1.357
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 1.222
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.667
     2030: 3.726
     2060: 1.959

Education Forecast for United States -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 103.7
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 96.12
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 101.1
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 89.50
     2030: 98.94
     2060: 100.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 86.21
     2030: 85.71
     2060: 81.79
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 13.30
     2030: 13.73
     2060: 14.79
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for United States
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.984
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 1.642
     2030: 1.411
     2060: 1.182
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,710
     2030: 3,657
     2060: 3,462
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.709
     2030: 0.531
     2060: 0.011
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 1.505
     2030: 1.476
     2060: 1.403

Economy Forecast for United States
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 17,558
     2030: 24,338
     2060: 38,913
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 16,711
     2030: 23,353
     2060: 37,922
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 54.45
     2030: 68.29
     2060: 99.48
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.402
     2030: 0.389
     2060: 0.394
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 735,806,554,112
     2030: 790,591,766,528
     2060: 854,051,913,728
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 71.63
     2030: 78.71
     2060: 87.30

Energy Forecast for United States
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 2.457
     2030: 2.628
     2060: 1.141

Environment Forecast for United States
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 1.546
     2030: 1.530
     2060: 0.920

International Politics Forecast for United States
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 21.63
     2030: 16.37
     2060: 9.132

Domestic Government Forecast for United States
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 7.887
     2030: 9.954
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 4.120
     2030: 4.274
     2060: 4.532
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.804
     2030: 7.917
     2060: 8.103