Country Profile - Uganda      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Uganda
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Uganda -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 40.26
     2030: 61.59
     2060: 121.6
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 3.182
     2030: 2.897
     2060: 1.646
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 41.93
     2030: 37.29
     2060: 22.80
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.400
     2030: 7.858
     2060: 6.160
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 55.56
     2030: 44.81
     2060: 21.32
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 59.86
     2030: 63.22
     2060: 70.62
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 57.94
     2030: 61.00
     2060: 67.68
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 61.79
     2030: 65.48
     2060: 73.62
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 5.611
     2030: 4.721
     2060: 2.806
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 3.950
     2030: 3.407
     2060: 1.263
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 7.504
     2030: 10.35
     2060: 13.55
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 19.23
     2030: 26.83
     2060: 39.32
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 20.01
     2030: 33.23
     2060: 76.00
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 1.016
     2030: 1.532
     2060: 6.293
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 6.564
     2030: 12.72
     2060: 42.37
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.404
     2030: 0.439
     2060: 0.508
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 49.32
     2030: 49.32
     2060: 49.32

Health Forecast for Uganda -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 1.310
     2030: 1.840
     2060: 3.685
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 10.35
     2030: 10.78
     2060: 11.68
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 13.91
     2030: 10.53
     2060: 2.896
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 13.21
     2030: 8.334
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 23.01
     2030: 13.83
     2060: 5.760

Education Forecast for Uganda -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 109.3
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 97.98
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 93.82
     2030: 95.46
     2060: 98.87
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 33.46
     2030: 44.76
     2060: 63.36
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 14.16
     2030: 18.65
     2060: 33.10
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 4.547
     2030: 7.745
     2060: 15.23
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 5.806
     2030: 6.013
     2060: 7.376
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 70.95
     2030: 79.30
     2060: 95.61

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Uganda
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 14.45
     2030: 21.39
     2060: 32.47
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 24.43
     2030: 35.85
     2060: 55.11
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.589
     2030: 0.651
     2060: 0.786
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 24.91
     2030: 18.73
     2060: 7.255
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,312
     2030: 2,518
     2060: 2,929
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.498
     2030: -1.432
     2060: -1.097
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.504
     2030: -0.337
     2060: -0.119

Economy Forecast for Uganda
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 70.30
     2030: 142.5
     2060: 570.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 23.07
     2030: 51.51
     2060: 266.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.746
     2030: 2.314
     2060: 4.690
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.426
     2030: 0.447
     2060: 0.520
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 40.78
     2030: 42.63
     2060: 42.23
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 6.699
     2030: 7.821
     2060: 11.17

Energy Forecast for Uganda
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Uganda
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.022

International Politics Forecast for Uganda
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.168
     2030: 0.230
     2060: 0.423

Domestic Government Forecast for Uganda
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 5.092
     2030: 5.357
     2060: 6.121
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 9.139
     2030: 10.000
     2060: 12.79
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.434
     2030: 2.697
     2060: 3.570
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.114
     2030: 2.272
     2060: 2.681
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.324
     2030: 7.552
     2060: 8.114