Country Profile - United States      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 323.5
     2030: 358.8
     2060: 397.3
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.844
     2030: 0.538
     2060: 0.278
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 13.51
     2030: 12.01
     2060: 11.15
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 8.453
     2030: 9.642
     2060: 10.86
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 6.283
     2030: 4.517
     2060: 2.552
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 78.83
     2030: 80.67
     2060: 83.77
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 76.10
     2030: 77.72
     2060: 80.50
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 81.49
     2030: 83.53
     2060: 86.95
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.017
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.519
     2030: 0.457
     2060: 0.149
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 25.73
     2030: 25.67
     2060: 26.44
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 63.33
     2030: 64.67
     2060: 66.90
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 213.7
     2030: 221.2
     2060: 236.8
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 46.45
     2030: 72.90
     2060: 93.62
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 265.8
     2030: 308.5
     2060: 355.4
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.501
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.464
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 47.21
     2030: 49.23
     2060: 49.93

Health Forecast for United States -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 52.44
     2030: 52.25
     2060: 51.93
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 21.91
     2030: 21.29
     2060: 21.29
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 1.345
     2030: 1.495
     2060: 1.749
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 1.258
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.679
     2030: 3.670
     2060: 1.842

Education Forecast for United States -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 104.7
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 96.75
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 102.0
     2030: 102.6
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 90.22
     2030: 97.88
     2060: 100.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 85.83
     2030: 86.05
     2060: 83.58
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 12.55
     2030: 13.01
     2060: 14.12
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for United States
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.971
     2030: 0.991
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 1.716
     2030: 1.467
     2060: 1.075
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,688
     2030: 3,681
     2060: 3,668
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.713
     2030: 0.572
     2060: 0.197
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 1.498
     2030: 1.451
     2060: 1.347

Economy Forecast for United States
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 14,311
     2030: 18,831
     2060: 29,989
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 14,184
     2030: 18,691
     2060: 29,851
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 44.24
     2030: 52.48
     2060: 75.48
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.404
     2030: 0.399
     2060: 0.414
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 57.59
     2030: 55.92
     2060: 54.96
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 72.35
     2030: 80.63
     2060: 91.63

Energy Forecast for United States
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 2.439
     2030: 2.631
     2060: 1.214

Environment Forecast for United States
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 1.508
     2030: 1.479
     2060: 0.842

International Politics Forecast for United States
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 23.59
     2030: 17.55
     2060: 11.87

Domestic Government Forecast for United States
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 7.445
     2030: 8.718
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 4.081
     2030: 4.186
     2060: 4.408
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.776
     2030: 7.862
     2060: 8.043