Country Profile - United States      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 324.5
     2030: 351.7
     2060: 383.5
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.722
     2030: 0.527
     2060: 0.173
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 12.51
     2030: 12.01
     2060: 11.06
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 8.392
     2030: 9.544
     2060: 11.00
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 5.372
     2030: 3.963
     2060: 2.071
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 79.50
     2030: 80.96
     2060: 83.74
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 77.14
     2030: 78.49
     2060: 80.85
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 81.82
     2030: 83.39
     2060: 86.57
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.862
     2030: 1.884
     2060: 1.890
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.400
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.108
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 19.71
     2030: 21.08
     2060: 21.22
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 61.52
     2030: 63.09
     2060: 64.03
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 212.9
     2030: 216.5
     2060: 228.0
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 50.09
     2030: 72.14
     2060: 91.46
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 267.9
     2030: 302.8
     2060: 347.8
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.504
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.471
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 46.37
     2030: 48.61
     2060: 49.85

Health Forecast for United States -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 58.93
     2030: 61.28
     2060: 63.67
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 17.55
     2030: 16.70
     2060: 16.70
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.001
     2030: 1.960
     2060: 1.921
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.937
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.379
     2030: 1.151
     2060: 0.893

Education Forecast for United States -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 100.6
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 94.05
     2030: 99.91
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 101.7
     2030: 105.0
     2060: 99.69
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 93.81
     2030: 99.77
     2060: 98.06
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 84.27
     2030: 88.41
     2060: 94.83
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 13.36
     2030: 13.68
     2060: 14.54
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for United States
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 1.612
     2030: 1.222
     2060: 1.152
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 9.092
     2030: 7.235
     2060: 6.430
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.986
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.631
     2030: 1.483
     2060: 1.108
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,604
     2030: 3,681
     2060: 3,757
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.724
     2030: 0.577
     2060: 0.021
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 1.501
     2030: 1.470
     2060: 1.361

Economy Forecast for United States
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 17,531
     2030: 21,543
     2060: 31,619
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 17,610
     2030: 21,627
     2060: 31,699
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 54.03
     2030: 61.26
     2060: 82.45
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.411
     2030: 0.417
     2060: 0.438
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 42.29
     2030: 35.69
     2060: 34.20
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 71.72
     2030: 81.34
     2060: 90.81

Energy Forecast for United States
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 3.462
     2030: 3.363
     2060: 1.456

Environment Forecast for United States
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 1.425
     2030: 1.300
     2060: 0.924

International Politics Forecast for United States
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 18.27
     2030: 14.48
     2060: 10.79

Domestic Government Forecast for United States
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 7.338
     2030: 8.596
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.980
     2030: 4.088
     2060: 4.342
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.742
     2030: 7.805
     2060: 7.953