Country Profile - United States      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 326.6
     2030: 351.7
     2060: 389.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.688
     2030: 0.553
     2060: 0.282
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 12.49
     2030: 11.99
     2060: 11.02
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 8.413
     2030: 9.344
     2060: 10.48
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 5.215
     2030: 3.921
     2060: 1.946
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 79.74
     2030: 81.40
     2060: 85.15
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 77.44
     2030: 79.20
     2060: 83.06
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 81.99
     2030: 83.57
     2060: 87.23
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.860
     2030: 1.884
     2060: 1.890
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.397
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.108
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 19.75
     2030: 21.03
     2060: 21.41
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 61.54
     2030: 62.99
     2060: 64.54
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 213.2
     2030: 216.4
     2060: 231.3
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 51.78
     2030: 72.31
     2060: 93.78
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 270.2
     2030: 302.5
     2060: 353.0
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.462
     2030: 0.343
     2060: 0.296
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 46.68
     2030: 48.65
     2060: 49.86

Health Forecast for United States -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 59.42
     2030: 60.50
     2060: 59.70
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 17.31
     2030: 16.71
     2060: 16.72
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 1.981
     2030: 1.987
     2060: 2.084
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.865
     2030: 0.858
     2060: 2.253
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.201
     2030: 1.871
     2060: 1.440

Education Forecast for United States -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 101.0
     2030: 101.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 94.41
     2030: 99.92
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 101.6
     2030: 105.6
     2060: 99.70
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 94.25
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 98.72
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 85.18
     2030: 89.29
     2060: 97.78
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 13.52
     2030: 13.77
     2060: 14.52
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for United States
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 3.445
     2030: 2.193
     2060: 0.726
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 16.37
     2030: 11.80
     2060: 5.049
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.989
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 1.594
     2030: 1.435
     2060: 1.015
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,620
     2030: 3,655
     2060: 3,630
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.715
     2030: 0.578
     2060: 0.035
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 1.500
     2030: 1.470
     2060: 1.384

Economy Forecast for United States
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 18,007
     2030: 21,846
     2060: 35,672
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 18,059
     2030: 21,902
     2060: 35,730
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 55.14
     2030: 62.11
     2060: 91.55
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.414
     2030: 0.411
     2060: 0.408
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 41.49
     2030: 35.24
     2060: 33.64
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 74.34
     2030: 83.71
     2060: 91.05

Energy Forecast for United States
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 3.360
     2030: 3.281
     2060: 1.449

Environment Forecast for United States
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 1.382
     2030: 1.213
     2060: 0.809

International Politics Forecast for United States
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 18.09
     2030: 14.92
     2060: 11.78

Domestic Government Forecast for United States
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 7.464
     2030: 8.665
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 3.991
     2030: 4.093
     2060: 4.401
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.960
     2030: 8.020
     2060: 8.217