Country Profile - Uganda      IFs Version 7.00
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Uganda
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uganda -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 38.53
     2030: 61.94
     2060: 109.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 3.211
     2030: 2.686
     2060: 1.041
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 43.09
     2030: 34.02
     2060: 15.90
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 10.92
     2030: 7.125
     2060: 5.462
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 64.85
     2030: 38.88
     2060: 8.357
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 56.70
     2030: 64.03
     2060: 73.60
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 55.87
     2030: 62.85
     2060: 71.07
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 57.53
     2030: 65.25
     2060: 76.21
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 5.833
     2030: 4.234
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 2.562
     2030: 1.938
     2060: 0.634
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 8.514
     2030: 11.56
     2060: 11.09
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 18.46
     2030: 26.22
     2060: 29.50
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 19.14
     2030: 34.15
     2060: 73.87
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.930
     2030: 1.569
     2060: 6.321
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 6.153
     2030: 13.02
     2060: 40.42
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.403
     2030: 0.447
     2060: 0.546
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 49.27
     2030: 49.27
     2060: 49.27

Health Forecast for Uganda -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 1.265
     2030: 1.822
     2060: 5.214
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 10.07
     2030: 10.56
     2060: 12.72
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 15.54
     2030: 10.46
     2060: 3.559
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 14.81
     2030: 8.880
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 33.42
     2030: 24.56
     2060: 7.982

Education Forecast for Uganda -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 115.4
     2030: 99.59
     2060: 101.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 90.76
     2030: 94.61
     2060: 99.68
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 39.21
     2030: 48.87
     2060: 91.13
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 16.57
     2030: 22.48
     2060: 63.77
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 9.166
     2030: 15.21
     2060: 33.31
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 5.186
     2030: 6.506
     2060: 8.704
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 75.85
     2030: 83.03
     2060: 96.96

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uganda
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 12.84
     2030: 22.64
     2060: 0.547
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 22.70
     2030: 37.18
     2060: 2.732
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.566
     2030: 0.664
     2060: 0.865
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 25.89
     2030: 16.93
     2060: 4.474
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,272
     2030: 2,495
     2060: 3,145
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.503
     2030: -1.346
     2060: -0.806
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.473
     2030: -0.214
     2060: 0.378

Economy Forecast for Uganda
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 45.05
     2030: 132.8
     2060: 1,458
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 15.76
     2030: 55.36
     2060: 1,029
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.169
     2030: 2.144
     2060: 13.29
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.457
     2030: 0.495
     2060: 0.483
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 49.08
     2030: 61.00
     2060: 55.73
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 6.589
     2030: 12.30
     2060: 31.32

Energy Forecast for Uganda
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Uganda
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.002
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.043

International Politics Forecast for Uganda
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.168
     2030: 0.251
     2060: 0.646

Domestic Government Forecast for Uganda
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 7.177
     2030: 8.099
     2060: 10.44
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 9.206
     2030: 10.25
     2060: 14.01
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.521
     2030: 2.859
     2060: 4.886
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.981
     2030: 2.317
     2060: 3.399
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.260
     2030: 7.740
     2060: 9.100