Country Profile - United States      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 319.8
     2030: 361.2
     2060: 414.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 0.970
     2030: 0.618
     2060: 0.429
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 14.01
     2030: 12.12
     2060: 11.34
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 8.392
     2030: 9.472
     2060: 10.50
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 6.216
     2030: 4.351
     2060: 2.313
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 78.76
     2030: 80.64
     2060: 83.82
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 76.10
     2030: 77.74
     2060: 80.59
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 81.35
     2030: 83.48
     2060: 86.97
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 2.105
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.500
     2030: 0.458
     2060: 0.150
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 26.44
     2030: 25.75
     2060: 27.84
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 64.50
     2030: 65.34
     2060: 70.38
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 210.9
     2030: 223.6
     2060: 249.5
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 44.38
     2030: 72.26
     2060: 94.78
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 262.9
     2030: 308.8
     2060: 367.7
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.507
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.475
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 46.93
     2030: 49.21
     2060: 49.93

Health Forecast for United States -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 52.44
     2030: 51.38
     2060: 50.87
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 22.14
     2030: 21.38
     2060: 21.37
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 1.336
     2030: 1.531
     2060: 1.807
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 1.237
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 0.350
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for United States -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 102.2
     2030: 102.2
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 93.35
     2030: 99.94
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 98.74
     2030: 103.4
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 89.15
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 79.99
     2030: 78.24
     2060: 78.47
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 12.53
     2030: 12.95
     2060: 13.94
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for United States
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.970
     2030: 0.987
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 1.699
     2030: 1.459
     2060: 1.083
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 3,688
     2030: 3,648
     2060: 3,628
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.720
     2030: 0.563
     2060: 0.169
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 1.499
     2030: 1.440
     2060: 1.309

Economy Forecast for United States
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 13,840
     2030: 17,559
     2060: 27,731
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 13,840
     2030: 17,559
     2060: 27,731
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 43.28
     2030: 48.62
     2060: 66.87
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.407
     2030: 0.402
     2060: 0.429
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 52.26
     2030: 51.06
     2060: 51.22
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 69.85
     2030: 76.91
     2060: 91.70

Energy Forecast for United States
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 2.372
     2030: 1.667
     2060: 0.865

Environment Forecast for United States
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 1.460
     2030: 1.553
     2060: 1.249

International Politics Forecast for United States
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 24.10
     2030: 17.40
     2060: 11.67

Domestic Government Forecast for United States
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 7.323
     2030: 8.254
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 3.963
     2030: 4.055
     2060: 4.285
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 8.077
     2030: 8.143
     2060: 8.319