Country Profile - Uganda      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Uganda
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uganda -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 36.68
     2030: 60.95
     2060: 110.3
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 3.182
     2030: 2.712
     2060: 1.191
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 44.55
     2030: 34.39
     2060: 17.65
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 11.69
     2030: 7.209
     2060: 5.685
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 69.89
     2030: 37.68
     2060: 9.113
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 55.94
     2030: 63.73
     2060: 72.44
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 55.06
     2030: 62.15
     2060: 69.65
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 56.83
     2030: 65.35
     2060: 75.29
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 6.023
     2030: 4.309
     2060: 2.132
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 2.654
     2030: 1.970
     2060: 0.645
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 8.289
     2030: 11.47
     2060: 12.12
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 17.63
     2030: 25.94
     2060: 31.11
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 18.13
     2030: 33.51
     2060: 73.08
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.921
     2030: 1.504
     2060: 6.117
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 5.078
     2030: 10.58
     2060: 31.41
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.415
     2030: 0.472
     2060: 0.572
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 47.42
     2030: 49.46
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Uganda -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 1.286
     2030: 2.014
     2060: 4.570
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 10.01
     2030: 10.60
     2060: 12.31
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 15.88
     2030: 10.03
     2060: 4.237
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 14.71
     2030: 6.475
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 31.74
     2030: 19.65
     2060: 3.835

Education Forecast for Uganda -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 116.1
     2030: 99.26
     2060: 100.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 91.30
     2030: 95.34
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 37.76
     2030: 54.82
     2060: 96.40
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 15.66
     2030: 23.99
     2060: 65.97
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 4.355
     2030: 12.85
     2060: 31.81
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 5.059
     2030: 6.437
     2060: 8.844
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 73.78
     2030: 82.73
     2060: 97.56

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uganda
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 9.214
     2030: 6.568
     2060: 0.291
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 19.28
     2030: 16.59
     2060: 1.644
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.551
     2030: 0.667
     2060: 0.846
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 27.28
     2030: 16.69
     2060: 5.173
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,282
     2030: 2,551
     2060: 3,051
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -1.498
     2030: -1.317
     2060: -0.806
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.484
     2030: -0.151
     2060: 0.389

Economy Forecast for Uganda
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 40.28
     2030: 144.8
     2060: 1,120
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 15.89
     2030: 72.50
     2060: 862.2
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 1.098
     2030: 2.375
     2060: 10.15
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.425
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.496
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 49.63
     2030: 59.04
     2060: 55.13
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 6.558
     2030: 14.26
     2060: 34.47

Energy Forecast for Uganda
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Uganda
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.002
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.040

International Politics Forecast for Uganda
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.157
     2030: 0.247
     2060: 0.542

Domestic Government Forecast for Uganda
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 7.109
     2030: 8.497
     2060: 11.18
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 9.186
     2030: 10.24
     2060: 13.79
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.535
     2030: 2.889
     2060: 4.486
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 2.001
     2030: 2.423
     2060: 3.260
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.944
     2030: 7.540
     2060: 8.703