Country Profile - United States      IFs Version 7.30
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 326.4
     2030: 353.6
     2060: 384.1
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.722
     2030: 0.522
     2060: 0.152
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 12.48
     2030: 11.94
     2060: 11.07
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 8.346
     2030: 9.510
     2060: 11.20
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 5.572
     2030: 4.169
     2060: 2.223
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 79.51
     2030: 80.93
     2060: 83.67
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 77.15
     2030: 78.45
     2060: 80.77
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 81.83
     2030: 83.37
     2060: 86.52
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.874
     2030: 1.895
     2060: 1.897
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.398
     2030: 0.327
     2060: 0.107
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 19.81
     2030: 21.06
     2060: 21.26
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 61.42
     2030: 63.10
     2060: 64.20
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 215.5
     2030: 217.5
     2060: 227.7
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 49.49
     2030: 72.95
     2060: 92.27
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 267.9
     2030: 302.7
     2060: 346.8
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.499
     2030: 0.475
     2060: 0.462
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 46.42
     2030: 48.65
     2060: 49.86

Health Forecast for United States -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 58.92
     2030: 61.10
     2060: 63.40
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 17.55
     2030: 16.71
     2060: 16.71
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.002
     2030: 1.969
     2060: 1.933
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.972
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.381
     2030: 1.164
     2060: 0.913

Education Forecast for United States -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 100.6
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 94.05
     2030: 99.89
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 101.7
     2030: 105.0
     2060: 99.69
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 93.84
     2030: 99.66
     2060: 98.21
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 83.87
     2030: 83.97
     2060: 86.39
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 13.36
     2030: 13.61
     2060: 14.37
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for United States
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 1.797
     2030: 1.482
     2060: 1.618
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 9.919
     2030: 8.414
     2060: 8.363
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.986
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.653
     2030: 1.516
     2060: 1.148
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,604
     2030: 3,675
     2060: 3,748
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.723
     2030: 0.577
     2060: 0.012
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 1.501
     2030: 1.467
     2060: 1.346

Economy Forecast for United States
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 17,554
     2030: 21,175
     2060: 30,065
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 17,585
     2030: 21,207
     2060: 30,095
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 53.78
     2030: 59.89
     2060: 78.26
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.411
     2030: 0.418
     2060: 0.442
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 42.60
     2030: 35.90
     2060: 34.47
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 71.58
     2030: 76.29
     2060: 87.46

Energy Forecast for United States
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 3.461
     2030: 3.363
     2060: 1.455

Environment Forecast for United States
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 1.425
     2030: 1.290
     2060: 0.915

International Politics Forecast for United States
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 18.44
     2030: 14.35
     2060: 10.72

Domestic Government Forecast for United States
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 7.327
     2030: 8.447
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.979
     2030: 4.076
     2060: 4.311
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.742
     2030: 7.795
     2060: 7.929