Country Profile - Uganda      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Uganda
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uganda -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 40.26
     2030: 61.63
     2060: 122.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 3.181
     2030: 2.910
     2060: 1.679
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 41.93
     2030: 37.56
     2060: 23.17
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.403
     2030: 7.994
     2060: 6.206
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 55.62
     2030: 46.33
     2060: 22.25
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 59.86
     2030: 62.99
     2060: 70.39
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 57.93
     2030: 60.78
     2060: 67.50
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 61.79
     2030: 65.25
     2060: 73.35
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 5.611
     2030: 4.759
     2060: 2.862
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 3.950
     2030: 3.407
     2060: 1.263
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 7.504
     2030: 10.39
     2060: 13.88
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 19.23
     2030: 26.87
     2060: 40.16
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 20.01
     2030: 33.23
     2060: 76.21
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 1.016
     2030: 1.531
     2060: 6.275
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 6.564
     2030: 12.72
     2060: 42.55
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.404
     2030: 0.439
     2060: 0.505
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 49.32
     2030: 49.32
     2060: 49.32

Health Forecast for Uganda -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 1.310
     2030: 1.835
     2060: 3.535
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 10.35
     2030: 10.77
     2060: 11.63
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 13.91
     2030: 11.38
     2060: 3.270
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 13.21
     2030: 9.017
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 23.01
     2030: 13.91
     2060: 6.154

Education Forecast for Uganda -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 109.3
     2030: 99.94
     2060: 102.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.79
     2030: 95.30
     2060: 99.84
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 33.45
     2030: 41.84
     2060: 76.47
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 14.16
     2030: 17.09
     2060: 39.84
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 4.546
     2030: 7.502
     2060: 16.74
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 5.806
     2030: 5.976
     2060: 7.307
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 70.95
     2030: 78.87
     2060: 95.80

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uganda
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 14.47
     2030: 21.86
     2060: 35.63
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 24.47
     2030: 36.43
     2060: 58.93
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.589
     2030: 0.648
     2060: 0.782
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 24.91
     2030: 19.31
     2060: 7.476
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,312
     2030: 2,517
     2060: 2,903
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.498
     2030: -1.433
     2060: -1.112
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.504
     2030: -0.339
     2060: -0.149

Economy Forecast for Uganda
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 70.30
     2030: 141.4
     2060: 534.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 23.07
     2030: 50.90
     2060: 240.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.746
     2030: 2.294
     2060: 4.358
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.426
     2030: 0.445
     2060: 0.521
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 40.78
     2030: 42.67
     2060: 43.20
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 6.623
     2030: 7.485
     2060: 12.87

Energy Forecast for Uganda
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Uganda
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.020

International Politics Forecast for Uganda
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.168
     2030: 0.229
     2060: 0.414

Domestic Government Forecast for Uganda
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 5.092
     2030: 5.316
     2060: 6.098
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 9.139
     2030: 9.999
     2060: 12.74
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.434
     2030: 2.694
     2060: 3.521
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.114
     2030: 2.267
     2060: 2.634
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.324
     2030: 7.546
     2060: 8.065