Country Profile - Uganda      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Uganda
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uganda -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 47.16
     2030: 69.55
     2060: 129.8
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: 4.024
     2030: 3.105
     2060: 1.275
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 41.89
     2030: 35.59
     2060: 18.52
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 8.554
     2030: 6.604
     2060: 5.569
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2019: 53.78
     2030: 38.24
     2060: 13.10
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 61.13
     2030: 65.46
     2060: 73.18
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 58.76
     2030: 62.91
     2060: 70.33
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 63.48
     2030: 68.03
     2060: 76.07
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 5.378
     2030: 4.414
     2060: 2.224
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 3.356
     2030: 2.294
     2060: 0.426
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 8.445
     2030: 11.35
     2060: 12.22
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 21.79
     2030: 29.59
     2060: 37.29
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 24.32
     2030: 38.27
     2060: 84.87
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 1.050
     2030: 1.696
     2060: 7.640
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 7.838
     2030: 13.03
     2060: 40.57
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.376
     2030: 0.366
     2060: 0.175
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 48.79
     2030: 49.76
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Uganda -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 1.619
     2030: 2.146
     2060: 4.768
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 10.37
     2030: 10.54
     2060: 11.85
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 12.06
     2030: 8.722
     2060: 2.872
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 9.921
     2030: 4.022
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 34.29
     2030: 22.15
     2060: 6.388

Education Forecast for Uganda -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 115.0
     2030: 114.2
     2060: 105.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 94.37
     2030: 96.26
     2060: 98.75
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 39.97
     2030: 55.50
     2060: 76.68
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 14.11
     2030: 25.87
     2060: 51.22
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 5.121
     2030: 9.011
     2060: 20.78
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 6.287
     2030: 7.328
     2060: 9.860
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 72.77
     2030: 79.61
     2060: 96.85

Social/Human Forecast for Uganda
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 18.75
     2030: 26.22
     2060: 8.139
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 28.25
     2030: 39.90
     2060: 20.97
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.600
     2030: 0.662
     2060: 0.820
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 22.32
     2030: 16.12
     2060: 4.066
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 2,118
     2030: 2,286
     2060: 2,778
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -1.506
     2030: -1.440
     2060: -1.058
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.488
     2030: -0.362
     2060: -0.039

Economy Forecast for Uganda
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 79.06
     2030: 153.7
     2060: 806.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 26.17
     2030: 55.14
     2060: 435.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 1.676
     2030: 2.209
     2060: 6.215
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.429
     2030: 0.437
     2060: 0.404
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 40.05
     2030: 41.56
     2060: 43.80
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 7.517
     2030: 8.557
     2060: 13.31

Energy Forecast for Uganda
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Uganda
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.002
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.029

International Politics Forecast for Uganda
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.187
     2030: 0.256
     2060: 0.480

Domestic Government Forecast for Uganda
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 5.166
     2030: 5.679
     2060: 6.908
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 9.276
     2030: 10.18
     2060: 13.14
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 2.459
     2030: 2.734
     2060: 3.834
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 2.096
     2030: 2.260
     2060: 2.863
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 7.265
     2030: 7.487
     2060: 8.248